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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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18z GFS is probably the ceiling for this event in terms of intensity and snowfall totals. There would be some powerful zonally translating mid-level snowbands across CNE and NNE with that dynamic look. Verbatim a high end SWFE that successully jumps to the coast to lock in cold air

For more snow further south, we would need destructive interference to attenuate the shortwave a bit. A scenario like the Euro is still a good storm, but it's not a nuke like this GFS look.

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5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ahh ya..a cutter I’ll do that.  Give me a break. 

I don't know about this. Eric Webb guy. First of all, La Nina is already starting to fade. Just not buying what he's saying. There's a few other guys that I trust will who dive deep into the pattern with a whole different scenario of what's going to happen. I'm going to let this one just fly out the window. Don't see this outcome as the frontrunner at all at this point.

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17 minutes ago, Boston Bulldog said:

18z GFS is probably the ceiling for this event in terms of intensity and snowfall totals. There would be some powerful zonally translating mid-level snowbands across CNE and NNE with that dynamic look. Verbatim a high end SWFE that successully jumps to the coast to lock in cold air

For more snow further south, we would need destructive interference to attenuate the shortwave a bit. A scenario like the Euro is still a good storm, but it's not a nuke like this GFS look.

There’s a fair amount of folks here who are looking for a big icer 

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