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Tropical Storm Erin - NOW AT 45 KTS @ 18Z!


Predict her peak  

9 members have voted

  1. 1. Predict Erin’s peak

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3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

The GFS is trending a bit towards a trough capture. Certainly too late for a New England landfall, but brings Atlantic Canada back into the conversation 

gfs_z500a_us_31 (1).png

Newfoundland in particular. They’ve been getting either glancing blows or direct hits sporadically on the op Euro and GFS.

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  • BarryStantonGBP changed the title to Tropical Storm Erin - NOW AT 45 KTS @ 18Z!
1 hour ago, GaWx said:

12Z Euro: it doesn’t recurve til 75W and thus comes within 150 miles of NC! The OB are directly affected by its NW side. Gary Slezak, is that you?

IMG_4345.thumb.png.e5d2d27546dc43641fa7a37e9bb55d5b.png

Exactly as modeled that would cause some serious coastal damage on the outer banks. Wash overs and severe beach erosion. And to a lesser extent all the way to New England from swell action. I’ll pass on Erin getting that closer as the circulation would be close enough to effect local winds here on Long Island ruining the big surf for surfing. 

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