The last few HRRR runs show an interesting trend for tonight. It shows an intense MCS develop and move across much of Nebraska, yet little to no convection across Kansas. With this scenario, a 45% hatched wind probability could easily verify in Nebraska, but the 15% hatched tornado probability would be a bust with minimal storm development in the area. We'll see how it pans out, but something to be wary of, especially for those chasing in Kansas.