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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs


MAG5035
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It looks like all stations across the area remained in the single digits above zero with Warwick Twp. our normal cold spot at 2.0 above and of note here in East Nantmeal our low this AM was 3.3 above - this is my coldest reading here since the 3.0 degrees last January 22nd. Today and tonight looks to be a couple of degrees colder than yesterday. We stay in the teens for highs both today and tomorrow before we finally crack the 20-degree mark on Sunday. We see a slight moderating trend through the middle of next week with highs possibly approaching 30 degrees by Tuesday. We could see some snow chances by next Wednesday into Wednesday night. We may turn even colder again by next weekend. The long-range models continue to think while we might get close for a couple of days....they have no days reaching the 32-degree mark through at least mid-February!

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Did a little quick research on low temps, with the obvious caveat that these are my numbers at my house, subject to wild variations for the rest of you. 

Since 1993-94 I've recorded 61 instances of my temp falling to 0 or below. 3 of those occurrences happened last winter. 

28 out of the past 32 winters has had at least one occurrence of my temp falling to 5 or below. There was one winter when my temp failed to fall below 15 the entire season. 

My lowest temp so far this winter is 5.7. 

Will I finally break the schneid tonight? There is a veil of high clouds on my southern horizon - if the deck stays south and winds subside, I'd think I'll drop lower tonight.

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So, with just 2 days left in the month I did a quick analysis to put into perspective how cold these first 2 months of the winter season have been across the Philly burbs of Chester County. This January is on pace to be a top 26 all-time cold January across 133 years of climate data since 1893. It is also our coldest first month of the year since 2014 It will also be a Top 20 all-time cold December/January start to winter. Plus, our coldest start to winter since 2010-11.

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