Yardstickgozinya

Sunday The 00z models have trended toward a much stronger short-wave trough and associated mid-level jet, which will progress from the Great Lakes and OH Valley into the Northeast. Elsewhere, a short-wave trough is forecast to move from the northern Rockies into the central Plains. At the surface, a cold front attendant to the Northeast short-wave trough will move through that region with the trailing extension of the boundary pushing south through the OH and TN Valleys into the Gulf Coast states. A much stronger low-level jet is now forecast ahead of the cold front across the Northeast, which will aid in greater air mass destabilization than indicated in previous model runs. When coupled with notably stronger vertical shear, the setup appears favorable for organized severe storms across the Mid-Atlantic, potentially into southern New England Sunday afternoon and evening

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 090838 SPC AC 090838 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 AM CDT Tue Jun 09 2026 Valid 121200Z - 171200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Friday... The last several deterministic model runs have consistently shown the progression of a short-wave trough and associated 50 kt jet streak from the OH Valley into the St. Lawrence Valley, with meaningful height falls as far south as the Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, the northern portion of a cold front initially from southwest Ontario to near the confluence of the MS and OH Rivers and into the southern Plains will progress southeast and eventually merge with a trough stretching from southern New England to the Carolina Piedmont. Ahead of the front, boundary-layer dewpoints in the 60s to low/mid 70s will combine with modestly steep mid-level lapse rates, especially across the lower Great lakes, to yield a moderately unstable air mass by afternoon. Initial storms are anticipated across the lower Great Lakes into upper OH Valley by early afternoon, with activity advancing east toward the Hudson Valley, and southeast into the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic through the remainder of the afternoon into evening. The strongest vertical shear is forecast from the lower OH Valley to the lee of the lower Great Lakes, where organized storm modes capable of damaging winds and large hail appear most probable. Elsewhere, a more isolated severe-weather threat may materialize within a low-level upslope regime in eastern NM

The skys are looking convective out here in mechanicsburg

I have a feeling a few local growers won't be recovering. Put this loss on top of the hike in insect disease and pest management overhead over the last few years, it gives these guys a lot to think about.

Yes, it is.And it's such a tough time already for everyone. I'm not sure about them specifically, but crop damage is still rolling in as of today. Just found out that strawberries took a huge hit.I thought that they'd be okay.

Unfortunately, they are reporting a significant loss of fruit there. Viticulturist reports aren't looking very good either. It's gonna be a rough year for local wine production.

The cellular damage from that freeze didn't show right away.It really sticks out like a sore thumb now when you look at plants and bushes the last 2 Three days ago, japanese maples looked fine.Today, pretty much everyone i've come across. looks just like this one.

The above was written a few days ago. The main abortions of fruitlits has been occurring for the last three days.

https://extension.psu.edu/pennsylvania-tree-fruit-phenology-report-april-21-2026/ Frost Ring Formation Throughout much of the state overnight between April 20-21, temperatures posed a serious risk to fruit crops. Apple, peach, and pear crops may have experienced varying levels of damage depending on developmental stage and site-specific conditions. Apples are at petal fall in Adams County and at full bloom in Center County. Although fertilized flowers and young fruitlets are less sensitive to freezing temperatures than blossoms at full bloom, exposure to critical temperatures may have resulted in tissue injury, leading to embryo damage, fruitlet abortion, or subsequent quality defects. There was also potential for frost ring formation under the forecasted conditions

I knew it was going happen before it did. It wasn't just about the freeze.It was also about the stage of fruit development.

I apologize if it's already been talked about. I'm haven't been stopping around the forum too much lately. Many fruit farms are reporting 100% loss of fruit as of today from the last freeze. I myself also lost everything. The last freeze did turn out to be locally, one of the most agricultural devastating freezes since i've been a member here.

Absolutely, I saw that in the discussion today, pray for clouds and wind.

This isn't the usual freeze hype . Tonight's the real deal and a very concerning situation for local fruit farmers. Any amount of time at or below 28°F will be catastrophic to local fruit farming. Cherry and apple fruitlets have already developed. Fruitlets go from alive and well at 29°F to complete cellular damage and abortion at 28°F.

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Wednesday's convective outlook. Slight risk sneaking into north and west central pennsylvania. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Today's convective outlook. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

The animagraffs youtube channel is awesome. This is the Big Boy.

For anyone who doesn't know, this articulated 4-8-8-4 is not just the god of all steam engine, but it's the god of all mechanical creations, and everyone, and everything should be bowing to it except for god himself.

I don't think there's probably any better time for you to start that project than now. I had a very nice platform for years, but I took it down so that I could have room to start building custom fishing rods. I've been trying to devise a way that I can set my platform back up and also have room for building rods. If it's something then you decide to get started on (depending on gauge) I have no shortage of extra track, model coal and foliage that I could pack up and send to a p o box. The tracks have built up a little bit of surface corrosion over the years so they would need some cleaning before they can conduct properly.

Entropy should probably be saved for another forum. Lol

I know you already know this, but until 13.8 billion years ago absolute zero was the rule, and thermodynamics was the anomaly. Nothing is efficient at heating itself and there's no getting around it.

It's funny that you mentioned this. For years I have wanted to paint and mechanically restore a custom passenger diesel and cars, specifically dedicated do everyone on our thread. I'm going to start that project this fall and you guys are going to love it when it's done. The cpa weather express is coming this winter.

I'm not sure if you're familiar with Autism and trains. lol you have to forgive my messy basement but I might like trains just a little bit . I got just a few on my walls. Some of my nicer steam engines are back on the left corner, I also probably have over a hundred diesels and steam engines that still need restored packed away in my crawl space. I immensely appreciate both real and toy trains and think they are the most beautiful and interesting marvels of engineering humanity will ever create.