Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[dryslot]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Seriously, that’s not a bad look, and it’s not far from being much better.

That's the direction you want to see this heading, Plenty of time to work out the other details.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

There likely won’t be a chance that it slows down. The hope is to get into the meat of something bombing.

I just love how people bitch about how it's not a progressive pattern, then lock in a storm moving right along.

[The 4 Seasons]

7 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

its a flipping open wave

[MJO812]

Cmc so far

[Typhoon Tip]

I think what this model shows, when comparing to the previous several cycles actually… is that we are saddled with volatility with regard to the total handling of this amplitude … This kind of yank back west, albeit only half way, for me indicates more so of variability - I think sampling would help this. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I get people getting irritated...same crap all season. It's not far from this,  not bad that, plenty of chances here...

Yeah I get it, but I think everyone has sufficiently aired those grievances over the last week or so. 
 

it may not work out, but this is closer too the top of better looks that we’ve had this year 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah I get it, but I think everyone has sufficiently aired those grievances over the last week or so. 
 

it may not work out, but this is closer too the top of better looks that we’ve had this year 

Agree

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Cmc so far

 

Hit refresh faster.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I just love how people bitch about how it's not a progressive pattern, then lock in a storm moving right along.

It’s not in the sense that people use it for the lack of cyclogenesis. Most storms move along and have a residence time of what is modeled. 
 

I’m not ruling out something closer or slower....if that happens it’s because all hell breaks loose and everything phases.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s not in the sense that people use it for the lack of cyclogenesis. Most storms move along and have a residence time of what is modeled. 
 

I’m not ruling out something closer or slower....if that happens it’s because all hell breaks loose and everything phases.

Right. I get it.

[dryslot]

I want to see the melts if this decides to take last weekends storm track.

[wxsniss]

Pretty strong correlation in today's GFS runs, the hits (23 0z, 6z; 24 0z) vs. the ots (23 12z, 18z) tracks... if the southern stream energy does not get strung out, northern stream energy has a chance to interact and system amplifies close:

 

[PhineasC]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That's the direction you want to see this heading, Plenty of time to work out the other details.

It was a large west move. Another move like that and they are talking taint in E Mass.

[Heisy]

Cmc actually might bring low close or over Boston this run, tough to tell exact position with these maps

[dryslot]

7 hours ago, PhineasC said:

It was a large west move. Another move like that and they are talking taint in E Mass.

Its amazing how fast the tenor can change each run in here, So much time left, I'll get a little more invested come weds, Meanwhile, We monitor the models for trends.

[78Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I want to see the melts if this decides to take last weekends storm track.

You might get your wish with CMC, lol.

[PhineasC]

Just now, Heisy said:

Cmc actually might bring low close or over Boston this run 

Good. Tuck it in close.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Heisy said:

Cmc actually might bring low close or over Boston this run 

When i can't see the state i live in on those blk and whites, I know the SLP is close by.

[George001]

The Canadian is an inland runner, looks like it’s over western mass but the low is very strong. Hopefully it can snow east of the low, is that even possible?

[Torch Tiger]

Hope it's extremely strong and hugs coast, if not cuts!

[wx2fish]

Ukie is a bomb just east of the BM

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

You might get your wish with CMC, lol.

That's why you have to be careful what you wish for, Nothing to slow it down, And nothing to stop it from going west on a full phase.

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

The Canadian is an inland runner, looks like it’s over western mass but the low is very strong. Hopefully it can snow east of the low, is that even possible?

But what does the Navy say?

[George001]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

But what does the Navy say?

Out to sea.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

7 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I want to see the melts if this decides to take last weekends storm track.

well within the realm of possibilities.  gonna' snow where it wants to snow.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Ukie is a bomb just east of the BM

That it is

 

[George001]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

That's why you have to be careful what you wish for, Nothing to slow it down, And nothing to stop it from going west on a full phase.

If the low closes off and deepens rapidly, wouldn’t it slow down? It would also come west if it does that though.

[78Blizzard]

Just now, dryslot said:

That's why you have to be careful what you wish for, Nothing to slow it down, And nothing to stop it from going west on a full phase.

I'll toss the CMC as not happening.

[dryslot]

Just now, George001 said:

If the low closes off and deepens rapidly, wouldn’t it slow down? It would also come west if it does that though.

It would, But where it gets captured, It will get tugged west.

[dryslot]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

I'll toss the CMC as not happening.

All day, I never even like to mention it.