clskinsfan Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 3 hours ago, WVclimo said: 06Z GFS looks pretty slick out this way Tuesday morning. 0.75” FZRA. A lot of it with temps 29-30° Dont sleep on that little burst tomorrow night out this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 5 hours ago, stormy said: 100% correct. Possible, but the 12-2 system has the deck stacked against it. No 50-50 low, no Lakes to New England H.P. as a cold air source. And of course, our long time drought pattern that no one fully understands is again an aggravating factor. The GFS dropped the QPF from 1.48" for Augusta at 06 11-27 to .60" at 06 11-28. I don't have enough fingers to count how many times this has happened during the past 4 months. No need to look at a whole bunch of other factors. With that high severely misplaced, we are in trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Euro is a solid hit for new crew 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Euro appears to be advisory level snow west of US 15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Euro appears to be advisory level snow west of US 15? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Just now, TSSN+ said: Sold 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Sold Can we please reel this in? Maybe by tomorrow I’ll start to believe it a little. Maybe.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 For posterity - snows on the front and backend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 EURO also has a big storm wayyy out there Dec. 10 or so. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Ooof. Need 5-10 miles please lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Just now, WxUSAF said: Ooof. Need 5-10 miles please lol it dosent even change over rain like 30 feet from my house 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Kuchera for better or worse. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: EURO also has a big storm wayyy out there Dec. 10 or so. It’s soooo close for DC. Still wicked - 28 and ice. 10” if you don’t go too far NW. All I care about for now is more to track for the next 10 days. 9 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Ooof. Need 5-10 miles please lol We can reel this down to us. Plenty of time to manifest it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: It’s soooo close for DC. Still wicked - 28 and ice. 10” if you don’t go too far NW. All I care about for now is more to track for the next 10 days. If the WB 12Z Euro comes anywhere near verifying, the metro area can have the next two storms; 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Ya I’d take that euro run and be happy if that was it for winter up here haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 We went from a sunny forecast here today (which I figured would be wrong since Frederick is cloudy at least 60% of the time) to scattered flurries. I trust Tuesday's forecast like I trust DC sports. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Back to the storm for next week. Latest EURO EPS and AI ensemble. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 48 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: No need to look at a whole bunch of other factors. With that high severely misplaced, we are in trouble That eastward "severely misplaced" translating HP as you say, would not be misplaced with a 50/50 LP. For decades the 50/50 low has been a gold standard for a major winter storm because it will lock the cold air in by blocking eastward translation of western New England HP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 32 minutes ago, Weather Will said: If the WB 12Z Euro comes anywhere near verifying, the metro area can have the next two storms; Looks like my days posting in this forum will be over if that comes close to verifying. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Sold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: EURO also has a big storm wayyy out there Dec. 10 or so. 12z Euro Ens has a favorable h5 look with hints of some energy taking the southern route. Prior to that it looks NS dominant but for this window maybe we can get a wave ejecting from the SW to slide underneath. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: Back to the storm for next week. Latest EURO EPS and AI ensemble. People keep telling me the AIFS ensemble is great, but those snow totals have been very suspect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Looks like my days posting in this forum will be over if that comes close to verifying.Please lord verify 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 4 minutes ago, Ji said: Please lord verify 16.6 for you 23.8 for me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Happy Hour coming, what’s your beverage today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Any chance the NAO going negative right in time for the Dec 2nd storm helps out any? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 4 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said: Any chance the NAO going negative right in time for the Dec 2nd storm helps out any? Yes it can, storms can deepen more, perhaps more cold air to work with. Storm track is still key Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 On 11/27/2025 at 7:54 AM, WxUSAF said: Well based on those stats that @psuhoffmanshared last year, all of us well south of the M-D line should be happy if you get snow while we shovel cold rain because it means good things for the rest of the winter Yes it’s better if it snows before mid December in our northern and colder regions but it’s even better if the storm hits everyone. I know it was in jest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Icon south again basically in line with euro now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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