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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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52 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Normally on paper, it would look good, but it's kind of WNW flow in the mid levels and then you got the southeast Ridge That's trying to split the lower anomaies  at 500 on either side of it. That just kind of look meh to me. Based on EPS I dunno, something seems off to me. I hope I’m wrong. 

You said you liked it yesterday lol. But I don’t disagree.

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like nothing to look forward to for a long time. Soon it will be sun angle season.

Has that feeling....I'm sure it will snow again, but man it has that feeling of "what could have been" badly timed phases that result in not much of anything for SNE. We shall see, either the models have gotten better at not showing storms in the long range or we are going to be having near misses for the next 6 weeks, before the car's interior starts roasting in the mid day sun....

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1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

Has that feeling....I'm sure it will snow again, but man it has that feeling of "what could have been" badly timed phases that result in not much of anything for SNE. We shall see, either the models have gotten better at not showing storms in the long range or we are going to be having near misses for the next 6 weeks, before the car's interior starts roasting in the mid day sun....

Roasting…might be a tad hyperbolic…no? :axe:.   And you’re in pretty good shape so far this early winter.  You’ll be fine. 

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20 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Roasting…might be a tad hyperbolic…no? :axe:.   And you’re in pretty good shape so far this early winter.  You’ll be fine. 

Oh I am actually good....this is the first winter in 5 years that has actually felt like winter, so if it ended today, I would be just fine. And 40 degrees and a bit of sun felt great today, I definitely won't complain when it snows again, but the tenure of this season has definitely been better than recent years, at least around here.

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Normally on paper, it would look good, but it's kind of WNW flow in the mid levels and then you got the southeast Ridge That's trying to split the lower anomaies  at 500 on either side of it. That just kind of look meh to me. Based on EPS I dunno, something seems off to me. I hope I’m wrong. 

So a question I have for you. In winters past where we had a great stretch of snow storms and a pattern that produced.... If you look back about 2 or 3 weeks prior to that happening, did anyone know 100% that there was going to be this blitz of Snow happening or were we just getting mixed signals in the models? I'm just curious.

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7 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

So a question I have for you. In winters past where we had a great stretch of snow storms and a pattern that produced.... If you look back about 2 or 3 weeks prior to that happening, did anyone know 100% that there was going to be this blitz of Snow happening or were we just getting mixed signals in the models? I'm just curious.

The answer to that would be a resounding …NO.   

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1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

So a question I have for you. In winters past where we had a great stretch of snow storms and a pattern that produced.... If you look back about 2 or 3 weeks prior to that happening, did anyone know 100% that there was going to be this blitz of Snow happening or were we just getting mixed signals in the models? I'm just curious.

You can tell when things are conducive. Maybe it’s pushed back to late Jan? That would suck. 

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14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You can tell when things are conducive. Maybe it’s pushed back to late Jan? That would suck. 

But that’s about all one can tell…and conducive doesn’t mean the area cashed in either. Overall conducive is still pretty vague. Another words, Details to be determined.  That’s about where we stand currently.  Unless of course, everything changes and does a 180 tomorrow.  Which isn’t impossible either. 

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