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March 2024 disco/obs


Torch Tiger
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1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

We went 12 days without a full inch at the plot in mid-winter.  That is incredibly hard to do. Now every measurement is multiple inches.

Climo wise, Where are you right now relative to avg?

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9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Climo wise, Where are you right now relative to avg?

I looked at the past 10 years the other day, it is a wild ride.  From worst ever in 2015-16, to monster year in 2016-17… the variability is wild for measuring in the same place.

2014-15… 290”
2015-16… 156”
2016-17… 375”
2017-18… 264”
2018-19… 308” (*Under-reported due to snow reporting changes and misses.)
2019-20… COVID early closure, data incomplete.
2020-21… 218”
2021-22… 225”
2022-23… 221”
2023-24… 246” as of 3/21.

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1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

I looked at the past 10 years the other day, 
2014-15… 290”
2015-16… 156”
2016-17… 375”
2017-18… 264”
2018-19… 308” (*Under-reporter due to snow reporting changes and misses.)
2019-20… COVID early closure, data incomplete.
2020-21… 218”
2021-22… 225”
2022-23… 221”
2023-24… 246” as of 3/21.

You made up a lot of ground here in March it seems this year.

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17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Destroys PF

Yeah, I was looking at that but it does it on a northwest wind.  I’m a little suspect of that. Synoptic scale snows upwards of a foot doesnt typically happen on a northwest wind, and this isn’t that kind of backward tilted deep cyclone. Looks a little dubiously like typical NAM ANA bullshit

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18 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I looked at the past 10 years the other day, it is a wild ride.  From worst ever in 2015-16, to monster year in 2016-17… the variability is wild for measuring in the same place.

2014-15… 290”
2015-16… 156”
2016-17… 375”
2017-18… 264”
2018-19… 308” (*Under-reported due to snow reporting changes and misses.)
2019-20… COVID early closure, data incomplete.
2020-21… 218”
2021-22… 225”
2022-23… 221”
2023-24… 246” as of 3/21.

2015-16 was worse in almost every way. There are more than 100 clubs grooming snowmobile trails across the state and I think there was less than 8000 miles groomed that year. The final numbers aren’t in yet for this year but it’s much more than that. It’s over 100,000 in a normal year. This year is probably more frustrating though. 

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23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Mitch kind of porked this year. May have to add security details for PF going to and coming home from the ski area.

I had a beer tonight with a couple that lives just east of him (Mitch) and they were commenting on how odd a winter it's been.  They made a comment that would fit right in on this forum.  They both work at Mt Snow and the wife said "it's like the atmosphere was trying to find ways not to snow all winter".   Great folks and I told them to check him out on twitter.

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3 minutes ago, mreaves said:

This thing is going to be a replay of almost every other storm we’ve had here this winter, 8”-10” of wet, heavy snow that’s a ball buster to clear. 

Agreed.  00z HRRR positive snow depth gains map.

IMG_8824.thumb.png.b011017d7ca98d2b6f7b36a5b05c8c63.png
 

00z 3km NAM positive snow depth gains.

IMG_8825.thumb.png.bf90cc7700f18c081a85aa56e7fe44c6.png

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Just now, mreaves said:

They both really screw Mitch. Lol

The 12km NAM positive snow depth map is pretty crazy.  I think we have a good chance of a healthy 6”+ snowfall when the progs look like this.   It will change and move around but it will be hard to see less than 6” with the current look.

IMG_8826.thumb.png.7ed0d5d03ff0ce2c9ddecf0b3b6f4872.png

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6 hours ago, powderfreak said:

The 12km NAM positive snow depth map is pretty crazy.  I think we have a good chance of a healthy 6”+ snowfall when the progs look like this.   It will change and move around but it will be hard to see less than 6” with the current look.

IMG_8826.thumb.png.7ed0d5d03ff0ce2c9ddecf0b3b6f4872.png

12-18" for Stowe..get excited

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9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Models including euro went south a bit. Looks like a huge mess central NH. Jack maybe between Stowe and Gene? Gfs is very icy for dendrite.

I just looked at a bunch of the models.  I better go make  sure I have extra gas for the snow blower.

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