January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dendrite said:

24” for Wilmington and 11” for Methuen when all is said and done?

Wilmington could get it, too.

[mahk_webstah]

The fact that a reputable model is getting close to double figures up this way is remarkable. Didn’t expect that for another day or two maybe but apparently the EPS is giving us that.

[Go Kart Mozart]

I can see 18z ukmet through 66hrs on the Pivotal free site.  San Diego low opening much more quickly, northern energy pushing significantly further westward into Alberta.  A big-time phase seems imminent on that model.

[alex]

Looks like a touch of aurora tonight if you really squint 

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, alex said:

Looks like a touch of aurora tonight if you really squint 

had the same here earlier.. not great but noticeable 

[ineedsnow]

0z NAM upping even a bit more for tomorrow night 

[OrangeCTWX]

Eric Webb is currently live on Fox Weather.  I wonder if he will acknowledge the north shift 

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

0z NAM upping even a bit more for tomorrow night 

Bullseye over Sleeping in Tolland

[alex]

A bit stronger now 

[CoastalWx]

Yea even a little snow here possible 

[UnitedWx]

19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Bullseye over Sleeping in Tolland

In tinted lip gloss and jogging shorts?

[Prismshine Productions]

NAM through 78 north of 18z... GGs for the Carolinas

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[powderfreak]

31 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

0z NAM upping even a bit more for tomorrow night 

Woodstock, CT

[UnitedWx]

10 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

NAM through 78 north of 18z... GGs for the Carolinas

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It's REALLY way too early to look at the NAM 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, UnitedWx said:

It's REALLY way too early to look at the NAM 

Not in this case, it actually matches the euro at 84 hours pretty damn close at 500. At this stage just looking for continuity or trends at 500

[Prismshine Productions]

Not in this case, it actually matches the euro at 84 hours pretty damn close at 500. At this stage just looking for continuity or trends at 500

Only reason I even peeked, Iconic running now

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[UnitedWx]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Not in this case, it actually matches the euro at 84 hours pretty damn close at 500

Yes, but it's still way out of its useful range. I mean,  good to see... but use others first 

[Prismshine Productions]

Last frame of Nammy... 540 line up to the VA/NC border

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Not in this case, it actually matches the euro at 84 hours pretty damn close at 500. At this stage just looking for continuity or trends at 500

Yea that’s the way to go. Try to see who the front runner is at h5. 

[CoastalWx]

Dangerous game to extrapolate Nam but it looked good lol.

[UnitedWx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Dangerous game to extrapolate Nam but it looked good lol.

I'm  more curious to see what the TPV looks like tomorrow. See if it shows any more signs of the sort of split that was shown earlier 

[weathafella]

I’m pretty bullish on this for a widespread 12+ event.  Overrunning systems like PD2 are prolific moisture producers.  Screw zones notwithstanding, this should be a biggie for most of us at least in the southern 3 New England states but I would not rule out CNE either.

[WinterWolf]

Just caught up on all the posts….about 180 of them when I checked in about 9:00(always a great sign).  So, if this pans out/gets up here for us, are we looking at more of a Sunday afternoon start time now? 

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

That’s gonna be a tough pill to swallow if he gets 9” and ASH is putting up a 10 burger. 

A little comfort that the Mainer's are hoping the breeze will blow the snow of their car so they don't have to get their brush out.

[Go Kart Mozart]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Just caught up on all the posts….about 180 of them when I checked in about 9:00(always a great sign).  So, if this pans out/gets up here for us, are we looking at more of a Sunday afternoon start time now? 

Yup.  According to euro, snowing aloft at 18z.  It may take a while to saturate.

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah it’s clown range NAM but that looked pretty ominous with all that energy coming together out west. 
 

This is one of those rare times we’re rooting for more phasing out west. 

[Prismshine Productions]

Icon through 42 is going to phase more than 18z... Calling it now based on the minute ticks on the 500mb low by Cali

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[UnitedWx]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Just caught up on all the posts….about 180 of them when I checked in about 9:00(always a great sign).  So, if this pans out/gets up here for us, are we looking at more of a Sunday afternoon start time now? 

From what I saw earlier, it was looking like approximately 5 pm in CT

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'll check the IMBY crap at least until Saturday...I get how neurotic and obnoxious it is, valid or not. Pleased to have a good threat.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Just caught up on all the posts….about 180 of them when I checked in about 9:00(always a great sign).  So, if this pans out/gets up here for us, are we looking at more of a Sunday afternoon start time now? 

Most guidance is like 7am Sunday for CT, and these always start earlier