SnowenOutThere Posted Monday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:34 PM 8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Once again, @WxUSAF is absolutely correct to be concerned about "wasting patterns", but it's somewhat comforting to see things slowly trending cooler as we near our first shot of late autumn weather. Not only more expansive cold, but better negative anamolies. EDIT: Euro also showing this too! European even has not one but two chances for flurries next week! Obviously a long ways away and whatnot but still cool to see. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Monday at 08:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:02 PM 1 hour ago, SnowenOutThere said: European even has not one but two chances for flurries next week! Obviously a long ways away and whatnot but still cool to see. Would be cool if we could get a repeat of those thunder snow squalls that we saw last year. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Monday at 10:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:23 PM EPS snowfall panels.... 24 out of 50 (48%) give some part of the forum at least flurries thru November 14 (I count "some part of the forum" as flurries in at least one of the airports of RIC, BWI, IAD, and DCA). Maybe this thing does have a chance! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Monday at 10:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:35 PM 10 minutes ago, bncho said: EPS snowfall panels.... 24 out of 50 (48%) give some part of the forum at least flurries thru November 14 (I count "some part of the forum" as flurries in at least one of the airports of RIC, BWI, IAD, and DCA). Maybe this thing does have a chance! Are You really serious???? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 10:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:37 PM 12 minutes ago, bncho said: EPS snowfall panels.... 24 out of 50 (48%) give some part of the forum at least flurries thru November 14 (I count "some part of the forum" as flurries in at least one of the airports of RIC, BWI, IAD, and DCA). Maybe this thing does have a chance! I know CAPE is seeing #09 and thinking to himself..."it's in the bag weenies." 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Monday at 10:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:45 PM Well the 18z GFS isn't close to any snow. You guys made me look. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Monday at 11:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:25 PM 39 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Well the 18z GFS isn't close to any snow. You guys made me look. Mountains get a decent hit and it’s cold enough something might fly over. it’s nice to even be looking 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted yesterday at 01:11 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:11 AM we thinking first freeze in the cities? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted yesterday at 03:42 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:42 AM 2 hours ago, pazzo83 said: we thinking first freeze in the cities? Watch DCA not freeze until like December 30th or something 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted yesterday at 04:23 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:23 AM 40 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Watch DCA not freeze until like December 30th or something i remember once when living in NYC and the first sub 32 day was in early January. I used to run along the river on the UES and there were still rose bushes blooming after Christmas lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 03:35 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:35 PM thru November 13, 06z GEFS show 11 hits (at least flurries) out of 30 (37%). p30 looks cool as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 03:36 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:36 PM thru Nov 13, 0z EPS shows a whopping 25 hits out of 50 (50%). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago GFS paints a snow flurry next Wednesday. This GFS rub seems to show a few more cooler shots after brief warm ups, but not as dramatic as next week. At the end of the run it looked like warmth was coming, but it is way out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Man Euro was amped! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Euro and GFS both have a second cold push late next week now. Could be a pretty chilly week overall with multiple double digit BN days. Still looks like a warm up mid-month. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 4 hours ago, midatlanticweather said: Man Euro was amped! Get that to go neutral/negative and kaboom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 18z EURO looked a bit interesting at the end of its run. Least for the mountains. That’s where my commentary ends. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: 18z EURO looked a bit interesting at the end of its run. Least for the mountains. That’s where my commentary ends. Interesting indeed! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 1 hour ago, bncho said: Interesting indeed! Maybe some flurries make it over the mountain Monday night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago This is a longwave pattern that could produce some decent snow in the mountains and possibly first flakes for places east of there around Veteran's day. 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Monday's rain went poof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Rib injuries are so dumb that I want November snow. I'm all in on a '25/26 HECS/MECS/SECS trifecta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Ava mentioned snow/sleet last night when talking about Monday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago when in doubt, go with the great Apple weather! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6z EPS (yes, this system is finally getting within the medium-range now), shows a total of 26 hits (at least flurries at one of the airports) out of 50 (52%), and lots of panels are still trying to snow on us! Very aggressive, but perhaps it's onto (or on) something? 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, bncho said: when in doubt, go with the great Apple weather! I recall last winter, the Apple App did well locally for the first couple of snow events we had, and then the average joe accepted it as gospel for the remainder of winter and got burned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago operational supports its ensemble, and temperatures were quite chilly (around freezing, even in dc), meaning that snow might stick lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Thoughts on this from anyone? Perhaps there is now a Euro mid-range high QPF/warmth bias that erodes as we close on events this winter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago 47 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Thoughts on this from anyone? Perhaps there is now a Euro mid-range high QPF/warmth bias that erodes as we close on events this winter? JB has been lamenting the euro mid range warmth bias forever now. Always talks about how it's unable to see cold in the mid-longer range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 40 minutes ago Share Posted 40 minutes ago 12 minutes ago, IronTy said: JB has been lamenting the euro mid range warmth bias forever now. Always talks about how it's unable to see cold in the mid-longer range. Will be interesting to see if it extends this cool punch by a few days next week. Euro has been trying to flush it in and out in about 36 - 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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