TWCCraig Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Storms are always going to be hit or miss this time of year. I expect a thunderstorm or two but not an all day washout. Maybe the sea breeze front saves the south shore today. Not the most ideal weather for the 4th but I think it's crazy to constantly cancel things because of the chance of rain. There's a chance of rain in Florida everyday, that doesn't stop them! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 1 minute ago, wishcast_hater said: Ridiculously heavy rain up here yesterday from 4pm until way after 10pm. I wouldn’t call it isolated as many counties were affected, it just wasn’t down in the city. Raining up here this morning as well. . Yes it worked out for some but it was not a widespread event. I just think it's confusing to most people as many thought the last few days would be washouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 4, 2023 Author Share Posted July 4, 2023 Just now, ILoveWinter said: Yes it worked out for some but it was not a widespread event. I just think it's confusing to most people as many thought the last few days would be washouts. Models were overdone. If they're right today we see very little 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Going to try it and see what happens. Will probably be on a mooring anyway so if it rains we will just hunker down for a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 11 minutes ago, psv88 said: Going to try it and see what happens. Will probably be on a mooring anyway so if it rains we will just hunker down for a bit 12z hrrr has storms between 3-5pm over the island fwiw. Just watch the radar otherwise to see if any of the model simulated radar ends up correct, which I’m skeptical of for LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 80 / 72 and mostly cloudy with some breaks in i the cloudsn. Mid upper 80s and with enough sun could top a stray 90 with continued humid. Scattered storms in the PM going more widely scattered and isolated showers and storms from west to east after 2-4 pm. Wed (7/5) - Fri (7/7) humid, very warm to hot and very isolated afternoon storms with partly sunny conditions upper 80s to low 90s. Some will get or enhance a heatwave. The weekend Sat (7/8) - Wed (7/12) humid and warm with storms chances each day, continuing the more humid flow. Where and when the sun is out for any duration it will continue to heat up quickly. 7/13 and the way beyond overall warm to hot at times with sprouts of strong heat into the area or nearby. The Western Atlantic Ridge pushes back towards the southeast and could transition to a more sustained hotter pattern. But still looks humid with storm chances. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 24 minutes ago, uofmiami said: 12z hrrr has storms between 3-5pm over the island fwiw. Just watch the radar otherwise to see if any of the model simulated radar ends up correct, which I’m skeptical of for LI. Yea I’ll ride out the storms at a mooring then hopefully enjoy the evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 105 (1949) NYC: 102 (1949) LGA: 100 (1949) Lows: EWR: 58 (1945) NYC: 55 (1986) LGA: 57 (1940) Historical: 1776 - Thomas Jefferson paid for his first thermometer, and signed the Declaration of Independence. According to his weather memorandum book, at 2 PM it was cloudy and 76 degrees. (David Ludlum) 1911 - The northeastern U.S. experienced sweltering 100 degree heat. The temperature soared to 105 degrees at Vernon, VT, and North Bridgton ME, and to 106 degrees at Nashua NH, to establish all-time records for those three states. Afternoon highs of 104 at Boston, MA, 104 at Albany, NY, and 103 at Portland, ME, were all-time records for those three cities. (The Weather Channel) 1911: Record temperatures are set in the northeastern United States as a deadly heat wave hits the area that would go on to kill 380 people. In Nashua, New Hampshire, the mercury peaked at 106 degrees. Other high-temperature records were set all over New England during an 11-day period. 1956 - A world record for the most rain in one minute was set at Unionville, MD, with a downpour of 1.23 inches. (The Weather Channel) (The National Severe Storms Forecast Center) 1987 - Thunderstorms around the country provided extra fireworks for Independence Day. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 82 mph at Clearwater, KS, eight inches of rain in four hours at Menno SD, and three inches of rain in just fifteen minutes at Austin, KY. Morning thunderstorms drenched Oneonta AL with 8.6 inches of rain, their greatest 24 hour total in thirty years of records. The heavy rain caused mudslides and serious flooding, claiming two lives. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain over the Central Gulf Coast Region for the second day in a row. Monroe, LA, was deluged with 3.75 inches in two hours. Aberdeen and Rapid City, SD, reported record high temperatures for the date, with readings of 105 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Independence Day was hot as a firecracker across parts of the country. Nineteen cities, mostly in the north central U.S., reported record high temperatures for the date, including Williston ND with a reading of 107 degrees. In the southwestern U.S., highs of 93 at Alamosa, CO, 114 at Tucson, AZ, and 118 at Phoenix, AZ, equalled all-time records for those locations. (The National Weather Summary) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Past fourth of July's highs 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Closer view for those tracking clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Welp, raining going to get me before I leave the dock. SOB 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Picked up only 0.09” of rain through yesterday and this morning, let’s see what today brings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 A heavy downpour popped up and moved through Larchmont, NY. Another shower developed shortly afterward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Welp, will try again later this afternoon I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Showers developing in northeast jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 4, 2023 Author Share Posted July 4, 2023 Flood watch issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Interesting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 1 minute ago, Cfa said: Interesting. Just about to post this…obviously see something we don’t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 the city is gunna get whacked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 20 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Just about to post this…obviously see something we don’t OKX Discussion hinted earlier that any storms which develop will be moving slowly - around 5 knots - and likely redeveloping. So the thinking appears to be that any strong storms/heavy rn which develops will be training over specific areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Macys got some thinking to do now, do they want people lining up in thunder storms? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 4, 2023 Author Share Posted July 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Macys got some thinking to do now, do they want people lining up in thunder storms? The show must go on 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Looking like N of LIE is where the real action will be. South Shore not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Pouring here in Williamsburg Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 12 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Looking like N of LIE is where the real action will be. South Shore not so much. Gorgeous beach day at Jones beach currently, full sunshine. I highly doubt any rain makes it this far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Gorgeous beach day at Jones beach currently, full sunshine. I highly doubt any rain makes it this far south. Yeah. The axis is lining up straight down the middle of the island. We will hear the thunder, and see crazy flooding videos, all as we cook under clear skies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 21 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Looking like N of LIE is where the real action will be. South Shore not so much. I’ll believe any rain making it east of the city when I see it. Cloudy/humid here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Nice CTG lightning strike right over Manhattan just now. Pouring as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I’ll believe any rain making it east of the city when I see it. Cloudy/humid here. Was pouring by sand city today, so I’m still at the dock. Those storms in queens are nasty. Let’s see what they do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Almost constant thunder and lightning here now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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