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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat


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12z operational GFS is approaching 600 dm SSE of Cape Cod while the whole NE region is immersed in 588 + dm ridge node, with a plume of trapped +21C 850 mb air rattling around inside of it resonating to the diurnal cycle. 

That's at D7.5 so likely to modulate in future guidance, but that's obviously an implication of something more than merely AN later next week.

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NAM insists on a pretty significant temperature burst in 2-3 hrs.    

WPC analyzing the warm boundary W-E thru central NE; the region's primed for a temp rise.  High res vis imagery suggests the mid level gunk is smearing away and immediately there's skylights opening up over NE PA/E-SE NY.   It's early ...  As that tendency arrives, we'll likely see better heating.

 

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3 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Deer fly's are out in full force this morning, me and the dog got bombarded on our morning walk. Need to wear a hat.

Yeah. When I walked the dog at 6AM they were terrible. Later on, when we did a longer walk (8:30 or so) they weren’t as bad.   The hat thing is definitely a good idea 

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