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Everything posted by Yardstickgozinya
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's a 3cape day. The updated outlook should be available soon, but it seems like the days of consistency are over. ...Mid Atlantic into the Mid-South... A midlevel shortwave trough, including the remnant of a prominent MCV, is forecast to move from parts of the Upper OH Valley toward the Northeast and Mid Atlantic later today. While most guidance suggests some dampening of this shortwave trough with time, some flow enhancement will persist within the 850-500 mb layer in the wake of this shortwave across parts of the Mid Atlantic and central/southern Appalachians. Scattered storm development is expected by early/mid afternoon within a moist and moderately unstable environment. Initial development is expected to evolve into forward propagating storm clusters with a threat of damaging winds through the afternoon into the early evening. As convection intercepts a northward-moving warm front across the Mid Atlantic, locally backed flow may support development of at least transient supercells, with some tornado potential. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wow, that sounds familiar. I am only speaking for myself here, but I actually had a bout of something similar about ten years prior that was much shorter in duration.. Looking back, I believe that both times I was dealing with a lot of anxiety. I really have no idea, though. Whatever it was, kept me nauseous 24/7 for well over 2 years. I would vomit at least three or four times a week. One of the other things about the whole ordeal that really p***** me off, is that the gastroentinologist also insisted that I had acid reflux and needed fundoplication . Being a much less invasive procedure, I went through with it. A few months after I had that done I develop chronic acid reflux and this time, I was sure of it, because unlike before the surgery, I actually felt like I had acid reflux. I only had it a few times in my life before that and it was from hot dogs every time. Looking back at it now I realize those sons of b****** took advantage of my health insurance. Not saying, that's what's happening to anybody else but that's surely what happened to me. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I went through some serious b*******, and I'd hate to see it happen to anybody else. Reclassification as Non-IBD IBD-related medications (namely, 5-aminosalicylates, thiopurines, corticosteroids, and anti-tumor necrosis factor [TNF]) were used in 55 of the 108 patients (50.9%) misdiagnosed with UC and in 80 of the 184 patients (43.5%) misdiagnosed with CD (Table 3) https://journals.lww.com/ajg/fulltext/2023/10001/s1033_misdiagnosis_of_inflammatory_bowel_disease_.1572.aspx -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes, apparently, if the sun can break through, that'll be key in that possible evolution. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I can smell the rain , but I'm left high and dry at home so far. The ground was still wet when I left Mechanicsburg, but it was completely dry when I got home. I'm pretty sure that I heard one rumble of thunder while out in my shed about 25 minutes ago, but I didn't see any lightning and nothing was detected. Some rain before the wild raspberries start to abort and lightning bugs peak, sure as hell would be nice. Some of the main things that I grade my summer on are convection, heat, humidity, frogs, lightning bugs and raspberries all are in danger of being extremely lackluster, this summer, and it's really starting to f****** p*** me off. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yup. No more rumbles of thunder here, but the west end of Mechanicsburg is getting another shower, just enough to get the ground wet. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Extremely light, it only lasted a couple minutes . Just heard my first two rumbles of thunder of the day, something off to my northwest right now. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Get a second and third opinion, especially if it doesn't run in the family. After nearly 2 years of extreme pain discomfort and weight loss, I too was diagnosed with severe Crohn's disease in 2002 . I was scheduled to get part of my intestines removed, but I was so fearful of the surgery that I didn't follow through. Fast forward a few months later, and I actually started to improve. I decided to see another gastroentinologist and they diagnosed me with chronic gastroparesis and told me that was probably the best that I was ever going to get. Fast forward a few months later and I was fully recovered, and I haven't had any problems since. I've shared this experience with several people over the years. Apparently Gastroenterologists misdiagnose a lot. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Light shower here in Mechanicsburg -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Picking up some LEMP's on my am frequencies. Definitely things trying to happen to the north from my viewpoint here in mechanicsburg. Sorry for the reflection in the picture. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
If nothing else, the cumulus out here are getting taller here this afternoon. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nws initially had me extremely excited with there talk of an EML surging this far east out ahead of a potent system.. By the next morning, I was pretty sure they'd picked up the wrong pipe. It seemed to me that the NWS was much more bullish, with their forecast than the SPC. The spc definitely, seemed to use more cautious wording in their forecast and I don't believe they ever mentioned anything about an EML. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's in the billing -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
When you enter this part of town in Mechanicsburg, they literally have a plaque that says you are entering the homes of the Upper Class. They put it up in 2020 when everybody else was struggling. In the twenty years, i've been working at this home I've never even seen it used. I've been trying to get them to fork me out some money for some upper class lawn care but apparently, a new Maserati comes out every month. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I bet he's feeling good about himself today. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Apparently there was a sasquatch. sighting in the neighborhood that I'm working in. They said that it's wearing an orange shirt and a black hat.I looked everywhere.I think these people are full of s***. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hopefully, every thing turned out, okay with your friends. I was out catching bait with my son and didn't even peek at the radar yesterday. When I get home from work i'll look at storm paths and trajectories, but it doesn't seem like I was most likely looking at that cell. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That idea hinged on robust support from the mid levels to aid in that lift . I don't think they're so sure that that will even happen to be honest. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm pretty sure I took a picture of it sneaking by me In the rain from pinchot park. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Spc hasn't been too impressed either. The only one that has any mention of an EML surge has been NWS and they're still holding on to that in their discussion, although I expect changes are coming. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Light rain and thunder over head here at the beaver creek inlet at Pinchot park Edit for update Looks like I just got missed by something a little bette. Watched a couple forks come out of that lowering hiding in the rain. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Anyways, i've talked about this for several years and no one's ever really responded to it. But i've used LEMPs for years while i'm driving and working to know what's going on out there. Think of Cipher in the Matrix. Once you've listened long enough, you can make out the kind of stroke, whether or not it's getting closer and intensity. In the context of storms and meteorology, LEMPs stand for Lightning Electromagnetic Pulses. [1] They refer to the powerful, disruptive electromagnetic waves naturally radiated into the atmosphere during a lightning discharge. While they may not pose a physical shock risk to humans directly unless struck by lightning, they can induce dangerous power surges that damage or disrupt electronic devices and power grids. [1, 2, 4] Because lightning activity and cloud-to-ground strikes are a primary indicator of thunderstorm severity and structure, meteorologists utilize artificial intelligence and ground-based sensors to analyze LEMPs to understand a storm's behavior -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Indeed A cell out there somewhere right now putting out some insane LEMPs. Tune in to an unused, a m frequency and listen you have to choose an a m.Frequency, that puts you between a tower and a storm. You'll know when you get there, you'll hear it. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm picking up abnormally, strong lightning strokes on my Am radio stations. The strokes generally don't cause this much interference at such long distance. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I completely agree, chances are this will be sporadic at best and that's perfectly fine. However, the one thing that all the top dogs have in common is the presence of the EML. It seems to be the main deciding factor between more of the same and a true widespread sig/svr weather when other enhanced indices are present.
