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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)


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19 minutes ago, FXWX said:

While it is always fun to fantasize about extreme events, this setup is still a long shot for New England!  Signal for a violent Atlantic system is strong, but right now I think the chance it has direct impacts for most of the Northeast is low.  It is not like the ensembles show a clustering into New England.  The Canadian has always been good for weather porn, but rarely leads the way.  After a while, chasing the one or two outlying ensemble members gets old.  I would love to see a late October monster hybrid, but until I see a wholesale change in where the main ensemble cluster sets up, I would recommend keeping expectations very much on the low side.  Although if I were living in NS I'd keep close tabs.

 

 

Yeah it's very low chances, but certainly not impossible. Even the ensemble "clusters" or "camps" are a mess through D5, even D2. lol so we'll see where things land in a few days.

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11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think we all know it's low chance. But it's fun to fire up Kev only to see his disappointment a week later.

This time though. Something is different. This one has legs. It’s not a pipe dream . Strong gut feeling . Just a different setup and feel. Either shit or get off the pot. Those that want to join me… please do so now as the train will quickly pick up steam this weekend when it becomes obvious what’s coming .

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11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This time though. Something is different. This one has legs. It’s not a pipe dream . Strong gut feeling . Just a different setup and feel. Either shit or get off the pot. Those that want to join me… please do so now as the train will quickly pick up steam this weekend when it becomes obvious what’s coming .

You're ridiculous :lol:

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1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

Yeah it's very low chances, but certainly not impossible. Even the ensemble "clusters" or "camps" are a mess through D5, even D2. lol so we'll see where things land in a few days.

Agree... And yes!  Would love to track a one in every 20 - 30 year storm...

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I think we all know it's low chance. But it's fun to fire up Kev only to see his disappointment a week later.

Lol... Sooner or later there has to be a major bust in our favor...  I love Kevin... He goes all in and one of these days he will be able to spit in our faces...  

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3 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

To Tip’s earlier point, irrespective of what happens with Melissa, there is a strong storm signal on the EPS. If there is any tropical infusion it’ll be a hell of a hybrid for us or Atlantic Canada. 

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There are some absolutely nuclear solutions across guidance. 

 

3 hours ago, FXWX said:

While it is always fun to fantasize about extreme events, this setup is still a long shot for New England!  Signal for a violent Atlantic system is strong, but right now I think the chance it has direct impacts for most of the Northeast is low.  It is not like the ensembles show a clustering into New England.  The Canadian has always been good for weather porn, but rarely leads the way.  After a while, chasing the one or two outlying ensemble members gets old.  I would love to see a late October monster hybrid, but until I see a wholesale change in where the main ensemble cluster sets up, I would recommend keeping expectations very much on the low side.  Although if I were living in NS I'd keep close tabs.

 

 

Congrats Bermuda. It's always Bermuda.

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