White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th

[Great Snow 1717]

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

I’m not expecting more than 0.2” LE from this. 

Oh oh cue the negativity police lol

[Damage In Tolland]

Radar filling in over ENY and W CT heading East Let’s see what the afternoon and evening bring 

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

At one time I had family in the Fort Kent and Caribou areas. One of my uncles said in all the years he lived in Caribou there was only one school closing  that he could recall and that was because the school bus doors were frozen and could not be open

That's a new one for me.  The single full day's closing in FK was due to a busted forecast.  Folks went to bed that February evening expecting the 1-3" that was forecast and they wouldn't even bother running the plows for that.  Then we got 18" in 9 hours and by the time roads and especially parking lots were cleared, the day would be shot anyway.
The half day came 6 week later, March 14-15, 1984.  Forecast was 6-12", the 6" new had fallen by sunrise with moderate snow - no cancelling for that.  By late morning the new snow was 14" with 3"/hr rate, so the buses loaded up at noon and all of them made their runs with little problem.  You've probably been on Rt 11 between Portage and FK so you're familiar with the hills.  CAR recorded 29.0", I had 26.5" (Biggest I've seen) and FK 24", but they measure 1/day at 7 AM, 6-8 hours after accum ended.

[H2Otown_WX]

Like I said, a joke event. This winter sucks. Balls freezing cold and almost no snow to show for it. Our strongest storm was a screaming sou'easter.

[Great Snow 1717]

2 minutes ago, tamarack said:

That's a new one for me.  The single full day's closing in FK was due to a busted forecast.  Folks went to bed that February evening expecting the 1-3" that was forecast and they wouldn't even bother running the plows for that.  Then we got 18" in 9 hours and by the time roads and especially parking lots were cleared, the day would be shot anyway.
The half day came 6 week later, March 14-15, 1984.  Forecast was 6-12", the 6" new had fallen by sunrise with moderate snow - no cancelling for that.  By late morning the new snow was 14" with 3"/hr rate, so the buses loaded up at noon and all of them made their runs with little problem.  You've probably been on Rt 11 between Portage and FK so you're familiar with the hills.  CAR recorded 29.0", I had 26.5" (Biggest I've seen) and FK 24", but they measure 1/day at 7 AM, 6-8 hours after accum ended.

My uncle always told me that I did not know what REAL WINTER was like...lol

[tamarack]

9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Nice band of 2-6" in Orange and Rockland counties 

Looks like 2.1" (NNJ along Rt 23) near where I grew up.

Cloudy with an occasional flake and low 20s.  One noon news station has us at 5-9.  Might reach the low end.

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, tamarack said:

Looks like 2.1" (NNJ along Rt 23) near where I grew up.

Cloudy with an occasional flake and low 20s.  One noon news station has us at 5-9.  Might reach the low end.

thats Butler, NJ

[dendrite]

Looks like the inverted trough forcing is starting to strengthen north of the MA border. 

[TalcottWx]

Rain, snow mix 35°F, Simsbury. The coating has melted. My season total remains 4.5", currently. 

[radarman]

Temps in the valley generally 35 or 36.  Would be snow with any rates but there's no rates.  

[Damage In Tolland]

It’s been 32 most of the day here so most of what has fallen hasn’t melted except the street that they plowed and over salted. Steady light snow. I’ll be happy with 1-2”. But to reach 2” it’ll have to pick up at least for an hour or two 

[dryslot]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Looks like the inverted trough forcing is starting to strengthen north of the MA border. 

Those echoes over Ottawa/Montreal sliding SSE are building too.

[moneypitmike]

Looking and feeling like snow now.

[moneypitmike]

GYX has upped my p/c

Afternoon

Snow likely, mainly after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 32. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Tonight

Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 27. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.

Wednesday

Snow, mainly before noon. High near 30. North wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

[moneypitmike]

Just noticed they expanded the warning area.  And put out a new map.  Well done! 

 

[tavwtby]

42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Radar filling in over ENY and W CT heading East Let’s see what the afternoon and evening bring 

just had a nice burst of snow, too bad temps are marginal everything that fell and falling is melting.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, tavwtby said:

just had a nice burst of snow, too bad temps are marginal everything that fell and falling is melting.

32 here and sticking except road . Intensity picked up last 15 minutes

[moneypitmike]

Fun times.

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Christmas comes early for snow lovers as a Norlun trough
impacts Maine and New Hampshire tonight. Snow continues to
spread from west to east during the late afternoon and evening
hours. By late this evening and through the overnight hours, an
inverted trough is expected to become stationary across the
MidCoast, likely reaching westward into Casco Bay. This serves
as a focus for heavy snowfall overnight, with high ratios and
ideal dendritic growth conditions supporting higher snow
totals.

With this update, confidence has increased in much of the
MidCoast experiencing the heavy snowfall, which likely reaches
into the western Maine mountains and into the eastern Whites.
Winter storms warnings have been expanded another tier of zones
inland, where high ratios should help support higher totals.

Closer to the coast, high ratio and fluffy snow is still
expected, but surface temperatures around freezing likely cause
the snow to become a bit stickier and settle more once it`s on
the ground. In all these areas, 6-12 inches of snow is expected.
Locally higher amounts are possible, and would most likely
occur just back from the coast where surface temps in the 20s
limit settling, and in areas of increased elevations, even if
only by a few hundred feet. The heaviest snowfall rates are
expected through the overnight hours, with 1-3 in/hr at times in
the heavier snow bands. Reduced visibility and difficult travel
conditions are expected overnight.


&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Snow continues into the morning hours through much of Maine.
Heavy snowfall rates of 1-3 in/hr continue into the early
morning commute along the coast, and then ease through the late
morning and early afternoon hours. Winds increase toward the end
of the snowfall event, with gusts of 20-30 mph likely to cause
some blowing and drifting snow into the afternoon hours
tomorrow. Temperatures also fall on the backside of the system,
with temps spending most of the day in the 20s.

Temperatures fall into the teens across most of the region for
Christmas Eve. Then, clouds begin to move in overnight as the
next shortwave moves in on northwesterly flow. Snow showers
spread southeastward after midnight, likely reaching into
central locations by daybreak on Christmas morning. Snowfall
amounts from this would remain light, but a coating to an inch
of snow is possible by daybreak across the mountains and
foothills.

[CoastalWx]

That inverted trough is gonna separate the marine air from the cold air over the land that’s in the lower mid 20s. Wherever that coastal front sort of set up in pivot that’s where the high totals are gonna be just in a very small area but that small area could get absolutely pummeled.

[Cold Miser]

53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Radar filling in over ENY and W CT heading East Let’s see what the afternoon and evening bring 

I am on the edge of my seat in anticipation...
 

Tonight

Rain and snow likely, mainly before 9pm. Patchy fog before 3am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

[jbenedet]

Yea that is the way. What a tough forecast for PWM…

 

8” is a good forecast though, all things considered…

[weatherwiz]

Was pretty shocked looking at 12z bufkit for PWM...perhaps indicating the better stuff will be favored northeast and PWM could even struggle to pull off more than 5-6". Its definitely going to be close because it all really depends on how everything aligns. 

[weatherwiz]

I miss oceanstatewx...he would have some tremendous insight into this 

[zoe456]

Eager to see how this trof sets up - I'm in Yarmouth, Maine.

[SJonesWX]

just started snowing here at MHT. pretty light, but some nice fluffy flakes.

currently at ~12" MTD, just shy of my 19 year December average of 16". maybe this weekend will get me to average.

[CoastalWx]

Fully expect the 18z hrrr and miss the band by 5 miles. 
 

After having power ball winning luck, I now have the 86 year Sox bad luck. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Haven't seen a flake here at work in Leominster

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ha i noticed that

Just shoot me

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Fully expect the 18z hrrr and miss the band by 5 miles. 
 

After having power ball winning luck, I now have the 86 year Sox bad luck. 

I would take the Powerball over any snow.   Ever.   

[CoastalWx]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

I would take the Powerball over any snow.   Ever.   

Yeah I’d get the eff out of here and get a villa in the Caribbean.