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Everything posted by Yardstickgozinya
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Seeing that, I was handing out bro flowers to dudes I never met yesterday may constitute a reevaluation of my lonely years statement. I'm also realizing I just wasted a lot of time and space just to say you're d***** if you do, and you're d***** if you don't. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I really hope you can find some type of balance, and peace through it.. Not saying any of this should or or will be your fate, because you're already married . I often ponder, which one is worse. You could sit around over indulging in sadness with the wheels constantly turning, knowing that your most likely never going know what it's like to be married and going to die alone., and the only woman that truly ever loved you was your mother. Then, I ponder, what if you did get married and god forbid it ended up being your son's insane mother. I haven't got into the lonely years in life yet, but I have a feeling they're really going to suck. Hopefully this helps provide another perspective without making things any worse. As far as the the weather getting you down ,i'm fairly confident my advice would not be met with high regard. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Basically expanded to include most of the state. From what I gather, severe storms will be quite isolated , but carry the risk of large hail up to the size of golf balls. Spc added that they may need to add a elevated tornado risk to the outlook. Main bust threat is lack of moisture return. Thunderstorms are expected to expand in coverage for the late afternoon and evening, but are expected to be more elevated at that point. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html Hail sig hatching level 1 Tornado probability 2% -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I had to edit my above post. For some reason, I woke up thinking this was Sunday. lol -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nws take on Sunday's severe weather threat. Unfortunately, hail along with a damaging wind threat seems to be the main threat Sunday, for those of us near and in the corridor of slight risk according to the nws Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 502 AM EDT Sat Mar 21 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Dense Fog Advisory for a portion of east-central PA until 8AM Severe thunderstorm risk level increased from 1 to 2 for Sunday over south central PA && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Low visibility in dense fog could make driving hazardous early this morning across portions of east-central PA 2) First weekend of Spring warmup precedes rain and severe thunderstorm risk Sunday afternoon into Sunday night && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Low visibility in dense fog could make driving hazardous early this morning across portions of east-central PA Temporary clearing in the wake of yesterdays rainfall has resulted in patchy to locally dense fog formation across portions of east central PA. Visibility trends have been improving on the margin upon the arrival of lower cloud deck continuing to expand southeastward per IR satellite imagery. Coordinated with PHI on issuance of DFA until 8AM with several ASOS and RWIS sites reporting visby below 1000ft or <1/4 mile. KEY MESSAGE 2: First weekend of Spring warmup precedes rain and severe thunderstorm risk Sunday afternoon into Sunday night A nice start to Spring this weekend with fcst highs ramping 15 to 30F above the historical average by Sunday. This surge of warmth will be brief and followed by a noticeable cooldown on Monday with max temps 20-30 degrees lower than Sunday. SPC expanded the level 2/slight risk outlook from the Upper Ohio Valley into south central PA (south of I-80) for Sunday afternoon and evening. CAPE and 0-6km shear profiles appear rather favorable for organized severe storms ahead of a southeastward advancing cold front. Large hail probs are relatively high with 700-500mb lapse rates 7-7.5 C/km and essentially match the damaging wind probs. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Slight risk extended well into Central Pa. There's no written mention in their outlook about what they expect in our area. Nws did update their discussion at 1:45am, but that discussion still said that the Spc was painting a marginal risk ,1 out of 5 through most of central Pa. However, you can clearly see that Spc expanded the slighg risk into cpa in there 1:01am update, so I decided not to post the latest nws forecast discussion. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html Hail outlook ,sig hatching level 1 Tornado probability 2% -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm not sure if you two particular fellows we'll see this in time. I shit you not , I was thinking about both of you after I posted . That's a bro flower and I wanted both the you handsome fellas to have it. She's right around the corner. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The point that I was trying to make, in my above post that got lost was, that if we get ample storms, that will give me plenty of opportunities to test the live stream. I've had a lot of trouble with work injuries trying to get back into the swing this year, one more lumbar injury and i'll be streaming myself working 3rd and Walnut for gas and copenhagen. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I hope so, nothing destructive of course. Starting over the next few weeks i'm going to be posting links to live streams whenever I have the opportunity to stream adverse, interesting, beautiful weather and wildlife. By the time winter rolls around I hope to have multiple cameras to set up with lighting, and feed for wildlife doring and after the storms. I'll also have a camera mounted to me for all my winter storm excursions. I realized that viewers from here, maybe quite limited, even non existent, but I just watched someone obtained 230,000 viewers hiccuping into a video camera, for twelve hours straight. It's actually just something I I've wanted to do for fun and have no intentions of gaining any profit sharing from youtube. I probably be running my first test late tonight . The link will just be to a camera looking out into my backyard. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Spc brings back the chance of some thunderstorms on sunday. Right now they have idea of deeper convection in far western pennsylvania. Hopefully plenty of sunshine breaks through Saturday and Sunday.for those of us who need it. SPRINGS BACK BABY !!! https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
He's a mythical creature from south-central. pennsylvania. It only comes out of its hole during snow and thunderstorms, and can often be seen digging in mulch. 5'7" 190 lbs of smelly, harry, man beast. Like other hole dwelling primates, it seeks out psychoactive plants and you generally don't want to see it anywhere near your house. It's generally extremely friendly but can become highly aggressive when agitated. I highly recommend you don't shoot at it if you see it, that smelly basterds packing heat. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Then again, he predicted a snowstorm too -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm not sure if you're familiar with the legendary., Punxsutawney Bill. He also made the same call. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This might be of particular interest for those of you that have plans tomorrow. As mentioned nothing severe this far East at this point, but some isolated week convection is apparently possible. Nws forecast discussion about tomorrow afternoon and evening thunderstorm risk. 913 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... *SPC has introduced a MRGL risk for severe thunderstorms across the Laurel Highlands and SW PA valid Friday afternoon and evening && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) A broken line of thunderstorms across central and western PA is likely late Friday afternoon and into Friday evening, following a widespread light to moderate rain earlier in the day. 2) Cold frontal passage Sunday should make widespread rain showers perhaps ending as a brief period of snow across the north, followed by windy and colder temps on Monday. && .DISCUSSION... 1) A broken line of thunderstorms across central and western PA is likely late Friday afternoon and into Friday evening, following a more widespread light rain earlier in the day. A Clipper system embedded within strong mid and upper level flow will cross through the Great Lakes and into New York State on Friday. Isentropic ascent with PW values rising to near 0.75 inch will likely result in an area of stratiform light to moderate rain moving from NW to SE during the afternoon. As a cold front approaches during the evening hours, a broken line of showers (east) and thunderstorms (west) is expected to form on the back edge of the precip area, perhaps with a dry break between the two areas of rainfall. With 850 hPa flow between 30 and 40 kts and a few hundred Joules of MLCAPE, isolated severe wind gusts can not be ruled out particularly across the Laurels and points southwest. Total QPF is progged between 0.25 and 0.50 inch. High temps will end up about 10F milder than the previous day (49-63F across the CWA fm N to S) -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
SPC is advertising the slight chance of garden variety, thunderstorms in our area tomorrow, and some limited severe activity from the ohio valley into southwestern pennsylvania. They even had mention of a very slight tornado risk out that way. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I didn't get to look at this until I got home from work this evening.Very interesting and well done. Extra interesting for me, because it's within my lifelong stomping grounds. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm pretty sure it brings me back to my days that a kid and the early years with my son catching frogs, turtles and tatpoles in the local wetlands. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Call me crazy. While i've been cleaning up debris, at my clients ,I could smell one of my favorite spring smells. I just walk to the edge of the woods and I found it. YUMMY SKUNK. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's amazing that some years we struggle to get one single cell in the area the strength of any of those and that's just three days in April. I don't know if you or anyone here has ever searched 2011 pennsylvania tornado on youtube. Several of the tornadoes and storms spoken of the last few days are there on video and no shortage of ones that haven't been brought up or completely forgotten. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes I thoroughly enjoyed looking that over. That's what compelled me to post the mcs with eye and the full July 2003 radar. If you watch that July radar, long enough without blinking, it's like playing tetris and pacman at the same time. I thought the mcs with eye was a good storm for a Jns case study. That storm also absolutely rocked the area bty. I don't recall it having the most storm damage in this general area , but it definitely didn't pass over our area quietly either . -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Haha, what pop's doesn't love lassoing ladies from his horse and throwing sticks of dynamite through stagecoach windows. Go figure your father had to pick one requiring some of the most hearty gaming hardware. My son and I realize this will likely be the l last gaming p c that we ever own. This project probably wouldn't even be possible for us had my son not found the hardware outlet somewhere around Baltimore. When my son was younger, I always had a top processor and graphics card,around but it was only affordable by assembling my own computer. If it were up to me and I had the ability, every single data and Ai center would be turned to ashes twice . -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I feel like the emi raccoon should be working on my cellphone. That would be a great tool for radar image and velocity signature comparison. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
@Jns2183 I should have mentioned that I don't have a computer or laptop at the moment. My son and I are building ourselves Pc's for gaming and editing as a father son project, but not for a few more weeks. While playing around with stuff last night I realized that don't have the capabilities to open those files, or use the tools you recommend at the moment.
