September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum

[Stormlover74]

Made it to 87 here

[weatherpruf]

1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

This is as good as you're going to get at this time of year. Watch us have 100-degree heat at this time next year.

you never know; i went out on the sound porgy fishing last year in early oct or so and just threw some ice in a bucket; it got so hot by noon the ice melted and i had to scramble lest the fish spoil; had to empty out the food cooler and toss the fish in the remaining ice; as it was a soft cooler, ice is a no no and it leaked out all the way home, which was a 3 hour ride back to nj....

[donsutherland1]

Overnight, New York City saw its biggest one- and two-day rainfall since August 20 and August 20-21. The guidance has continued to increase rainfall amounts for later Saturday into Sunday with some of the guidance showing the potential for an inch or more of rain in places. As a result, this could be New York City's biggest rainfall since 2.64" fell on July 14. That rainfall was highlighted by an hourly figure of 2.07".

September 6 will also be the 17th anniversary of a widespread rainstorm that produced daily record figures across the New York City region and nearby southern New England. Daily records set in 2008 included:

Bridgeport: 2.90"
Danbury: 5.96"
Hartford: 5.22"
Islip: 2.29"
New Haven: 3.31"
New York City-Central Park: 3.26"
New York City-JFK Airport: 2.51"
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 3.21"
Newark: 3.64"
Poughkeepsie: 2.20"
Providence: 3.95"
Westhampton: 2.32"
White Plains: 4.42"

In terms of temperatures, tomorrow will be another warm day. Temperatures will top out in the lower and middle 80s before another cooler air mass moves into the region. A few of the warmer spots could top out in the upper 80s.

Following the passage of a strong cold front, temperatures will mainly top out in the 70s during the daytime and fall into the 50s at nighttime in New York City through at least the middle of next week. Additional showers or rain is possible around midweek.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around August 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.32°C. La Niña conditions will likely develop during mid- or late-autumn.

The SOI was +17.71 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.231 today. 

 

[wdrag]

May start a thread at 630AM Saturday for OBS-NOWCAST fairly widespread svr and a few Possible FF along I95 corridor.  Model trends important and so am not committed yet but I think we're going to be pretty interested in the activity, especially for SEPT.

SVR threat seems larger than the FF due to the recent dryness on and east of I95.  

However NNJ - central NJ inside of I95...  be on your toes and no hanging out on stream banks once this system gets going. There were very sharp rises (and falls) of small streams last evening .  Might be more extreme tomorrow.   Aquiet period Sat evening before the widespread moderate rains with embedded thunder occur overnight Sat. 

Eastern LI probably not too much til maybe e Sunday morning 

[WestBabylonWeather]

Last “warm” night of the season maybe? 

[donsutherland1]

The 0.48" rainfall at Bridgeport today broke the daily record for September 5. The old mark of 0.44" was set in 2012.

[doncat]

Warmest day in a while...up to 87° high, had 0.40" rain overnight.

[qg_omega]

Smoke?

[IrishRob17]

7 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Smoke?

You couldn't tell by looking at the sky this afternoon?