dailylurker Posted April 7, 2025 Share Posted April 7, 2025 It's been a long time since we've seen a good coastal storm. The euro looks like a potential drought buster. As usual.. the heaviest as of now looks to be along the bay and Eastern Shore. I'm sure this thread will do great lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted April 7, 2025 Share Posted April 7, 2025 Man I hope so. Been a long time... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 7, 2025 Share Posted April 7, 2025 The 4"+ on the Euro would be kind of fun. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 8, 2025 Share Posted April 8, 2025 Initial O/U for MBY: 0.6” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted April 8, 2025 Share Posted April 8, 2025 The GFS is kind of all over the place, but the other systems and their ensembles seem to be converging on the idea of at least a modest if not a more significant soaker. Looks like a good test of the theory that good rains progged in dry patterns can often fail. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 8, 2025 Share Posted April 8, 2025 3 hours ago, dailylurker said: It's been a long time since we've seen a good coastal storm. The euro looks like a potential drought buster. As usual.. the heaviest as of now looks to be along the bay and Eastern Shore. I'm sure this thread will do great lol. Glad I put the larvicide down yesterday when my wetland area was largely dry. After today's rain, many places now with a couple inches of water lying. If that comes to fruition, it will become pretty expansive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 8, 2025 Share Posted April 8, 2025 WB 12Z globals 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 8, 2025 Share Posted April 8, 2025 Been awhile since we had a 24hour type soaking like what’s being advertised. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted April 8, 2025 Share Posted April 8, 2025 I am going with 0.5 in Germantown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted April 8, 2025 Share Posted April 8, 2025 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Been awhile since we had a 24hour type soaking like what’s being advertised. Have not been paying close attention - onset later on Thursday and lasting through Saturday morning what is being generally depicted? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 8, 2025 Share Posted April 8, 2025 Really hope the Euro D3 wet bias isn't kicking in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 8, 2025 Share Posted April 8, 2025 WB 18Z 12K NAM at range....and still raining. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted April 8, 2025 Share Posted April 8, 2025 The 18z NAM paints high elevation snows for western areas Friday night. With a wrapped up system this is likely. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 Lol. It figures I'm going to be in Myrtle Beach and miss (maybe) the best storm in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 4 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Lol. It figures I'm going to be in Myrtle Beach and miss (maybe) the best storm in years. Don't worry . It will end up being .00 in the desert 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 8 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Lol. It figures I'm going to be in Myrtle Beach and miss (maybe) the best storm in years. It's kind of a weak low, but it is taking a premium track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 18z GFS had a legit 1" - 2.5" of rain from I-81 to I-95. That would be perfect. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 Concerns: 1) The axis of heaviest rainfall will be relatively narrow; it's not some huge coastal low-induced rain shield 2) We've been in a dry pattern 3) Precipitable water amounts will be decent but not overly impressive Pros: 1) Ensemble agreement is quite healthy 2) There will be a zone of healthy frontogenesis with good flow off of the Atlantic that has potential to target our nicely quite effectively Hoping that the good model agreement that favors us holds overnight. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 Euro and gfs hold overnight. Euro favors I81 corridor, GFS the metro areas. GGEM lost it and went to the icon solution where the new low scoots out to sea…still about 0.5-1.25” though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 I am trying to keep expectations in check, but expecting the dry slot to be over the metros seems about right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 06z GFS runs a solid 1" - 2.5" for everyone east of I-81. Maybe a few 3" spots NW of Baltimore? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 WB 12Z model runs....12k NAM off to a great start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 WB 9Z SREF NBM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 Maybe we finally will have a storm strengthen inside 48 hours rather than fizzle out. (Now that I'm retired I have plenty of time to watch...) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 WB 12Z ICON evolution is much further east and north.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 WB 12Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: Maybe we finally will have a storm strengthen inside 48 hours rather than fizzle out. (Now that I'm retired I have plenty of time to watch...) Congratulations. I'm looking forward to a lot more maps next winter. 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 GFS is about 30 miles too far northwest. Once it slips southeast a hair and that < .50" contour is over Baltimore, it'll be dead on accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GFS Yea that tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted April 9, 2025 Share Posted April 9, 2025 WB 12Z EURO 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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