MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 I was thinking some of the surge forecast was gonna be a little off, but with high tide still coming up and a constant onshore flow, I can see at least someone verifying 10-12+. My guess would be Horseshoe Beach . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 AWOS station KFPY Bucell Junction reported a gust of 85 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Look at all of those palm fronds on the road! Pretty lame winds for the eyewall of a Cat 3 They were too far SE, and driving like grandma to get to the eye. Then they got there and were like "we are in the eye"!! Yeah, where nothing interesting is happening. Perry was the place to be- raked by the intact NW eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Everything good in Valdosta? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 TWC has a live camera in Perry. Looks like the end of days there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Everything good in Valdosta? I have family in NW Valdosta, they're reporting flooding and some road closures. They still have power, but are in a newer development and not really in a rural area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: Charley could be a similar analog (though that storm was slightly stronger) as to what this wind damage corridor will look like. Extreme wind damage to very little just a few miles away I think Orlando would disagree with that, unless you're talking homes demolished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicious1990 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Yikes. Catastrophic looking surge in horseshoe beach.Surge 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Wind reports seem very underwhelming for a high end cat 3 landfall. I guess part of that could be less populated area it's hitting. I haven't seen anything sustained hurricane wind reports or any gusts of major hurricane force. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Madison FL is next in line for the northern eyewall, but it looks like velocity scans are weakening a bit (obviously expected as it moves inland). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Wind reports seem very underwhelming for a high end cat 3 landfall. I guess part of that could be less populated area it's hitting. I haven't seen anything sustained hurricane wind reports or any gusts of major hurricane force. I think less populated and confined to a small area. Very small core with Idalia. Not to mention rather meh eastern half. Strong winds confined to tight area on western side. No obs available on the immediate coast where landfall took place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/freddy.mckinney.html 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 16 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Wind reports seem very underwhelming for a high end cat 3 landfall. I guess part of that could be less populated area it's hitting. I haven't seen anything sustained hurricane wind reports or any gusts of major hurricane force. If not there, Perry has gotten close. CNN has been showing major live oak tree damage, including whole trees being knocked down. Some of these huge trees are likely at least several hundred years old. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wendy Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/freddy.mckinney.html Someone found some winds. Pretty impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Madison, Fl getting crushed right now in northern eye wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Wind reports seem very underwhelming for a high end cat 3 landfall. I guess part of that could be less populated area it's hitting. I haven't seen anything sustained hurricane wind reports or any gusts of major hurricane force. Entirely due to a tiny core of winds (roughly 15 miles diameter of maximum winds with the eroding inner eyewall) and it hitting a WMA instead of a town. Inland gusts rarely reach MH strength even in the worst storms. IDA in particular was able to generate gusts to MH strength well inland but that’s bc the topography of that area is basically an inland sea especially with surge. I have no doubt MH+ winds occurred in a small area near the coast where this thing came ashore. I think we’ll see gusts to 100+ as it starts impacting a few more populated areas and the wind field expands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Cedar Key: https://www.facebook.com/CedarKeyFireRescue/posts/pfbid0VLw563P9r7HYiuMRWhjbSUit4TWGeucmDUeeg3C28oNcWhyHuG1CiVpbqZRAr5Jdl 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Entirely due to a tiny core of winds (roughly 15 miles diameter of maximum winds with the eroding inner eyewall) and it hitting a WMA instead of a town. Inland gusts rarely reach MH strength even in the worst storms. IDA in particular was able to generate gusts to MH strength well inland but that’s bc the topography of that area is basically an inland sea especially with surge. I have no doubt MH+ winds occurred in a small area near the coast where this thing came ashore. I think we’ll see gusts to 100+ as it starts impacting a few more populated areas and the wind field expands That and the strongest winds were probably missed by any real obs on the right side of the eye which is going with the motion of the storm. When a storm is moving this fast that makes a big difference. Perry actually ended up barely to the west of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Those are all valid points. Core was tiny and where it hit probably had no observation sites. As much as I would love to know the wind it produced on land, I'm glad it missed major population areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, eyewall said: That and the strongest winds were probably missed by any real obs on the right side of the eye which is going with the motion of the storm. When a storm is moving this fast that makes a big difference. Perry actually ended up barely to the west of it. Valdosta looks to be a test to see what these winds are like in a more concentrated population center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Hurricane Idalia Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023 900 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023 ...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE OCCURING ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND DAMAGING WINDS SPREADING INLAND OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA... ...900 AM POSITION UPDATE... NOAA radar data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are now near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum pressure based on surface observations is 957 mb (28.26 inches). An automated weather station at Perry Airport recently reported a sustained wind of 62 mph (100 km/h) with a gust to 85 mph (137 km/h) within the past hour. A Florida Coastal Monitoring Program tower located near Perry, Florida, recently reported a wind gust of 81 mph (130 km/h). A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge at Cedar Key, Florida, recently reported a water level of 6.8 feet above mean higher high water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 My uncle in Live Oak said winds have started gusting 50-60 mph in the last 15 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Valdosta GA about to get raked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 We'll see if the extreme wind warning now in effect over the swath of FL gets extended NE into SE GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpljr77 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is going to be one of the worst canes in history for Georgia IMO...perhaps the worst. Michael crushed extreme SW GA. Both of my parents' families are from Seminole County, and they got 110+ MPH winds out of Michael, with corresponding damage. Also, even though it's not a hurricane, it would take A LOT to overtake the damage caused by TS Alberto in 1994. That one made landfall at Destin, tracked across AL and GA and parked in north GA for days, causing catastrophic flooding downstream in SW GA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just now, jpljr77 said: Michael crushed extreme SW GA. Both of my parents' families are from Seminole County, and they got 110+ MPH winds out of Michael, with corresponding damage. Also, even though it's not a hurricane, it would take A LOT to overtake the damage caused by TS Alberto in 1994. That one made landfall at Destin, tracked across AL and GA and parked in north GA for days, causing catastrophic flooding downstream in SW GA. Yes, I thought of that one when I typed that. I should have specified wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wendy Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Live stream from elevated location in Valdosta 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 This looks pretty intense 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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