December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[T. August]

Euro about the same as 12z. Just kind of torchy - limits what would have been a better hit.

[Eskimo Joe]

25 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB GFS Fantasy range Christmas Eve snow....well at least no torch this run!!!! I know this is supposed to be in the digital snow thread but I'm tired of the endless dusting snow maps.

I would call it a winter if this happened. 

[baltosquid]

The big thing about that euro run is that it did not throw the TPV piece way east like the GFS did. Not much of a change.

[TSSN+]

14 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

18z Euro is worse for most as its drier 

I was expecting disaster, it’s not that much different… boo!! Lol

[Benjamn3]

33 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB GFS Fantasy range Christmas Eve snow....well at least no torch this run!!!! I know this is supposed to be in the digital snow thread but I'm tired of the endless dusting snow maps.

Let’s bring that bad boy south some. Lol love fantasy range snow. Let’s get a pool going for how many times Christmas Eve/day changes over the next couple weeks. 

[Eskimo Joe]

5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I was expecting disaster, it’s not that much different… boo!! Lol

Yea its noise, IMO.

[poolz1]

With such a narrow "win" zone it is going to be tough to please everyone.  I'll hug the 18z euro because it is the best run for NW zones so far.  Not going to jack out this way, just trying to get in on the action and have if look like winter.  

[WxUSAF]

So 18z euro is drier, warmer, about the same, or best yet?

[bncho]

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

So 18z euro is drier, warmer, about the same, or best yet?

warmer but qpf nearly identical

[Darkstorm]

I would call it a winter if this happened. 

I’d call it something else consider us northern crew have had Lucy screw us over more then enough.

[TSSN+]

7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

So 18z euro is drier, warmer, about the same, or best yet?

 

[ravensrule]

32 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

18z Euro is worse for most as its drier 

Looks just fine to me. 

[Weather Will]

Gosh folks, the big story is how bitterly cold the WB 18Z EURO is for Sunday afternoon....remember the years when we would go weeks without going below freezing?!!!!

[stormtracker]

9 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

 

lol, I thought it was going to be bad.  I'd take that in a heartbeat

[mitchnick]

32 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I was expecting disaster, it’s not that much different… boo!! Lol

Better for us. Instead of being in the 1" area just west of the 1.5" line, we're un the 2" area just shy by feet of the 2.5" line.

[Eskimo Joe]

Euro brings Barney in Sunday evening. Add a bit of snow and someone gets single digits I bet.

[JenkinsJinkies]

17 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Gosh folks, the big story is how bitterly cold the WB 18Z EURO is for Sunday afternoon....remember the years when we would go weeks without going below freezing?!!!!

January 2017 was the longest freeze free period in any DC winter.

[jayyy]

12z gfs… 65-70 degrees Christmas Eve
18z gfs… 6-12+ storm for the MA and NE on Christmas Eve

Safe to say models have minimal clue how our pattern will unfold in 2 weeks

[jayyy]

1-3” possibility Sunday followed by a drop into the teens that night sounds great.