winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 hours ago, Ephesians2 said: Sorry if this has already been posted here. I like it!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 hour ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: And with the 1st of January projected to be very warm, they are going with a big pattern change for the 2nd half of the month: PNA has been negative every day this Winter since Dec 1st. LR models have it going positive for the 2nd half of January: If the CPC is right, it could actually get very cold Jan 20-30. I guess that's our 1985 look. Now we just need the moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Latest wpc for the Jan 4th event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 0Z NAM ticked south...no dice. Wishing all of you a Healthy and Happy 2026!!!! And a Blizzard or Two!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 It's within striking distance for DC south, we just need temperatures to trend down a few degrees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 29 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 0Z NAM ticked south...no dice. Wishing all of you a Healthy and Happy 2026!!!! And a Blizzard or Two!!! Nam may have ticked south, but based on 500mb vort it took one step closer to the euro. Northern stream vort is sharper and more south. The ss vort shifted south too, but if it stays north like 18z, then there will be more interaction. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 18z RGEM was north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Thank God we have something to track. Even though I knew this early-January period might not work out, I was still kinda getting a little bit restless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 hour ago, IronTy said: I guess that's our 1985 look. Now we just need the moisture. Wasn’t Jan 85 bone dry? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 ICON is much better. More north. 18z vs 0z down below. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 12 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: 18z RGEM was north? Negative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Some models go north some go south. 72ish hours out. Sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 33 minutes ago, notvirga! said: Wasn’t Jan 85 bone dry? Yes, it was here at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 0z GFS continues to keep the NS and SS energy completely separated with no sharpness to the NS shortwave, so no dice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Quite the battle between the Euro and the GFS as to the outcome. Its either a nothing burger or a light 1-3" event for at least parts of the region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 hour ago, notvirga! said: Wasn’t Jan 85 bone dry? Sorta, 2.27", with 0.63" of that falling on the last day of the month. 4.5" of snow, but boy was it cold! Especially on 1/21, -19 that morning, a -4.2 for the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Quite the battle between the Euro and the GFS as to the outcome. Its either a nothing burger or a light 1-3" event for at least parts of the region. Going to lean on the nothing burger 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, TSSN+ said: Going to lean on the nothing burger Up your way, probably a good bet regardless of which model is more correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Happy New Years from the 0z GFS 1 3 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Happy New Years from the 0z GFSMitch will love this. Jan 16 and still a huge se ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 4 minutes ago, Ji said: Mitch will love this. Jan 16 and still a huge se ridge 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Happy New Years from the 0z GFSNot cool. Rubbing salt in the wound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 8 minutes ago, Ji said: Mitch will love this. Jan 16 and still a huge se ridge Still snows at the end of the run, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 HNY. Guess what? Weather is changeable in the midlatitudes. Crazy shit huh? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 0z Euro is worse. NS completely crushes instead of partial phase for Jan 4th. Happy 2026 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: 0z Euro is worse. NS completely crushes instead of partial phase for Jan 4th. Happy 2026 Delicate enough setup that it willing to wait til Friday night runs to call it dead. Happy New Year and good luck to those who try and stay up for any squall action tonight! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Euro looks like crap 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Euro looks like crap GFS wins!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 The euro has become very unreliable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 GFS wins!!The least snow model always wins 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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