WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 So lets say it makes landfall at 130 mph and is in Valdosta 3 hours later. Could that mean Valdosta could potentially see 100 mph sustained winds ?Wind interacts differently inland for a TC versus over the water or right at the coast. You get gusting bursts due to friction and turbulence. 100+ mph gusts are definitely possible if that is where the core traverses. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 The very quick intensification of the eyewall over past hour has been remarkable. Some of the towers are pushing 60kft 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted August 30, 2023 Author Share Posted August 30, 2023 The other thing that’s just crazy to me is that as soon as the eyewall went nuts the coherent band that had been forming disintegrated completely and is now multiple bands all spiraling into the eyewall. That seems like more than just a coincidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 What a scary looking MOFO. About 10 minutes from getting into the outer core envelop here. Thought about a chase for about 0.009 seconds. I kind of like being among the living. I should get some decent gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Wind interacts differently inland for a TC versus over the water or right at the coast. You get gusting bursts due to friction and turbulence. 100+ mph gusts are definitely possible if that is where the core traverses. Yeah - that was the case with Hugo when it passed over Charlotte. The damage was extensive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Some big time towers just went up on the west side of the eye looking at IR. Tops colder than -80° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 I wanted to post these before I fall asleep. The recon got over 101 kt at flight level, for three passes as shown on the time series. The last two passes show some asymmetry. One buoy north of the storm says (39 kt) 45mph gusting to (56 kt) 65mph (that's buoy 42036). So you might check this in about 1-2 hours to see if the buoy picks out the highest wind speeds or lowest pressures. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Eyewall is starting to look like a major cane now on radar. I wish the timing of this was 12hrs later so I could sleep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Where is recon? If there were ever a time for it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Last few radar scans indicate lightning now showing in the eyewall. Bidness is pick'n up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Where is recon? If there were ever a time for it.. https://twitter.com/53rdWRS/status/1696729259610406963?s=20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted August 30, 2023 Author Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Where is recon? If there were ever a time for it.. 2 hours out. It’ll be well timed I think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 To add to the previous post above about inland wind potential, I am curious how the core and southern semicircle of the cyclone will evolve as it increases forward motion across N.Florida and SE Georgia. The system will be interacting with the eastern trough. The potential for large swaths of downed old growth along major routes and interstates is there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 We are going to see a storm surge on the Gulf Coast to be remembered for many years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Extreme Ida deju vu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Blitzortung.org - Live Lightning Map Took a couple of days to get ready, pull an all nighter- getting old sucks. Up till I lose power. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 10 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: Yeah - that was the case with Hugo when it passed over Charlotte. The damage was extensive. Fran in 1996 was a bruiser for Raleigh Durham. Widespread power outages and blocked roads for over a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 21 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Wind interacts differently inland for a TC versus over the water or right at the coast. You get gusting bursts due to friction and turbulence. 100+ mph gusts are definitely possible if that is where the core traverses. Speed is what might make the difference. I know when Hurricane Charley zipped across FL, Orlando had its highest gust ever at 108 amd that was pretty far from landfall. What surprised me is FL building codes are only to 130ish where this may landfall. I would think Valdosta older buildings/roofs could see high damage if hurricane force winds are sustained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyric297 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 38 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: Fran in 1996 was a bruiser for Raleigh Durham. Widespread power outages and blocked roads for over a week. It was also quite a bruiser for both Raleigh and Durham, not just the airport! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 59 minutes ago, Newman said: Some big time towers just went up on the west side of the eye looking at IR. Tops colder than -80° Just a 110C+ gradient from top to bottom, lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Dry air may be affecting the east side of the storm a bit, more squally than focused CDO atm. Also may have contributed to eyewall possibly opening up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 So is what we see in the graphic on the left going to happen? I saw this at dailymail.com but the article didn't discuss it. If the two storms interacted in the Atlantic, what would happen? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: Dry air may be affecting the east side of the storm a bit, more squally than focused CDO atm. Also may have contributed to eyewall possibly opening up. Eyewall is closed, no dry air entrainment whatsoever into the core. All is good, what you are seeing is land interaction, friction induced. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Another nice burst of convection just went up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said: Eyewall is closed, no dry air entrainment whatsoever into the core. All is good, what you are seeing is land interaction, friction induced. It was open for about 20 minutes, its just the main shield itself east of the eyewall is a tad lethargic atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoralRed said: So is what we see in the graphic on the left going to happen? I saw this at dailymail.com but the article didn't discuss it. If the two storms interacted in the Atlantic, what would happen? Franklin about to jet ENE. The storms will be a few thousand miles apart by Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Downtown Gulfport beginning to flood. The highest tide is just after noon tomorrow. It's going to be difficult for the business owners and residents in Zone A. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 -0Z CMC as expected in correction mode shifted vs the 12Z to the right significantly (~50 miles) to far NW Taylor County -0Z ICON vs 18Z shifted very slightly left (~5 miles) to SE Taylor County -0Z GFS vs 18Z shifted left 15 miles into far NW Taylor County -0Z UKMET about same as 18Z in south central Taylor County -0Z Euro vs 12Z shifted 20 miles right to C Taylor County *Edited to add Euro 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 News reporters are already in Gulfport. The ocean is rising at a solid rate possibly until mid-day tomorrow or longer. https://thegabber.com/gulfport-fl-beach-webcam/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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