North and West Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 my sister invited me to stay over sat night and her house is at 1k' in sussex county. good luck city slickers Drive safely. Not sure where they’re located, but it can get very country, very fast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: my sister invited me to stay over sat night and her house is at 1k' in sussex county. good luck city slickers I hope a bear eats your dinner 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 10 minutes ago, BxEngine said: I hope a bear eats your dinner Good evening BxE. Might be a bit extreme but I understand your reasoning. Stay well, as always ….. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: my sister invited me to stay over sat night and her house is at 1k' in sussex county. good luck city slickers Which side of 95 and 287? If you’re on the wrong side this storm won’t count. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 16 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Which side of 95 and 287? If you’re on the wrong side this storm won’t count. Don’t forget 84, according to THAT one guy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Which side of 95 and 287? If you’re on the wrong side this storm won’t count. Today I learned no one in the forum resides near or north and west of 287.Footage of me reading this forum below.. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 16 hours ago, forkyfork said: my sister invited me to stay over sat night and her house is at 1k' in sussex county. good luck city slickers Can I come? I won't eat much. I promise not to bring my banjo... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just for fun, I was trying to locate any "arctic" air in North America. There appeals to be a pool of cold air north of Michigan and just west of Hudson Bay. I don't know if these temperatures are normal for this time of year, ranging from -11 at Churchill and as cold as -36 north and west of there. Then as you travel farther north, it begins to get warmer. So we are cut off from the seepage of any true arctic air. I believe from some of the extended models in December, we should start to see some true arctic air begin to plunge more or less down the eastern side of Canada. Not sure if that is still the case? If not, our area will be marginal at best, at least until February... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 What a waste of a week. Glad to know my snow hole is intact 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I like the evolution of NAM talk. Looking at it a few days ago and acknowledging its unreliability in the long range to, “WE GOT NAMd” yesterday to, “don’t even bother looking at the NAM I can’t wait for it to be retired” now that it’s in its useful range. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, Nibor said: I like the evolution of NAM talk. Looking at it a few days ago and acknowledging its unreliability in the long range to, “WE GOT NAMd” yesterday to, “don’t even bother looking at the NAM I can’t wait for it to be retired” now that it’s in its useful range. Happens every time but I don't think anyone took yesterday's nam seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Happens every time but I don't think anyone took yesterday's nam seriously As a very serious person who takes the NAM very seriously I love the chaos it brings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 5 Author Share Posted January 5 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: Its so fucking obnoxious. Bunch of children whining and shitting up the thread because its not going to snow where they live and they thought it was 3 days ago. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 27 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Its so fucking obnoxious. Bunch of children whining and shitting up the thread because its not going to snow where they live and they thought it was 3 days ago. Its impossible to keep up with all the crap posts that should be here or the January thread instead of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/4/2024 at 8:55 AM, Dark Star said: Just for fun, I was trying to locate any "arctic" air in North America. There appeals to be a pool of cold air north of Michigan and just west of Hudson Bay. I don't know if these temperatures are normal for this time of year, ranging from -11 at Churchill and as cold as -36 north and west of there. Then as you travel farther north, it begins to get warmer. So we are cut off from the seepage of any true arctic air. I believe from some of the extended models in December, we should start to see some true arctic air begin to plunge more or less down the eastern side of Canada. Not sure if that is still the case? If not, our area will be marginal at best, at least until February... Yeah no cross polar flow. Even the -36 stuff would moderate bigly as it comes down over snowless ground and warm great lakes... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Happy New Year y'all. I just scrolled through 6 pages of post-mortem for a storm that hasn't happened yet. Interspersed with the noise was a strong consensus that it is going to mostly rain here and snow somewhere else. Ever the optimist, I will be checking the snow light periodically and harboring unreasonable hopes for both the front and backend. So sue me. PS the title of this thread is confusing. It looks like last summers banter thread. On the plus side, the title takes up less than 5 lines on my phone (apologies to Walt) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 How come Lee Goldberg on ABC 7 almost always get the snow forecast right days before the event? I've been watching him for over 10 years and he rarely misses on his calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 20 hours ago, forkyfork said: How did that storm in March 23 do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 20 minutes ago, mannynyc said: Similar look on the HRRR Gotta take the opportunity, before having to confront actual verification, to gloat that in the last frame, all of NNJ and Rockland, and much of OC are mixed precip while it is still snowing here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 hour ago, NorthShoreWx said: Gotta take the opportunity, before having to confront actual verification, to gloat that in the last frame, all of NNJ and Rockland, and much of OC are mixed precip while it is still snowing here. I remember a storm in January 2008 (the infamous failed Heavy Snow Warning storm) where there was a spot of white in SW Nassau and around JFK and the rest of the area was raining. It didn't amount to a lot (1-2 inches) but people driving in from all directions were surprised to see a bit of snow on the ground here lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 i live atop a buoy 15 miles off Long Branch beach do you think i’m going to get a lot of snow today 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said: i live atop a buoy 15 miles off Long Branch beach do you think i’m going to get a lot of snow today Please don’t sit on top. Stay well and safe. As always …. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 6 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: sounds about right, it snowed here from 4 PM to 8 PM and stuck to cartops and rooftops 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Pretty incredible amounts of snow for the next 12 days on the gfs. 40"+ in parts of Ohio and Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 surfing looks good tuesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Looking at actual temperatures in Edmonton Canada yesterday, It was 4 degrees F, with a forecst of 15 degrees F for today. Later in the week, daytime high temperatures are expected to fall into the negative teens (at least). That is definitely below normal. I wonder if that is just from normal interior air cooling due to lack of sunlight, or a real arctic air intrusion from over the pole? It wil be interesting if that can affect the NYC metro temperatures sometime later next week to cool us down and provide a cold air source to tap into in case there are any storms around. Again, I'm not bullish on these 10 day + maps to provide accurate forecsts. Trying to use real time data, and attempting to extrapolate on what may hasppen, based on real time and short term upper level patterns... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 It's nice that I didn't lose much snow depth today. Haven't checked the forecast lately but I'm sure this is the start of a deep and long-lived pack! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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