dendrite Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is going to be wild . With no vegetation to soak up water.. gonna be some problems in places that flood, water in basements .. etc . CT River will go well above banks Would’ve been nice to get some high wind with that like eastern Maine. Uproot all of the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Would’ve been nice to get some high wind with that like eastern Maine. Uproot all of the trees. Streams to bank full and one or two oil drum garbage cans floating across the outfield of a little league park with levels dropping 7 hrs later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 22 minutes ago, dendrite said: Would’ve been nice to get some high wind with that like eastern Maine. Uproot all of the trees. Oh we’ll still get 50+ here .. just not the high end 60 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Oh we’ll still get 50+ here .. just not the high end 60 I don’t think so, highest winds should be eastern Ma, cape and Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Just now, Modfan2 said: I don’t think so, highest winds should be eastern Ma, cape and Maine HVN to HFD east and north will gust at least to 50 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Glad I’m going to miss a Historic Rain Storm. Head to Alabama from LA tomorrow, Mississippi Monday, Now Florida Tuesday. Home Thursday. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The MJO is doing that. Nah. It’s a background feature due to recurring split flow out west; even when it’s subtle it’s important but easy to overlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is going to be wild . With no vegetation to soak up water.. gonna be some problems in places that flood, water in basements .. etc . CT River will go well above banks The CT River watershed laughs at 2”-3” rain storms. Flooding issues will be minimal in the CTRV. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2023 Author Share Posted December 10, 2023 10 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Nah. It’s a background feature due to recurring split flow out west; even when it’s subtle it’s important but easy to overlook. Well, moderately strong Maritime forcing also favors +NAO. Watch the +NAO go bye-bye in a few weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 HRRR is pretty wild for eastern ct. Lots of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, moderately strong Maritime forcing also favors +NAO. Watch the +NAO go bye-bye in a few weeks. Who is this JBenedet ( is he the one people call the pope? ). Anyway, should we take what he is saying with a grain of Salt or not? Not sure how to take him? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Can’t wait to get to Tuesday so this rain/windstorm is behind us. Period after 12/20 still holding any promise? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Who is this JBenedet ( is he the one people call the pope? ). Anyway, should we take what he is saying with a grain of Salt or not? Not sure how to take him? 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 20 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Who is this JBenedet ( is he the one people call the pope? ). Anyway, should we take what he is saying with a grain of Salt or not? Not sure how to take him? Yes. And yes, big grain. 3 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 25 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Who is this JBenedet ( is he the one people call the pope? ). Anyway, should we take what he is saying with a grain of Salt or not? Not sure how to take him? No need for salt with his forecasts, it’s all above freezing. 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2023 Author Share Posted December 10, 2023 7 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Who is this JBenedet ( is he the one people call the pope? ). Anyway, should we take what he is saying with a grain of Salt or not? Not sure how to take him? Yes. He likes to low key troll cold/snow lovers. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2023 Author Share Posted December 10, 2023 7 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said: Can’t wait to get to Tuesday so this rain/windstorm is behind us. Period after 12/20 still holding any promise? This. I have zero interest in this....but all we will hear about until Monday night. I get it, its weather, blah, blah.....but nothing compelling about it IMBY. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 8 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said: Can’t wait to get to Tuesday so this rain/windstorm is behind us. Period after 12/20 still holding any promise? Nope 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Wow 12/10!! Winter on life support!! Love it 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 8 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said: Can’t wait to get to Tuesday so this rain/windstorm is behind us. Period after 12/20 still holding any promise? Yeah a benchmark rain event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Nice little event 6 years ago yesterday when it used to snow in December. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Long live winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nice little event 6 years ago yesterday when it used to snow in December. Had about 6-7” in that one. That basically started continuous snow cover here that winter until the mid-January thaw and cutter. Our best shot is prob 12/20-25 if we can get some of those more meridional solutions…guidance has been pretty wishy-washy on whether we torch or actually stay on the chillier side during that period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Had about 6-7” in that one. That basically started continuous snow cover here that winter until the mid-January thaw and cutter. Our best shot is prob 12/20-25 if we can get some of those more meridional solutions…guidance has been pretty wishy-washy on whether we torch or actually stay on the chillier side during that period. I hope. If nothing else, Ray will put on a good show for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Clocks are ticking … patience until the days before Xmas.. if it’s pushed back more… pain 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 So many examples of how snowy December can be and used to be https://x.com/nwsboston/status/1733833945211646133?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 On 12/8/2023 at 9:04 PM, brooklynwx99 said: pattern changes up after Christmas, most likely 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Hey qq.... Maybe this will happen. We see how December has been so far ( although not way above normal ). The mountains of the northeast have been doing very well as far as Snow. If the Winter gets going in January and February, that works for me. Happy Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 So at this point, having any kind of snow hitting more of the southern New England area seems less likely, at least what the maps are spitting out ( Although I know things could change in a dime ). I think I'm moving into January, February time frame for any kind actual winter weather here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 46 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Unfortunately ( well ... not for you but for the winter enthusiasts), the numerical teleconnection spread shuts down cold loading into North America, ~ after the 20th. This is also in conflict with the erstwhile consensus for wintry turn at the end of the month, interestingly. I've been keeping track ...about 3 or 4 days ago, the WPO projection flipped sign. As of last night, all the way up to +2SD. And then out around the 20th or so, the EPO goes positive mode. There is a lag correlation between the two, where preferentially ... the EPO will eventually modulate in favor of the WPO's sign - given time. So the EPO rising isn't a surprise considering - What all this means is, that giant Chinook generator pattern is not a terrible fit for the strengthening +WPO/+EPO. None of this hugely confident. Even relative to climo/modeling climo that is so. We've been observing wholesale hemispheric modulations that are unusual - considering the mass of the whole thing? Definitely either an artifact of modeling (somehow) or something weird is happening... where pattern identity become mere simulacrums that disperse like farts in the wind, and we're looking at something else entirely about ever 3 days. So I'm not completely sold that the above Pacific scaffolding is going to become history. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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