Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[ChescoWx]

It looks like all stations across the area remained in the single digits above zero with Warwick Twp. our normal cold spot at 2.0 above and of note here in East Nantmeal our low this AM was 3.3 above - this is my coldest reading here since the 3.0 degrees last January 22nd. Today and tonight looks to be a couple of degrees colder than yesterday. We stay in the teens for highs both today and tomorrow before we finally crack the 20-degree mark on Sunday. We see a slight moderating trend through the middle of next week with highs possibly approaching 30 degrees by Tuesday. We could see some snow chances by next Wednesday into Wednesday night. We may turn even colder again by next weekend. The long-range models continue to think while we might get close for a couple of days....they have no days reaching the 32-degree mark through at least mid-February!

[mahantango#1]

Nice to start seeing the sun at 8:31am instead of 9:12am at my place. Glad to see the days are getting longer. 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 5.  It looks like the core of the cold and/or best radiational cooling stayed out west last night.  I think we bottom out tonight out this way.  Loving the staying power of this pack, has barely budged an inch.  Talk of snow mid next week exciting as well.  Onward.

[Itstrainingtime]

Did a little quick research on low temps, with the obvious caveat that these are my numbers at my house, subject to wild variations for the rest of you. 

Since 1993-94 I've recorded 61 instances of my temp falling to 0 or below. 3 of those occurrences happened last winter. 

28 out of the past 32 winters has had at least one occurrence of my temp falling to 5 or below. There was one winter when my temp failed to fall below 15 the entire season. 

My lowest temp so far this winter is 5.7. 

Will I finally break the schneid tonight? There is a veil of high clouds on my southern horizon - if the deck stays south and winds subside, I'd think I'll drop lower tonight.

[pawatch]

I’m kinda in a cold spot this morning. Currently at  1° 

Started my truck thermometer showed -6°  

[ChescoWx]

So, with just 2 days left in the month I did a quick analysis to put into perspective how cold these first 2 months of the winter season have been across the Philly burbs of Chester County. This January is on pace to be a top 26 all-time cold January across 133 years of climate data since 1893. It is also our coldest first month of the year since 2014 It will also be a Top 20 all-time cold December/January start to winter. Plus, our coldest start to winter since 2010-11.

[mahantango#1]

Are we even in Pennsylvania anymore or the North Pole? Slippery Rock, Pennsylvania, is one of the coldest spots in the state this morning, sitting at a temperature of -23°F! This is recorded by a personal Weather Underground station. How cold is it in your backyard? Bundle up this morning!

[canderson]

That hockey game in State College - good luck with that tomorrow. 

[sauss06]

1 hour ago, canderson said:

That hockey game in State College - good luck with that tomorrow. 

I'm glad we're going tonight. I read they are concerned with the ice and Temperature for outdoor rink. To cold. I think it'll be around 14 degrees at 1PM. anyone @WmsptWx know what the temp was for the playoff game last year?

[canderson]

6 minutes ago, sauss06 said:

I'm glad we're going tonight. I read they are concerned with the ice and Temperature for outdoor rink. To cold. I think it'll be around 14 degrees at 1PM. anyone @WmsptWx know what the temp was for the playoff game last year?

A friend of mine is headed up tomorrow- not envious. We”lol be in the city but at least moving and then in theaters. Sitting still on metal bleachers in 10 degree weather sounds horrible. 

[CarlislePaWx]

2 hours ago, mahantango#1 said:

Are we even in Pennsylvania anymore or the North Pole? Slippery Rock, Pennsylvania, is one of the coldest spots in the state this morning, sitting at a temperature of -23°F! This is recorded by a personal Weather Underground station. How cold is it in your backyard? Bundle up this morning!

My wife grew up in Slippery Rock and graduated from HS there back in 1978.  Also, my sister-in-law moved from Mt. Lebanon to Grove City last year.  I'll have to ask my brother-in-law if he had a thermometer put up yet out back.  He lives on a nearly totally level and almost treeless property of 1.5 acres.  He got over 12" last Sunday.  I have another sister-in-law (both of my wife's older sisters) who currently lives in Dayton, OH.  They also reported over 12" of snow last Sunday.  I was jipped!

[sauss06]

13 minutes ago, canderson said:

A friend of mine is headed up tomorrow- not envious. We”lol be in the city but at least moving and then in theaters. Sitting still on metal bleachers in 10 degree weather sounds horrible. 

I've waited  3 years to get Hockey Tickets for a game my daughter didn't have a bears game at same time. I like hockey, but her and my girlfriend are both rabid fans. Its fun listening to them, a Caps fan arguing with a Pens fan 

[pasnownut]

7 minutes ago, sauss06 said:

I've waited  3 years to get Hockey Tickets for a game my daughter didn't have a bears game at same time. I like hockey, but her and my girlfriend are both rabid fans. Its fun listening to them, a Caps fan arguing with a Pens fan 

Have fun pal.

 

[2001kx]

Is there a way to remove the right-hand sidebar so the posts fill the entire page?

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Not seeing much model support for mid-next week but still a ways to go.  Might have to wait until the clipper swings through later in the week toward the weekend.

[Yardstickgozinya]

   These are the first big changes  we've seen to the SPC outlook in a long time. 

  SPC will transition to issuing conditional intensity information beginning with the 1630Z (10:30 AM CT) Day 1 

Changes to Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day 1, 2, and 3 Convective Outlook Probabilities of Significant Severe Hazards on March 3, 2026

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/conditional-intensity-information/

[mahantango#1]

On 1/4/2026 at 10:33 AM, Voyager said:

What is it with the damn clouds every day? We had beautiful sunshine this morning and now it's overcast again.

Perhaps I'd not hate winter so much if we could get some real sunshine between storms/disturbances.

It seems mother nature heard you loud and clear. Seems after this last storm were getting sunshine back again. Kudos to you for waking up mother nature. Maybe you can persuade her to lighten up on these frigid temperatures. I guess you have to talk to her more often.

[Itstrainingtime]

Not sure I've seen this before. NWS Morhead City has issued a Shelter In Place Warning for the Outer Banks.

[Jns2183]

Only 25-35mph winds Saturday night into Sunday? I thought we were primes for 40-50mph+++?

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[Jns2183]

On the negative side we seemed primed to waste the best two weeks of cold in a decade

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[canderson]

11 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

Only 25-35mph winds Saturday night into Sunday? I thought we were primes for 40-50mph+++?

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Storm so suppressed it’s moving too far east to push stronger ones to us (thankfully) 

[pasnownut]

17 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

On the negative side we seemed primed to waste the best two weeks of cold in a decade

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unfortunately that happens when big cold snaps hit.

but fortunately we got hit with a great event prior to, and have lost almost no snowpack.  Took the sled out for an after work rip in the fields, and this shit is legit solid.  Further compaction when we moderate next week could set the stage if we get more snow to follow, for a memorable stretch of snow days w/ 1" or more otg.  

[pasnownut]

13 minutes ago, canderson said:

Storm so suppressed it’s moving too far east to push stronger ones to us (thankfully) 

as you /we know, many times we score during times of relaxation of trough/nao blah blah.  Enough showing that I'd thin suppression depression will work its way back towards MA/NMA instead of the carolinas.  

[Voyager]

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

It seems mother nature heard you loud and clear. Seems after this last storm were getting sunshine back again. Kudos to you for waking up mother nature. Maybe you can persuade her to lighten up on these frigid temperatures. I guess you have to talk to her more often.

I've been praying to the one above even mother nature, but I've not had any luck. I just want normal. Low/mid 30's highs and 20 or so lows.