Yardstickgozinya

There's definitely no hype to some of these wind events this fall and early meteorological winter. As I said before I find in my general area that these events usually can't get there advertised winds to the ground and that hasn't been the case over the last few months. I've also had several extra truckloads of tree debris from all my clients this year from Union Deposit to Dillsburg. This morning is possibly one of the most gnarly wind event I can remember at my home since the historic low dew point derecho of 1989. Below is some information on the 1989 low dewpoint Derecho. One of the most interesting and rare weather event most of us got to experience in our lifetimes. https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/6824/noaa_6824_DS1.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwiai_iXisuRAxVzFlkFHbeBElcQFnoECFoQAQ&usg=AOvVaw2L8H8kDzIM5k9RkZFJmF4U

Ohh, snap, that's looking pretty gnarly again

I definitely worded the beginning of my post incorrectly. The point that I was trying to make, is it'll be interesting to see if trainingtimes hrrr verifies, based on what's happened in western pennsylvania and the ohio valley.

0.5 scan out of pittsburgh was definitely showing some bite at the ground from that band.

That said the lightning detection systems are plenty adequate enough to know that there's very little if any lightning occurring.

Very little lightning downstream over the last twenty four hours. However, just because lightning is not detected does not mean it's not occurring. Parts of pennsylvania and the ohio valley do not have the best lightning detection systems.

Trainingtimes Hrrr graphic has been fairly accurate in its depiction of a extremely narrow line of thunderstorms moving through Western Pennsylvania and the Ohio valley overnight. However, it has produced at no detectable lightning throughout the last several hours of its life cycle tonight. Furthermore the band has weakened as advertised. It'll be interesting to see if the Hrrr can continue it's accurate depiction of reinitiation of a narrow band as it moves through cpa. If it can get going again, it definitely looked like that kind of sharp narrow band that could have some gnarly winds this time of year.

SPC AC 190529 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 PM CST Thu Dec 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Isolated damaging winds may accompany convection over the Mid Atlantic today. ...Mid Atlantic... Late-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable midlevel trough over the MS Valley, shifting east in line with latest model guidance. This feature is forecast to take a more negative-tilt orientation by late morning as 100+kt 500mb speed max develops/translates across the Mid Atlantic by 18z. Impressive 12hr height falls at 500mb will overspread the OH Valley into New England where values will range from 240-300m in response to this strong feature. Needless to say, very strong wind fields will provide background support for organized frontal convection. HREF guidance is in general agreement that a narrow strongly forced line of convection will develop along the surging cold front early in the period. Forecast soundings do not exhibit more than weak SBCAPE with this frontal convection, but some mixing is expected given that 0-3km lapse rates should be on the order of 7 C/km. 40kt mean wind within this layer is expected to contribute to gusty winds with this activity. Have introduced MRGL Risk of damaging winds to account for strong gusts with a narrow line of convection that will surge east along the front. Given the limited buoyancy across southern New England will not introduce wind probabilities at this time. ..Darrow/Squitieri.. 12/19/2025 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z CURRENT UTC TIME: 0944Z (4:44AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

Calm cold crunchy, I'll see you at the top.

as I said earlier roads are pretty bad.Probably best for people to stay home. Things aren't a whole lot better yet. Probably no reason to go out and make things harder for first responders.

Old boy don't got many left.

I'm sure harrisburg's fine because it never snows in the city.

Roads are trashed . Stay home.

Yes, I am a threat to your fake little world so many of you are living in here. AI Overview +9 People are "cliquey" on forums due to a mix of psychological needs (belonging, identity) and online anonymity, which lowers inhibitions, leading to strong in-group bonding, "us vs. them" mentalities, and sometimes aggressive "herd mentality" against outsiders, fueled by shared beliefs and a lack of real-world accountability, all amplified by platform dynamics. It's a natural human tendency to find your "tribe," but online, this can quickly turn exclusionary or toxic. Psychological & Social Drivers Social Identity & Belonging: People naturally seek groups that share their interests, beliefs, or identity to feel included and validated, especially if they feel insecure or lack offline community. Anonymity & Disinhibition: The lack of face-to-face interaction lowers inhibitions, making people feel freer to express themselves, form strong bonds, and be more aggressive or less empathetic. Shared Beliefs & Echo Chambers: Forums focused on specific topics (politics, hobbies) naturally attract like-minded individuals, creating echo chambers that reinforce beliefs and make outsiders seem threatening or wrong. Herd/Crab Mentality: A sense of being "stuck" or insecure can lead people to pull others down to feel better about themselves, creating a "why should I let you succeed when I'm struggling?" dynamic. Lack of Accountability: The physical distance and anonymity reduce the social consequences of bullying or exclusion, making it easier to engage in "cliquey" behavior without repercussions. Platform Mechanics Technical Amplification: Forum designs can inadvertently encourage clique formation by making it easy to form private groups or by highlighting popular users. Group Validation: Online validation from a group (likes, agreement) reinforces belonging, making members more loyal and potentially hostile to perceived threats. Why it feels bad Exclusion: Cliques often have clear, unwritten rules about who's "in" and who's "out," making newcomers or those with different views feel unwelcome. Toxicity: When these groups become insular and reinforce extreme views, outsiders are often met with hostility or "character assassination" rather than fair debate, notes

Especially when you know it's f****** intentional. And a don't f****** end there.It just keeps going.

Bro, imagine how annoying that would really feel every f****** storm after you take the time to stay out there and f****** post pictures.

I was wondering anyone in Tamaqua Pa got any snow last night ?

Bro, after all, you've been through, you still have on blinders. I would think that you would have learned last year. Canderson and Blizzard are less of friends as you and bubbler. I am not going to pretend just to make other people happy. I realized blizzard says it was just a joke blah blah blah but what really happened is he lost his spine as usual . I realized that if blizzard's okay with it, then people feel like that I should move on. But this is some of the worst kind of behavior that people are partaking in right now and for any of you ignoring it, I hope it f****** happens to you.

I thought you were smarter than this. I truly believe that I may be the only one not completely brain f***** by social media of any kind, because I have none. It's not that you want me to assimilate you're asking me to pretend.

The whole points of my argument was never the amount of snow.I think it's pretty obvious from last night that it tapered off pretty quick from harrisburg to etters and the fact that you all keep trying to make it the point speaks volumes to those that know how to read.

No the attempted character assassination of blizzard using alcohol was the last straw for me.

I don't see anything wrong with that part of the conversation.Either, I think he was posting facts .