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Temperatures soared well into the 90s across many parts of the Middle Atlantic region today. A southeasterly wind helped cap temperatures in New York City during the afternoon. High temperatures included:

Baltimore: 104° (tied record set in 1988)
Bridgeport: 92°
Islip: 93°
New York City: 94°
Newark: 99°
Philadelphia: 98°
Washington, DC: 104° (tied record set in 1988)

Tomorrow will again see hot and humid conditions. Widespread 90s likely. An approaching cold front will likely bring heavy thunderstorms to the region during the afternoon or evening. Cooler air will arrive afterward.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead.  

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.3°C for the week centered around July 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall.

The SOI was -10.28 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.019 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 87% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 80.1° (2.6° above normal). That would tie 2024 with 1993 as the 7th hottest July on record.

 

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14 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

There's another one behind that that might just miss to the south

Headed toward warlock 

.60 here.  That one to the south of me looks pretty sick.  My buddy said it was the worst rain he's ever driven in

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