2025-2026 ENSO

[MJO812]

19 minutes ago, stadiumwave said:

 

Probably brief spike before a storm & does not see it clearly. 

But per Bering Sea rule, expect a ridge in the east at the end of month. Could be temporary but not exactly sure. 

Most likelt temporary if that.  We  are currently in phase 8 . You also have to factor in the lag. 

[A-L-E-K]

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

New weeks 3-4 outlook makes sense since it’s similar to the Euro Weeklies. But hopefully they will end up too warm:

Already growing tired of this 

[JenkinsJinkies]

CPC is wrong more often than it’s right.

[raindancewx]

The blend of the cold week this past week and the severe heat in November is pretty close to where the full winter ends up - maybe the green area finishes a touch west. But decent microcosm of what I expect - in theory cold enough for a ton of snow in the NE US, but probably too dry or poorly timed for actual heavy snow.

[SnoSki14]

Seeing several clipper type systems on guidance so although big snowstorms are off the table, light to moderate events seem possible even down to Mid-Atlantic 

[GaWx]

 All 0Z ensembles are much colder in the E US 12/13-17 vs earlier runs.