Weather Will Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Monitoring for a big dog the last week of January. WB 6Z AI EPS. All of this prob. for more than 6 inches is beyond Day 10. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 6z euro continued inching westward. Maybe snow to @CAPE’s house? But we still need quite a bit more. Yeah its a small tick NW, probably run-to run noise. Something needs to change with the energy dropping southward and how it interacts with the main shortwave. Need it to phase in behind and not stay separate at this point. GFS looks more like the Euro now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 hour ago, CAPE said: The Spire basic is close. Anyone check the Panasonic? I bet the CRAS mauls us on Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Nam will probably be like 150 miles nw showing us getting crushed and euro will be over Bermuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 FWIW, the NAM looks better than 6z at hr 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I better get my mind right. I've been told by the man at the top this thing needs to produce. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Through HR 42, the NAM appears NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Through HR 42, the NAM appears NW. What’s nw? The storm doesn’t start to develop till like hour 72. The ridge is nw or the trough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: What’s nw? The storm doesn’t start to develop till like hour 72. The ridge is nw or the trough? Apologies, the development of the mid level trough appears to be NW of 06z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Nam is so slow lol. Been sitting at hour 45 forever. Damn Atari processor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 18 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Monitoring for a big dog the last week of January. WB 6Z AI EPS. All of this prob. for more than 6 inches is beyond Day 10. Seems to be starting to warm up to that period around Jan 27-29ish I've been gooning about. Not to say thr 24th cant work, but I think that lays the baro zone and gets the cold air established for the followup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Seems to be starting to warm up to that period around Jan 27-29ish I've been gooning about. Not to say thr 24th cant work, but I think that lays the baro zone and gets the cold air established for the followup. you've been WHAT about? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, bncho said: you've been WHAT about? He's old. Leave him alone. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, bncho said: you've been WHAT about? @ravensrule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Seems to be starting to warm up to that period around Jan 27-29ish I've been gooning about. Not to say thr 24th cant work, but I think that lays the baro zone and gets the cold air established for the followup. Sir, this is a Wendy’s. 1 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 A good edge session over the long range ensembles never hurt anyone I suppose. Don’t give ravens that rope. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I had to use Chat GPT for the definition of gooning. One version way funnier than the other. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 7 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Nam is so slow lol. Been sitting at hour 45 forever. Damn Atari processor. Somebody forgot to blow on the Cartridge. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 So what’s the NAM scuttlebutt. On the train and can’t really do my thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So what’s the NAM scuttlebutt. On the train and can’t really do my thing. The base is a bit more west but don't love out front of it with the compression of heights through 57. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Still looks to me to be in the GFS camp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 NAM better than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somecallmetim Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said: Still looks to me to be in the GFS camp Except the GFS decamped on itself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The base of the trough is so much further west than all other guidance at 78. Toggle compare the runs. https://beta.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/500hv/conus?run=2026011512&forecastHour=75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, soadforecasterx said: In the final few frames everything moves NE, it seems like that lakes low acts as a kicker (as opposed some of the crazy GFS runs where it actually phased in and pumped heights out ahead). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 It is always the Great Lakes Low that screws us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 21 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: A good edge session over the long range ensembles never hurt anyone I suppose. Don’t give ravens that rope. Omg stop giving RR ammo yall 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, mob1 said: In the final few frames everything moves NE, it seems like that lakes low acts as a kicker (as opposed some of the crazy GFS runs where it actually phased in and pumped heights out ahead). If put in motion, it is clearly being escorted off the coast by another GL low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Sir, this is a Wendy’s. Perhaps he shouldn’t say warm up in the post either 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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