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July 28-29 Severe Potential


sbnwx85
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Best storm of the year here by far.  Definite warning criteria winds, mostly after the initial gust front in the back half of the precipitation.  Craziest part was the downdraft brought down a very strong smoky smell from all the wildfires 

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22 minutes ago, Indystorm said:

Svr storm watch coming soon for Chi town area and environs per SPC meso discussion.

Not particularly feeling this one for our local area of northwest IN.  I don't know.  Seems like one of those that maybe ends up managing a warning for 60 mph winds which struggles to verify.  What's indisputable though is the atrocious timing for purposes of tracking.  Think I will grab a couple hours of sleep and then maybe take a quick look to see how things are going.

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EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI  
114 AM CDT THU JUL 29 2021  
  
WIC055-133-290645-  
/O.CON.KMKX.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210729T0645Z/  
WAUKESHA WI-JEFFERSON WI-  
114 AM CDT THU JUL 29 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 AM CDT FOR WESTERN  
WAUKESHA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES...  
          
AT 113 AM CDT, TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE  
EXTENDING FROM NEAR LAC LA BELLE TO 6 MILES EAST OF JOHNSON CREEK TO  
NEAR JEFFERSON, MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WATERTOWN.  
  
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE   
         TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS   
         LIKELY.  
  
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
WATERTOWN, WHITEWATER, FORT ATKINSON, HARTLAND, JEFFERSON, DELAFIELD,  
LAKE MILLS, WALES, OKAUCHEE LAKE, OCONOMOWOC, OTTAWA, MERTON, JOHNSON  
CREEK, DOUSMAN, NORTH PRAIRIE, PALMYRA, LAC LA BELLE, LAKE RIPLEY,  
LAKE KOSHKONONG AND IXONIA.  

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SOURCE...MULTIPLE RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO IN EASTERN JEFFERSON   
         COUNTY.  
  
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE   
         TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS   
         LIKELY.  
  
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
WATERTOWN, WHITEWATER, FORT ATKINSON, HARTLAND, JEFFERSON, DELAFIELD,  
LAKE MILLS, WALES, OKAUCHEE LAKE, OCONOMOWOC, OTTAWA, MERTON, JOHNSON  
CREEK, DOUSMAN, NORTH PRAIRIE, PALMYRA, LAC LA BELLE, LAKE RIPLEY,  
LAKE KOSHKONONG AND IXONIA.  
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
  
TO REPEAT, A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. 

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I'm very concerned about Concord. Looks to have taken a direct hit by a possibly intense spin-up tornado.

Another one may have tracked right over I-94 just north of Farmington.

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UL 29 2021  
  
WIC079-101-127-133-290715-  
/O.CON.KMKX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-210729T0715Z/  
MILWAUKEE WI-WALWORTH WI-RACINE WI-WAUKESHA WI-  
144 AM CDT THU JUL 29 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT FOR  
MILWAUKEE...NORTHEASTERN WALWORTH...RACINE AND WAUKESHA COUNTIES...  
          
AT 142 AM CDT, TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE  
EXTENDING FROM NEAR WAUKESHA TO POTTER LAKE TO NEAR ELKHORN, MOVING  
SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO WEST OF WAUKESHA.  
  
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE   
         TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS   
         LIKELY.  
  
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
MILWAUKEE, RACINE, WAUKESHA, WEST ALLIS, WAUWATOSA, NEW BERLIN,  
BROOKFIELD, GREENFIELD, OAK CREEK, MOUNT PLEASANT, MUSKEGO, SOUTH  
MILWAUKEE, CUDAHY, WHITEFISH BAY, GREENDALE, PEWAUKEE, ST. FRANCIS,  
HARTLAND, HALES CORNERS AND MUKWONAGO.

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4 hours ago, madwx said:

Best storm of the year here by far.  Definite warning criteria winds, mostly after the initial gust front in the back half of the precipitation.  Craziest part was the downdraft brought down a very strong smoky smell from all the wildfires 

Was woken up by the sirens - there's one just outside our apartment building - just before 1 AM (or 1 hour 15 minutes before my alarm goes off). My fiancee and I never received WEAs on our phones because we were outside of the polygon, but when I pulled up Radarscope, what sure looked like a couplet was passing over Middleton just to our west.

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4 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Was woken up by the sirens - there's one just outside our apartment building - just before 1 AM (or 1 hour 15 minutes before my alarm goes off). My fiancee and I never received WEAs on our phones because we were outside of the polygon, but when I pulled up Radarscope, what sure looked like a couplet was passing over Middleton just to our west.

There was definitely a bookend rotation there.   Never really tightened up but I could see the notch as it passed to my W.

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Reviewing our overnight coverage at work, there was a blatant TDS just southwest of Watertown around 1:05-1:10 AM.

Event certainly did not bust on the whole, and in fact overachieved a bit vs. early day expectations in southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois, but I expected a denser concentration of wind reports further north (basically a solid blue NNW-SSE streak across WI) and more sig wind reports.

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8 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Not particularly feeling this one for our local area of northwest IN.  I don't know.  Seems like one of those that maybe ends up managing a warning for 60 mph winds which struggles to verify.  What's indisputable though is the atrocious timing for purposes of tracking.  Think I will grab a couple hours of sleep and then maybe take a quick look to see how things are going.

Good thing you went to bed

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