psuhoffman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 26 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Looking that way from what I can see. GFS had 2 thirst traps runs and now this shit. It had more confluence and a much weather SS wave. Could tell really early on it wasn’t going to work. But I’d rather it be showing this than an over amped wave at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Ggem perfect track rainstorm lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Ggem perfect track rainstorm lol The low takes too long to bomb out. I guess it will be this weekend before we really have a handle on next week other than to say it bears watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 33 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Storms still there. 8 days out. That's all that matters at this point. lol, I think that it's meteorological, climatological (that even a word?), astronomical, and botanically Spring matters a tad more... (for anything substantial) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Pretty much where I am. @Solution Man , post the gif 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 37 minutes ago, Its a Breeze said: lol, I think that it's meteorological, climatological (that even a word?), astronomical, and botanically Spring matters a tad more... (for anything substantial) Amen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 51 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Ggem perfect track rainstorm lol For you. I'll take the 6 inches of white-stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 EURO suppressed as well, fwiw. Actually looks like the GFS (at least on the surface) for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 I’ll take a suppressed SS storm all day at this range. Last thing we want to see is a flush hit at this range. Ask tomorrows storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: EURO suppressed as well, fwiw. Actually looks like the GFS (at least on the surface) for once This is fine. But it needs to make a move when it’s around 100-150 hrs. The track usually doesn’t adjust hundreds of miles on me inside that range. Change details yea. Huge shifts less so. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Signal on ensembles less suppressed 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 WB 12Z EPS 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Signal on ensembles less suppressed Euro was def a close call. If the main wave was stronger early on it probably would have been a big NW hit at least. Can see similar evolution on control, but with a stronger short wave. Setup still there. We’ll see what happens . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: This is fine. But it needs to make a move when it’s around 100-150 hrs. The track usually doesn’t adjust hundreds of miles on me inside that range. Change details yea. Huge shifts less so. it does...when its showing snow for us. For the march 4 storm...inside of 120 hours euro moved from off the Carolina to coast to Ohio. Did you forget that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 25 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS its over...850 line is already kissing stormtracker 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 2 hours ago, Ji said: it does...when its showing snow for us. For the march 4 storm...inside of 120 hours euro moved from off the Carolina to coast to Ohio. Did you forget that? It was still outside 100 when it started that move and it didn’t end up that far north. It tracked to southern oh but secondaried off NJ. Earlier runs had or track to KY then off MD. Biggest problem was they backed off on the cold push. The temps changed more than the track. Unfortunately we need so much to go right anymore to get snow that it can very much go wrong until the last minute with any one detail going wrong. But once inside 100 we don’t typically see huge wholesale changes like a suppressed system down off SC ending up a ticked into OC MD solution. Unfortunately going from a tucked off OC to rain only really necessitates about a 50 Mile NW adjustment. Our path to win has way less margin. Kinda like when the Commanders play the eagles. We saw it’s possible for them to win. But they have to play their best game possible and hope the eagles turn the ball over 4 times also. It’s hard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 What we do best, a cold, windy rain…WB 18Z GFS B 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: What we do best, a cold, windy rain…WB 18Z GFS B With a low track over Salisbury its not going to be snow lol. Off the coast and it's a different story. Atleast for areas further north and west. It's close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: With a low track over Salisbury its not going to be snow lol. Off the coast and it's a different story. Atleast for areas further north and west. It's close Heartbreaker incoming for someone. 1,000 pages and nothing to show for it since December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: Heartbreaker incoming for someone. 1,000 pages and nothing to show for it since December. Needs to be a juiced up bomb for us to have a chance. Probably going to be a big FU to end the tracking season but who knows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Pressure is on me because I have 10 big wigs coming into town next week and they want me to tell them what the weather is going to be like…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 18 inches in my back yard on the 22'nd by the 18z GFS. WOW!!!!!! What a hoot!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 14 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Pressure is on me because I have 10 big wigs coming into town next week and they want me to tell them what the weather is going to be like…. Well that’s easy-just tell them what it’s been doing the whole winter. Some showers with cool breezy conditions. Like PSU keeps saying (correctly) there’s no cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 WB 18Z GEFS basically is saying just a rain storm, not cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 42 minutes ago, stormy said: 18 inches in my back yard on the 22'nd by the 18z GFS. WOW!!!!!! What a hoot!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Don’t spend it all in one place 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 18z Op GFs while warm is very close imo. Falls at night too, long way to go to get a little better cold. Track is almost perfect. Still interested, especially N&W . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Damn it GFS. No coastal huggers at range. We want suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Just looked at the GFS...honestly, I'm game with that type of system even if it's just rain. Aside from not having much in the way of snow, we've been kinda lacking fun weather, at least aside from local tstorms. That type of qpf output is uncommon to the say least...the gulf and especially the Atlantic just gets unloaded on our region lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 9 minutes ago, 87storms said: Just looked at the GFS...honestly, I'm game with that type of system even if it's just rain. Aside from not having much in the way of snow, we've been kinda lacking fun weather, at least aside from local tstorms. That type of qpf output is uncommon to the say least...the gulf and especially the Atlantic just gets unloaded on our region lol. That’s a 3-incher of a qpf bomb. Weenie in me says that’s a preview of what’s to come in the next nino now that the nina is all but dead. Question is, will we get the cold air next time around? (next winter, I mean) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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