Winter 2025-26

[Eskimo Joe]

37 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Big time +EPO this October.. models are showing it for the 2nd half of the month. EPO carries very well from October to January-February

From your mouth to the ear of the weather gods. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

12 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

From your mouth to the ear of the weather gods. 

Actually it would mean +EPO October would beget +EPO Jan-Feb. The map is showing -EPO as the default state, but the correlation has both signs considered. 

We needed a +PNA/-EPO October, like 2002. The Pacific H5 has >+0.2 correlation, or 60% chance to roll forward to the Winter, which is more than usual. 

[Steve25]

1 hour ago, frd said:

Might as well go 2017-2024. It’s not just since 2020 that things have been below average. 
 

It’s wild to think Baltimore hasn’t seen anything close to a real snowstorm in about 10 years, yet it feels like we’re punting on the odds of one occurring this upcoming winter. That’s not even negative thinking, it’s just realistic given the setup. Seems like even the most optimistic outlook would say we would need to piece together multiple different smaller events to get near or above average snowfall. 
 

I know a lot of us will still be hoping for a rare major snowstorm in a La Niña, and maybe the further we get away from January 2016, the more likely we get lucky with some funky setup just because we’re “due.” It just kind of sucks that hope is already pretty drained before we even get to November.