June 2023

[SACRUS]

1 hour ago, winterwarlock said:

.70 yesterday

 

6 day total now at an even 3 inches

 

Enough...

2.47 here.  Go from the stretch of dryness / sunny to this is par for course with these hung up patterns.  The tendency for weakness into the northeast is persistent and we'll see how much the TX/S plains ridge comes east and north next week and the western atlantic ridge can expand west.  It looks stormy nxt week but not as (wet) as this week.

[SACRUS]

Records:

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 99 (2021)
NYC: 96 (1991)
LGA: 96 (2021)

Lows:

EWR: 53 (1970)
NYC: 54 (1995)
LGA: 55 (1995)

 

Historical:

 

1788 - The Battle of Monmouth in central New Jersey was fought in sweltering heat. The temperature was 96 degrees in the shade, and there were more casualties from the heat than from bullets. (David Ludlum)

1892 - The temperature at Orogrande UT soared to 116 degrees to establish a record for the state. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders)

1923 - A massive tornado hit Sandusky, OH, then swept across Lake Erie to strike the town of Lorain. The tornado killed 86 persons and caused twelve million dollars damage. The tornado outbreak that day was the worst of record for the state of Ohio up til that time. (David Ludlum)

 

1924: An estimated F4 tornado struck the towns of Sandusky and Lorain, killing 85 people and injuring over 300. This tornado is the deadliest ever in Ohio history. 

1975 - Lee Trevino and two other golfers are struck by lightning at the Western Open golf tournament in Oak Brook, IL. (The Weather Channel)

1980 - The temperature at Wichita Falls, TX, soared to 117 degrees, their hottest reading of record. Daily highs were 110 degrees or above between the 24th of June and the 3rd of July. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in the north central U.S. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced wind gusts to 70 mph and baseball size hail at Arapahoe, and wind gusts to 80 mph along with baseball size hail at Wolback and Belgrade. Six cities in the Ohio Valley reported record low temperatures for the date, including Cincinnati, OH, with a reading of 50 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Showers and thunderstorms brought much needed rains to parts of the central U.S. Madison, WI, received 1.67 inches of rain, a record for the date, and their first measurable rain since the Mother's Day tornado outbreak on the 8th of May. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Evening thunderstorms deluged Winnfield LA with eleven inches of rain in four hours and fifteen minutes, and Baton Rouge LA reported 11 inches of rain in two days. Totals in west central Louisiana ranged up to 17 inches. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Northern High Plains. Two inch hail broke windows in nearly every building at Comstock, NE. Thunderstorms in North Dakta produced two inch hail at Killdeer, and golf ball size hail at Zap. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Records:

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 99 (2021)
NYC: 96 (1991)
LGA: 96 (2021)

Lows:

EWR: 53 (1970)
NYC: 54 (1995)
LGA: 55 (1995)

 

Historical:

 

1788 - The Battle of Monmouth in central New Jersey was fought in sweltering heat. The temperature was 96 degrees in the shade, and there were more casualties from the heat than from bullets. (David Ludlum)

1892 - The temperature at Orogrande UT soared to 116 degrees to establish a record for the state. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders)

1923 - A massive tornado hit Sandusky, OH, then swept across Lake Erie to strike the town of Lorain. The tornado killed 86 persons and caused twelve million dollars damage. The tornado outbreak that day was the worst of record for the state of Ohio up til that time. (David Ludlum)

 

1924: An estimated F4 tornado struck the towns of Sandusky and Lorain, killing 85 people and injuring over 300. This tornado is the deadliest ever in Ohio history. 

1975 - Lee Trevino and two other golfers are struck by lightning at the Western Open golf tournament in Oak Brook, IL. (The Weather Channel)

1980 - The temperature at Wichita Falls, TX, soared to 117 degrees, their hottest reading of record. Daily highs were 110 degrees or above between the 24th of June and the 3rd of July. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in the north central U.S. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced wind gusts to 70 mph and baseball size hail at Arapahoe, and wind gusts to 80 mph along with baseball size hail at Wolback and Belgrade. Six cities in the Ohio Valley reported record low temperatures for the date, including Cincinnati, OH, with a reading of 50 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Showers and thunderstorms brought much needed rains to parts of the central U.S. Madison, WI, received 1.67 inches of rain, a record for the date, and their first measurable rain since the Mother's Day tornado outbreak on the 8th of May. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Evening thunderstorms deluged Winnfield LA with eleven inches of rain in four hours and fifteen minutes, and Baton Rouge LA reported 11 inches of rain in two days. Totals in west central Louisiana ranged up to 17 inches. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Northern High Plains. Two inch hail broke windows in nearly every building at Comstock, NE. Thunderstorms in North Dakta produced two inch hail at Killdeer, and golf ball size hail at Zap. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Damn Sandusky got hit 2 years in a row?

[psv88]

13 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Smoke in Ohio and WPA on the move later today into our region tomorrow.  We'll see how much haze or orange it does to mute the first sunny day in 9 days.

Was sunny out here all weekend. 

[SACRUS]

2 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Was sunny out here all weekend. 

 

Yes  there were periods of sun here as well, i meant first fully dry day with partly to mostly sunny conditions expected since 6/19. 

[uofmiami]

14 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Smoke in Ohio and WPA on the move later today into our region tomorrow.  We'll see how much haze or orange it does to mute the first sunny day in 9 days.

HRRR says the worst stays S & W. Maybe some light haze but nothing like the media is hyping up for NYC metro like Chicago is going through currently. 

[SACRUS]

1 minute ago, uofmiami said:

HRRR says the worst stays S & W. Maybe some light haze but nothing like the media is hyping up for NYC metro like Chicago is going through currently. 

 

Flow does look to shove the plume more south and west - hoping so.  I havent looked much but imagine canada is getting into the rains / storms s well and helping to quell the fires.

[lee59]

3 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

SE mass, getting absolutely crushed this morning. Takes some validity away from my cool water destroys convection theory. So there is more to the story as to why western LI (mainly south shore) has completely struck out. We’ll see what happens later today…. Maybe we finally score…

Yes I have noticed when we have a marine onshore flow and miss storms, there are storms out over the ocean in many cases.

[lee59]

1 hour ago, Volcanic Winter said:

I’m pretty invested at this point in seeing if we can actually score a cooler than normal summer (relatively speaking). I would have to think an eventual flip to our typical summer inferno is coming by mid July and is more likely than the alternative, but still I’m finding this pretty interesting. Especially with so much heat to our southwest. 

After such a mild winter, I would not be surprised to see a normal or cooler than normal summer. Weather usually averages out at some point.

[MANDA]

Another 1.02" yesterday total last 6 days an even 5.00".

[RU848789]

48 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

HRRR says the worst stays S & W. Maybe some light haze but nothing like the media is hyping up for NYC metro like Chicago is going through currently. 

I see the HRRR near surface smoke forecast graphics on Pivotal, but they only go out to 48 hours (every 6 hrs); is there any decent smoke forecast model that goes out maybe 5-7 days that is available on-line?  Thanks. 

[TriPol]

Any chance of lowering that dew point below 60? It's moderately uncomfortable without the AC.

[jm1220]

34 minutes ago, lee59 said:

Yes I have noticed when we have a marine onshore flow and miss storms, there are storms out over the ocean in many cases.

We had a frontal boundary go by overnight which organized the storms. Notice how at JFK winds shifted from south to north overnight. We just struck out again on where the storms organized. We can still get heavy rain when there’s some synoptic feature to generate lift. 

[winterwx21]

34 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Any chance of lowering that dew point below 60? It's moderately uncomfortable without the AC.

A little better the next couple days with the dewpoints down around 60. We'll see if we can get them a little below 60. We might be able to get them down to the upper 50s tomorrow. Not bad. Dewpoints will be going back up over the weekend though. 

[uofmiami]

1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

I see the HRRR near surface smoke forecast graphics on Pivotal, but they only go out to 48 hours (every 6 hrs); is there any decent smoke forecast model that goes out maybe 5-7 days that is available on-line?  Thanks. 

I just did a quick google search & came across the following link:

https://tools.airfire.org/websky/v2/#status

Has the GFS domain out to 120hrs.

[Wxoutlooksblog]

4 hours ago, Volcanic Winter said:

I’m pretty invested at this point in seeing if we can actually score a cooler than normal summer (relatively speaking). I would have to think an eventual flip to our typical summer inferno is coming by mid July and is more likely than the alternative, but still I’m finding this pretty interesting. Especially with so much heat to our southwest. 

I think there is at least a 40% chance of finishing this summer a bit cooler than normal. I'm not sure at this point whether there is that typical mid July inferno this year at least not if this pattern continues. I think a day or two here and there of 86-91 degree warmth/heat is more likely this summer. I would think that whatever heat we would have if any August would probably be when most of it would occur. The current pattern is kinda locked in for now.

WX/PT

[CIK62]

Sky here reminds me of Sunday---with some blue to go with the cumulus congestus.       Nothing happened here however.      The Predicative Radar says nothing for the Boroughs in the next two hours either................

 

By the way:      What is the AQI today?     Governor warned of bad air Wed/Thurs.

[BucksCO_PA]

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

1980 - The temperature at Wichita Falls, TX, soared to 117 degrees, their hottest reading of record. Daily highs were 110 degrees or above between the 24th of June and the 3rd of July. (The Weather Channel)

 

1980 was another year in which Texas was baking to start the summer. For 21 of the 30 days from 6/19 thru 7/18 the record highs at Dallas are from 1980. The stretch included 11 consecutive days from 6/23 thru 7/3 with record highs.

Looking back at 1980 locally June was similar to this year temp wise. As the summer progressed July turned very warm compared to the averages at that time & Aug was a dry torch by any standard. It's the warmest AUG on record at Central Park & #3 for Philly.

[Cfa]

Ominous sky in Hauppauge, wouldn’t be surprised if something pops here.

[JustinRP37]

1 hour ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

I think there is at least a 40% chance of finishing this summer a bit cooler than normal. I'm not sure at this point whether there is that typical mid July inferno this year at least not if this pattern continues. I think a day or two here and there of 86-91 degree warmth/heat is more likely this summer. I would think that whatever heat we would have if any August would probably be when most of it would occur. The current pattern is kinda locked in for now.

WX/PT

Even if we stay in this current pattern we will be above normal. Overnight lows will run above to much above normal. While the story may not be daytime heat, it is a warmer than normal pattern because of overnight lows. The pattern is also showing some signs of breaking down. We aren't going to stay in this pattern for 4 straight months. 

[uofmiami]

 

 

 

[Intensewind002]

Some cumulonimbus off to my northeast

[jm1220]

11 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said:

Some cumulonimbus off to my northeast

Just saw that here in Melville. Random storm/shower that popped up on the sea breeze front. 

[Cfa]

I can hear the thunder all the way from Sunrise Hwy.

[psv88]

Got a direct hit from that storm. Some close strikes and heavy downpours. Probably about 0.25 in the bucket. 

[Volcanic Winter]

1 hour ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

I think there is at least a 40% chance of finishing this summer a bit cooler than normal. I'm not sure at this point whether there is that typical mid July inferno this year at least not if this pattern continues. I think a day or two here and there of 86-91 degree warmth/heat is more likely this summer. I would think that whatever heat we would have if any August would probably be when most of it would occur. The current pattern is kinda locked in for now.

WX/PT

Thank you, I’ve really been enjoying your posts and analyses this spring / summer. 

[bkviking]

Smithtown LI - my weather station shows .62” from storms today. I’m out east in Port Jefferson and storms keep forming and cutting a little west of me here (into Setauket). Another one on way now. I know family has heavy rain further east into Shoreham area also a short while ago. 

[Tatamy]

NWS Mt. Holly did damage surveys for Tornadoes that occurred on Monday in Northampton Cty, PA and Somerset Cty, NJ.  I am attaching photos below of what I saw in the Northampton Cty. Survey area.  The damage survey information is also shown.  I saw two wheat fields with damage and took photos of the one with the more significant damage.  As noted there was no other crop damage seen besides that in the wheat fields.  The second one had a few small spots with the wheat knocked down.  There are corn fields, soy fields, and stands of woods in the immediate vicinity.  I did not see any evidence of broken branches, twigs, or leaves on those trees.  Such is the fickleness of Mother Nature.

[NorthShoreWx]

13 minutes ago, bkviking said:

Smithtown LI - my weather station shows .62” from storms today. In our east in Port Jefferson and storms keep forming and cutting a little west of me here (into Setauket). Another one on way now. I know family has heavy rain further east into Shoreham area also a short while ago. 

0.72" from that cell here.  Found the old milk crate we put recyclables washed down the street (was already empty, fortunately).  The rainfall total from the prior 3 days was only 0.20", mostly at night.

I just missed it all while driving back from Westchester County, but the traffic still sucked on the dry roads in the Bronx and Queens.

[bkviking]

9 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

0.72" from that cell here.  Found the old milk crate we put recyclables washed down the street (was already empty, fortunately).  The rainfall total from the prior 3 days was only 0.20", mostly at night.

I just missed it all while driving back from Westchester County, but the traffic still sucked on the dry roads in the Bronx and Queens.

We are well within range and live a few blocks from one another - so your reading corroborates with mine pretty well. Healthy drink today so I won’t be watering the herbs and plants . Lol