December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Hazey]

Exactly where we want this at this lead time. Once models hone in on the strength of the system it will tick west and plenty of time to make appreciable moves. We watch.

[ORH_wxman]

Euro still has the system and H5 doesn’t look terrible. Not in a bad spot right now. 

[dendrite]

2 hours ago, dryslot said:

When i made mention of that season yesterday, Your pictures were what came to mind but i didn't remember who it was, That was downright depressing.

I’ll always remember seeing this on 12/17 and then mowing on New Year’s Day.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro still has the system and H5 doesn’t look terrible. Not in a bad spot right now. 

With a Miller A’s I pretty much don’t even start thinking about it until we’re 3 days out.  Great to have something to track early season though!

[weathafella]

First muthufukkas of the season for BOS 

[Layman]

5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

First muthufukkas of the season for BOS 

I've been able to osmotically pick up on what most terms used on this board mean over time but this one here, I'm still struggling to figure it out.  Can anyone help a brother out?

[Go Kart Mozart]

3 minutes ago, Layman said:

I've been able to osmotically pick up on what most terms used on this board mean over time but this one here, I'm still struggling to figure it out.  Can anyone help a brother out?

muthufukka = mother fucker. 

Just kidding, I've wondered about that one too.

[moneypitmike]

5 minutes ago, Layman said:

I've been able to osmotically pick up on what most terms used on this board mean over time but this one here, I'm still struggling to figure it out.  Can anyone help a brother out?

MOS/MEX snow totals

 

[CoastalWx]

On the GFS MOS you see numerical categories for snow. For instance 0 is no snow, 1 is T-2”, a 2 is 2-4” etc.

Goes all the way to 8. So Jerry one day years ago posted the GFS MOS and said 8 Mothufukkas!! And it’s been a joke since. 

[ORH_wxman]

EPS not quite as good as 00z, but this is workable at D7. 

 

 

[ORH_wxman]

Beyond that 12/2 threat which is pretty precarious as it is....the pattern looks about as favorable as you can get it considering we're firmly in a La Nina/-PDO regime this season....note the NAO ridging that has retrograded into Greenland from Scandavia....this is what Scott and I were talking about when we wanted to see it come back a couple days ago. It's been showing up again and it's gotten a bit stronger the last 2 runs of the EPS, so hopefully it's not fake. It makes the pattern a lot better when you have even just some weak ridging up there. 

 

This is a 5 day mean

 

.

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

ICON also joined the party

This does not add to my confidence