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36 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

rough ocean conditions starting saturday, hope they let us in the water

Highly unlikely especially Sunday. Despite distance Ernesto is going to be a very large storm, with a huge fetch area. So it’s going to produce a huge long period swell. Add strong sw winds Sunday ahead of the cold front and it’s a perfect storm dangerous rips. I expect all guarded Beachs to be red flagged and closed. This is the type of swell we usually see in September after peak season.

Also expect wash overs and more erosion. Long period swells are especially energetic and tend to wash right over beaches. So a lake where this beach usually is.

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Records:

Highs:

EWR:  99 (1988)
NYC: 97 (1988)
LGA: 97 (1985)
JFK: 98 (1988)


Lows:

EWR: 54 (1964)
NYC: 54 (1964)
LGA: 59 (1964)
JFK: 57 (964)

Historical:

 

1898 - A deadly, estimated F4 tornado moved southeast from 12 miles northwest of Clear Lake, South Dakota, passing 7 miles north of town and ending about 4 miles west of Gary. Deaths occurred on two farms. One man was killed when the kitchen of his farm house was torn off. Five members of one family were killed along with two labors on another farm as every building was swept away. Buildings suffered massive damage on eight farms. This tornado was one of the earliest, estimated F4 tornadoes on record for South Dakota.

1936 - Temperatures across much of eastern Kansas soared above 110 degrees. Kansas City MO hit an all-time record high of 113 degrees. It was one of sixteen consecutive days of 100 degree heat for Kansas City. During that summer there were a record 53 days of 100 degree heat, and during the three summer months Kansas City received just 1.12 inches of rain. (The Kansas City Weather Almanac)

1953 - Hurricane Barbara hits North Carolina as a Category 2 hurricane. Damage from the storm was relatively minor, totaling around $1.3 million (1953 USD). Most of it occurred in North Carolina and Virginia from crop damage. The hurricane left several injuries, some traffic accidents, as well as seven fatalities in the eastern United States; at least two were due to electrocution from downed power lines. Offshore Atlantic Canada, a small boat sunk, killing its crew of two.

1969: Hurricane Camille, a powerful, deadly, and destructive hurricane formed just west of the Cayman Islands on this day. It rapidly intensified, and by the time it reached western Cuba the next day, it was a Category 3 hurricane. Hurricane Camille was spawned on August 5th by a tropical wave off the coast of Africa. The storm became a tropical disturbance four days later on the 9th and a tropical storm on the 14th with a 999-millibar pressure center and 55 mph surface winds.

1987 - Slow moving thunderstorms deluged northern and western suburbs of Chicago IL with torrential rains. O'Hare Airport reported 9.35 inches in 18 hours, easily exceeding the previous 24 hour record of 6.24 inches. Flooding over a five day period resulted in 221 million dollars damage. It was Chicago's worst flash flood event, particularly for northern and western sections of the city. Kennedy Expressway became a footpath for thousands of travelers to O'Hare Airport as roads were closed. The heavy rains swelled the Des Plaines River above flood stage, and many persons had to be rescued from stalled vehicles on flooded roads. (13th- 14th) (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) (The Weather Channel)

1988 - Eighteen cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, and the water temperature at Lake Erie reached a record 80 degrees. Portland ME reported a record fourteen straight days of 80 degree weather. Milwaukee WI reported a record 34 days of 90 degree heat for the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms resulted in about fifty reports of severe weather in the northeastern U.S. One person was killed at Stockbridge MI when a tornado knocked a tree onto their camper. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Afternoon thunderstorms in Illinois soaked the town of Battendorf with 2.10 inches of rain in thirty minutes. Evening thunderstorms in Montana produced wind gusts to 66 mph at Hobson. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

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75 / 62 and sunny.   Warmer two days Thu / Fri - upper 80s to 90 / lows 90s in the warm spots with more humid flow.  Ernesto west of Bermuda this weekend then north from there.   Weekend looks cloudy - onshor-ish with storms and rain, especially Sunday.  Onshore flow Mon - Wed next week keeps it cooler.   Warmer towards the last week of the month as western heat and heights build north - east.   

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

Another nice airmass coming in for next week. Looks as if we could see high temps in the upper 70s with low humidity for Tuesday through Thursday next week. This is turning out to be a pretty comfortable August after that blazing hot July that we had. 

Yeah we should end up around +1 or so 

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95° has been the average max last decade after August 25th at Newark. But it’s been a challenge since 1993 reaching 100°. Must be related the summers getting wetter. Had the 2019 early October flash drought been a month earlier we would have done it.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2023-10-07 97 0
2022-10-07 93 0
2021-10-07 97 0
2020-10-07 93 0
2019-10-07 96 0
2018-10-07 98 0
2017-10-07 92 0
2016-10-07 95 0
2015-10-07 98 0
2014-10-07 95 0


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1953-10-07 105 0
2 1948-10-07 103 0
3 1993-10-07 100 0
- 1973-10-07 100 0
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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 

7 hours ago, bluewave said:

95° has been the average max last decade after August 25th at Newark. But it’s been a challenge since 1993 reaching 100°. Must be related the summers getting wetter. Had the 2019 early October flash drought been a month earlier we would have done it.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2023-10-07 97 0
2022-10-07 93 0
2021-10-07 97 0
2020-10-07 93 0
2019-10-07 96 0
2018-10-07 98 0
2017-10-07 92 0
2016-10-07 95 0
2015-10-07 98 0
2014-10-07 95 0


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1953-10-07 105 0
2 1948-10-07 103 0
3 1993-10-07 100 0
- 1973-10-07 100 0

 

This Aug opened as one of the hottest ones since 2006 1 - 6th.  The 7 - 13 (normal).  Looks +2-+3 14th - 18th.

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 99 (1988)
NYC: 97 (1988)
LGA: 97 (1985)
JFK: 98 (1988)


Lows:

EWR: 54 (1964)
NYC: 54 (1964)
LGA: 59 (1964)
JFK: 57 (1964)

Historical:
 

1787 - Tornadoes were reported in Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire. Wethersfield CT was hard hit by the tornado outbreak. (David Ludlum)

1946 - Saint Louis, MO, was deluged with a record 8.78 inches of rain in 24 hours. (The Weather Channel)

1967 - The sundance fire in northern Idaho was started by lightning. Winds of 50 mph carried firebrands as much as ten miles in advance to ignite new fires, and as a result, the forest fire spread twenty miles across the Selkirk Mountains in just twelve hours, burning 56,000 acres. The heat of the fire produced whirlwinds of flame with winds up to 300 mph which flung giant trees about like matchsticks. (David Ludlum)

1983 - Hurricane Alicia formed on this day and was the costliest tropical cyclone in the Atlantic since Hurricane Agnes in 1972. It struck Galveston and Houston, Texas directly, causing $2.6 billion (1983 USD) in damage and killing 21 people. This storm was the worst Texas hurricane since Hurricane Carla in 1961. Also, Alicia was the first billion-dollar tropical cyclone in Texas history.

1987 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a sharp cold front produced severe weather in the Upper Midwest during the afternoon and evening hours, with Minnesota and eastern South Dakota hardest hit. A thunderstorm in west central Minnesota spawned a tornado at Eagle Lake which killed one person and injured eight others. A thunder- storm in eastern South Dakota produced softball size hail at Warner. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thirty five cities in twenty states in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lamoni IA and Baltimore MD, where the mercury hit 105 degrees. Temperatures 100 degrees or above were reported in twenty-two states. Pierre SD was the hot spot in the nation with a high of 114 degrees. Bluefield WV reported eight straight days of record heat. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Evening thunderstorms in eastern New Mexico produced wind gusts to 66 mph at Clovis. Evening thunderstorms in West Texas produced baseball size hail around Hereford, Dimmitt, Ware and Dalhart. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

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10 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 

 

This Aug opened as one of the hottest ones since 2006 1 - 6th.  The 7 - 13 (normal).  Looks +2-+3 14th - 18th.

First time since 1955 that August opened with a 100° first week followed by a tropical storm which broke the heat.

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18 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Euro is very wet for this weekend into Monday 

Probably  have to rely on convection for rains next few weeks as the tropics look quieter after Ernesto. We’ll see if one of the waves can enhance the rainfall or maybe try to develop as we get closer to September.
 

 

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