November 2025 OBS Discussion

[qg_omega]

20 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Central part had 10 inches of snow between two systems in March.

March not a winter month

[EastonSN+]

21 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

March not a winter month

Still counts for the winter season total.

[SACRUS]

 

Gusting to 38 - 41 NW winds

[bluewave]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Took me 3 hours to go from river head to Commack. The LIE was a total disaster. It’s normally a 35 min ride 

My all-time favorite ride from Suffolk into Nassau was PD2 in 2003. Left Holbrook that Sunday evening with just cold and overcast conditions.

Quickly found developing moderate snow once down to Sunrise HWY near Bayshore. Then heavy snow and blowing snow by the time we crossed the Nassau line.

There was over 4” OTG by the time we got back to Long Beach with blowing and drifting snow. That had to be the slowest progression north that we ever had of heavy snow from the South Shore to the North Shore in a KU. 

You could watch the heavy snow on radar just south of JFK during the afternoon take until later in the evening to approach the Long Island Sound. 

 

[FPizz]

46 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Still counts for the winter season total.

Ignore him, hes a troll thats pushing 50 and post limited here and banned elsewhere.  Sad really.

40 mph gust here

[lee59]

Low barometric pressure today around 29.30.

[bluewave]

1 hour ago, qg_omega said:

March not a winter month

March 2019 was the last time that March was more like winter than spring month for us.

 

Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	6.2	6.2
2019	10.4	10.4
2018	11.6	11.6
2017	9.7	9.7
2016	0.9	0.9
2015	18.6	18.6
2014	0.1	0.1
2013	7.3	7.3
2012	0.0	0.0
2011	1.0	1.0
2010	T	T
2009	8.3	8.3

 

Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	0.1	0.1
2025	0.0	0.0
2024	T	T
2023	0.1	0.1
2022	0.4	0.4
2021	T	T
2020	T	T

 

 

[Sundog]

53 minutes ago, bluewave said:

My all-time favorite ride from Suffolk into Nassau was PD2 in 2003. Left Holbrook that Sunday evening with just cold and overcast conditions.

Quickly found developing moderate snow once down to Sunrise HWY near Bayshore. Then heavy snow and blowing snow by the time we crossed the Nassau line.

There was over 4” OTG by the time we got back to Long Beach with blowing and drifting snow. That had to be the slowest progression north that we ever had of heavy snow from the South Shore to the North Shore in a KU. 

You could watch the heavy snow on radar just south of JFK during the afternoon take until later in the evening to approach the Long Island Sound. 

 

I remember the radar that afternoon at JFK like it happened yesterday. It took two hours just for the snow to get from JFK to LGA. But once it got going it was pounding. 

[qg_omega]

22 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I remember the radar that afternoon at JFK like it happened yesterday. It took two hours just for the snow to get from JFK to LGA. But once it got going it was pounding. 

There was ocean effect also before the overrunning started in southern queens

[nycwinter]

5 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Thats wonderful

 

not really it feels like mid july..

[bluewave]

1 hour ago, Sundog said:

I remember the radar that afternoon at JFK like it happened yesterday. It took two hours just for the snow to get from JFK to LGA. But once it got going it was pounding. 

Yeah, most of the snow north of the South Shore on radar remained aloft for hours with the subzero dewpoints and strong high pressure.

 

 

[donsutherland1]

A colder air mass is now overspreading the region. The wind will diminish tonight. Below normal temperatures will prevail through at least Wednesday and possibly Thursday. Highs will be mainly in the middle and upper 40s in New York City with lows in the middle and upper 30s.

A milder pattern will likely develop during the latter part of the week. Some rain or rain showers are possible. Once in place, the milder pattern could continue for a week or longer. If so, that could tip the odds toward a warmer than normal monthly mean temperature.

Meanwhile, today will be Central Park's 1,387th consecutive day without daily snowfall of 4" or more. The record of 1,394 days was set during February 22, 1929 through December 16, 1932. That stretch ended with 6.7" daily snowfall on December 17, 1932.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around November 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.55°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through at least mid-winter.

The SOI was +8.20 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.552 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 53% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 47.7° (0.3° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be at the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.