DarkSharkWX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 btw 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, DarkSharkWX said: btw Yep, follow the trend. Oh and again this is not a clipper the is a west coast storm coast to coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 A DC to Salisbury jackpot. Very interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Both NAMs were a little dry and boring lolNams are always dry with clippers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: btw Yeah...NBM is a good conservative resource. So many models ingested. And the spread around lag seems to keep it from swinging much from run to run https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/mdl/nbm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Icon still has the duel banding feature but it doesn’t show on the snowfall because the southern qpf max is rain this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Honestly I’d Ignore the southern qpf max. History suggests results there will be underwhelming. Focus on getting into that northern max. That’s where the goods will be. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 35 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: btw for kgai, SLR is 12-13:1 at peak precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Kuchera 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 0z Canadian has the same feature of a precip minima over my house. Dry is the problem. It's basically 1-3". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 0z Canadian has the same feature of a precip minima over my house. Dry is the problem. It's basically 1-3".Would be disappointing but we can’t know yet. I’ll start whining on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 0z Canadian has the same feature of a precip minima over my house. Dry is the problem. It's basically 1-3".Would be disappointing but we can’t know yet. I’ll start whining on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Looking like a general 2 to 4 inches in central md.. although last few storms the day before the storm hit models increased amounts. Curious to see if modeling does that tomorrow and tomorrow night for this storm coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Would be disappointing but we can’t know yet. I’ll start whining on Friday No way we could ever know. The idea of models beefing up QPF does seem to have some validity based on past experience 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 bleh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: No way we could ever know. The idea of models beefing up QPF does seem to have some validity based on past experience I’d wager on slight bump up vs down in QPF in the 24 hour lead in. Even so, I’m not turning down 1-3” (paging RR). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: bleh Apparently the C in CMC doesn’t stand for Cupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: bleh Guess I'm giving up snow for Lent 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 with the higher than norm 10:1 ratios majority of guidance suggests this is a 2-4 or 3-5 inch IMO event south of I-78 in NJ down to at least DC and all the way to the beaches in NJ at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 King UKIE has entered the party 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: King UKIE has entered the party IMO the models are not taking into account the higher ratios possible ( just like they didn't account for the lower ratios of the previous storm) especially the further colder north you go in the precip field so some areas you can add up to 50% more to the totals displayed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 16 hours ago, stormtracker said: I hope your kid is out of school for the entirety of a week and you’re stuck playing outside every day while a cold, hostile wind blows drifts into your driveway and you can’t escape for days. I hope there are abandoned cars in your neighborhood and the main thoroughfare looks like a third world country with no snowplows. Don't worry Terpeast. I the Jebman will dig you out of the snow. I will clear your street, too! Who needs plows? You got The Jebman! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Euro is a bit north of 18Z w max stripe right through DC metro but DC proper is also flirting with the freezing mark.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 hours ago, nj2va said: I’d wager on slight bump up vs down in QPF in the 24 hour lead in. Even so, I’m not turning down 1-3” (paging RR). You aren’t?. I never knew you were so happy with such a small outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 euro was a solid run. 3-4" over my house. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 WB 6Z 3K, ICON, GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The mountains tear apart QPF field. That is why most of are good storms come from the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 55 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z 3K, ICON, GFS Pretty remarkably similar with the location of the two maximums on these 3. I like the purples on the icon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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