December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[dryslot]

2 hours ago, mahk_webstah said:

Miller A always a bit risky the farther north we get. Could be a problem up here, but you’re pretty close to the coast.

 

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Still scarred from last December.

Usually, Not always, I want to get that out there, Its an LBS before it arrives up here and we end up with an occluded POS.

[ariof]

20 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Hard to hate the start so far too.

Even low elevation woods are ok… we’ll see in a couple days though, haha.

 

Especially the case from Stowe north to Jay. A bit less so for southern resorts.

[dryslot]

Going to be a long winter with the GFS it seems.

[CoastalWx]

[dryslot]

Climo is certainly going to come into play early on for areas.

[moneypitmike]

18 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Going to be a long winter with the GFS it seems.

 

LOL.  Sucks for us.  Still way out there though.

[mahk_webstah]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

This type of miller A evolution is probably decent for us if it holds like that. It’s kind of a slower developing system so it’s not like you are going to see it blowing it’s wad down in VA or the Carolinas. Trough stays positively tilted for a while which prevents occlusion too early. This is why I previously mentioned that it’s probably a good thing that the southern stream drags a little. If it didn’t, we’d rip this like due north into BGM or ALB or something. 

Thank you.  LBS is the issue though not necessarily for you usually

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

 

LOL.  Sucks for us.

I'd wait a few more days for this one, It has decent potential with how it evolves, Looks like its cold enough here.

[klw]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Impressive Lenticular in Gorham NH yesterday. Stole from FB

Are we sure that isn't Mr. Snuffleupagus' trunk?

[ORH_wxman]

GFS still has 12/2 which is good. GGEM has it but really weak sauce. 

[yoda]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS still has 12/2 which is good. GGEM has it but really weak sauce. 

And the ukie aka crazy uncle squashed the 12/2 threat at 12z

[George001]

2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah, I think the best advice for most people in SNE is to take a backseat until the new year, and if something pops before that, great.

I wouldn’t even give that system early next week a second thought until probably Sunday.

A lot can go wrong, it’s early, and it’s still a week away. Odds are we won’t see anything from it, that’s just the way it goes.

Agree with most of this, but think the second half of December could be interesting. The 2-3rd threat is real, but id favor NW of both of us for plowable snows at this stage. If we can thread the needle and squeeze out 4-8 inches that would be awesome, but those mild early Dec ocean temps are going to be working against us. Still worth keeping an eye on though.

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Impressive Lenticular in Gorham NH yesterday. Stole from FB

On the live webcam from mount Washington there were some cool looking clouds around 645 am..  not sure when this is from

[ineedsnow]

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS still has 12/2 which is good. GGEM has it but really weak sauce. 

ICON also joined the party

[CoastalWx]

Semi violent gfs run 

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

ICON also joined the party

Ukie is very weak

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Semi violent gfs run 

LOL at the end of that run trying to form a Hudson Bay block....that would probably produce all sorts of craziness. That's actually how Dec 19-20, 1995 happened. 

[dryslot]

Just keep it active, The chips will fall.

[ORH_wxman]

Not the worst spot for the GEFS to be at D6-7

[Kitz Craver]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not the worst spot for the GEFS to be at D6-7

Little offshore lean though, no? 

[CoastalWx]

AI still offshore. 

[weathafella]

The idea of driving through 1000 miles of snow is a bit alarming for next week.

[brooklynwx99]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

AI still offshore. 

don't worry, if it's wrong, it'll tick 10 miles NW at a time for twenty runs in a row

[dryslot]

12z ECMWF is well offshore.

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

AI still offshore. 

Nice interior hit d10-11 

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z ECMWF is well offshore.

yup.. we wait  hopefully it comes around

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

don't worry, if it's wrong, it'll tick 10 miles NW at a time for twenty runs in a row

I mean it had to learn about the multiple ways of porking me since 2022 right?

[CT Valley Snowman]

Definitely some caution flags. At least there is something to track at this range.  

[brooklynwx99]

way more likely that the mid-week system is a POS than something amped and rainy IMO

[dendrite]

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

yup.. we wait  hopefully it comes around

OPs gonna lose to this