ravensrule Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: This storm is kind of simple for the global models. So I think some people will issue determinative forecasts too early. Every local TV station plus the national news tonight, was talking about it already. Pretty unusual 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, DeeDeeHCue said: We’re now, what, under 120 hours from when this system enters the Mid-Atlantic? Getting close to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 This storm is kind of simple for the global models. So I think some people will issue determinative forecasts too early. The hype is going to be out of control. Especially since we haven’t had anything like this for awhile. I already have people sharing pictures of snow maps from Facebook with me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 A little bit stronger vort this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 GFS is a torch....ouch...low plows inland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 Just now, Deck Pic said: GFS is a torch....ouch...low plows inland Yup, a bit ugly for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4pm Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Gfs back north again. I’m not worried about it, it’s been back and forth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 It’s not far off being great and is awesome for many… let’s not jump too far off the ledge. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: GFS is a torch....ouch...low plows inland Backside isn't bad tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: GFS is a torch....ouch...low plows inland You scared me. It still gives me almost 10”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 7 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Every local TV station plus the national news tonight, was talking about it already. Pretty unusual long tracking threats are gonna work alot better with Ninos than northern stream dominated winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: It’s not far off being great and is awesome for many… let’s not jump too far off the ledge. Post 135 or 138 when you get to it. This is really a crushing for Winchester > Ctown > Westminster 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Backside isn't bad tho That’s not the first time I have heard you say that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 It's amazing out here obviously. But that is too close for comfort even here. Icon east, gfs west. Here comes a few days of model mayhem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 About 6 hours faster with precip, wobble’s expected. Wobble baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Pass. Hi I’m the new JI. ETA: I need the wiper blades to swing back the other way by tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Post 135 or 138 when you get to it. This is really a crushing for Winchester > Ctown > WestminsterIt’s not the magic ICON run for the cities… but I assume we’d all take (tho I would travel to I-81 personally)? Even if a little reluctantly as cities flip to heavy rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 Can't say I'm all that worried right now. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 It's amazing out here obviously. But that is too close for comfort even here. Icon east, gfs west. Here comes a few days of model mayhem. Has there been a model run minus the 12z Canadian where you haven’t been forecast 1’ or more of snow?Maybe I’m naive, but I’d be willing to wager a good sum that I-81 gets a 6”+ snowstorm at this juncture. Imagine the stress you’d be feeling in the lowlands 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: It’s not the magic ICON run for the cities… but I assume we’d all take (tho I would travel to I-81 personally)? Even if a little reluctantly as cities flip to heavy rain? I might travel for this one. I'm gonna wait until Friday probably to decide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Speaking of 12z CMC, 00z sticks to that script. FRZA for favored zones. Rain for the rest. Definitely one of the worst case scenarios 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NVAwx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 We needed that reality check. Yall were getting too comfortable. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Has there been a model run minus the 12z Canadian where you haven’t been forecast a 1’ or more of snow? Maybe I’m naive, but I’d be willing to wager a good sum that I-81 gets a 6”+ snowstorm at this juncture. Imagine the stress you’d be feeling in the lowlands Icon just did it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 This isnt even that bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Really amped this run. WB OZ GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 4pm Sat Question on these maps… is there a real mixing risk out at Deep Creek or is that just some weird output with these types of maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Still not too bad!! But i am hoio I nh the Gfs ensembles (GEFS) Is a lil south and east of the control run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, Ji said: If we didnt have this storm....where is the next threat coming from? Nothing really stood out looking at the long range? Maybe the 12th/13th? But we do have it 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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