CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Talk dirty to us with deets Been awhile since I saw this. Maybe GFS is wild, but has 60kts+ at top of boundary layer. Nam more like 50-55. You can't assume all that mixes down, but GFS certainly would be over 60mph gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 I expect Monday to be howling. I didn’t expect the amount of wind last night and today. Once these systems blow up in the maritimes it gets windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Just now, weathafella said: I expect Monday to be howling. I didn’t expect the amount of wind last night and today. Once these systems blow up in the maritimes it gets windy. Sun getting a little stronger and can mix winds down a bit more vs 4-5 weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Bleh. Deep winter here now though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Wow, after putting down 6-8" of snow, RGEM drops 0.5-0.75" of QPF as sleet for portions of CNE. That is a high impact event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 15 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Damn that’s some juice huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Been awhile since I saw this. Maybe GFS is wild, but has 60kts+ at top of boundary layer. Nam more like 50-55. You can't assume all that mixes down, but GFS certainly would be over 60mph gusts. Man that is just filthy dirty naughtiness!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1890503605360251065?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 15 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Damn that’s some juice huh Yea liquid…juice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 High Phil warning for some Sunday night into Monday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: High Phil warning for some Sunday night into Monday Lights out in Hubbardston. Looters coming to your unpaved street. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: High Phil warning for some Sunday night into Monday We may have a huge area in the dark come Monday 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We may have a huge area in the dark come Monday Some are in the dark now 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Some are in the dark now What are your forecast thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 41 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Bleh. Deep winter here now though. That looks pretty aggressive in S NH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 27 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea liquid…juice Lol, well I didn’t specify did I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 BOX is drunk. I don't see how my area gets .10 or less of zr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That looks pretty aggressive in S NH. It’s bottom end. 8” and 9” on the point forecasts. I’m guessing 6” of snow and then 2-3” sleet? But yeah, definitely on the higher end of any guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Just now, ineedsnow said: BOX is drunk. I don't see how my area gets .10 or less of zr Easy. You snow, sleet, and then briefly zr and dryslot. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Easy. You snow, sleet, and then briefly zr and dryslot. Let’s get something public from you on the forum so we can see how your forecast for South of pike grades out . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 I'd guess late morning transition to IP as the warm nose moves in between 925 and 850mb. The warm nose will drop a bit flipping us to ZR before we flip back to SN as the cold comes crashing back in. Latest trend has IP lasting quite a few hours so your 1" estimate is not bad. ZR will be maybe 0.05 to 0.10". 2m temps should stay below freezing the whole time.Yeah, that is why I went with the ranges I did with a glaze (the .1"ZR). Either way that would cement into a glacierSent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That looks pretty aggressive in S NH. I thought the same and then checked the probabilistic chart. KASH = 3" - 8" - 10" for low, expected, high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Looks like 36 hours of collapsing roofs, followed by days of downed trees and power outages. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Me old standard NAM FOUS from 18z was tick colder. The triangulation method implied 5 or 6" of snow along Rt 2 west of 95 on on out, then a mix of IP and ZR to some .3" accretion before ending, but could be higher ice if less IP 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: Easy. You snow, sleet, and then briefly zr and dryslot. That’s exactly what is coming for most. There will be a narrow band of heavier icing, but that will be determined closer to go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Love these long duration events. Starts Saturday early -mid afternoon and lasts into Sunday night . Then huge winds . A 3 day wild weather affair 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Love these long duration events. Starts Saturday early -mid afternoon and lasts into Sunday night . Then huge winds . A 3 day wild weather affair Winds will persist through Tuesday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 I’m not looking forward to it. I hate these messes. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: Bleh. Deep winter here now though. More in Portsmouth than Portland and Augusta?! Don’t understand this map in southeastern NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 2 hours ago, weathafella said: 3k is 12/16/07. Someone may be dumbfounded. Great storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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