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May 2021 Discussion


weatherwiz
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1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

This BD is forcing very little appreciable cooling impact ..that's for sure.   I mean Bedford MA is 79 F and they are only 10 clicks inland ...  Logan is managing to flirt with 70 on a 15 mph E wind in mid May - that's a bit odd actually.. 

Meanwhile, we're 80 to 83 up and down Rt 2 west of I495  this hour ...

Sensibly it is hotter than yesterday despite being located behind this analyzed front https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif

Reason? no wind ... I mean the sun is like straight up and down ... almost 72 angle or whatever it's like burning the top of your head just stepping out there.

Still dry air though.

Noticing the ridge trying to rollback in next week, though more longitudinal ... Looks like the layout of a Lakes to New England drechio/MCS ...  There's a 570 dm thickness plume ( unlike this dry air ridge this go) skirting along within that ridge bulge, and it gets to about Watertown - Brian - PWM or so ...  and some EML looks like it may have gotten peeled away from the SW in that... 

Anyway, we may go from mid 80s to low 70s, to mid 80s/72 DP, Saturday thru Wed next week, and with a polar jet just next door over the St L Seaway...  could be a legit severe risk in that Tue-Thur time frame.

Of course ...all that's predicated on the assumption that these current looks hold.  A couple .. few cycles from now, the ridge may become strong enough to fend it all N, or... not exist as much... in either case... something else -

 

Tip can post all he wants but any NE Severe ain't for real until King :weenie:@weatherwiz starts honking !!!

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Actually ... in my non-Wizonian defense ... I did say it was predicated on that present look, as it were ... actually panning out.

Of course, the 12z Euro doesn't look so good for that.

I fact, it looks like a the 'real' heat isn't even with this ridge...it's next Tuesday to the end of this run ...

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9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Actually ... in my non-Wizonian defense ... I did say it was predicated on that present look, as it were ... actually panning out.

Of course, the 12z Euro doesn't look so good for that.

I fact, it looks like a the 'real' heat isn't even with this ridge...it's next Tuesday to the end of this run ...

Deep deep summer as far as eyes can see. Special one upcoming 

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1 hour ago, weathafella said:

I turned the ac on to sleep last night.  We avoid open windows upstairs in the pollen season and it was 78 and stuffy at 3AM bedtime.   Off now though.  We’ve been gifted a month of summer! I’ll gladly pay it back in November.

Man do you live in a tent? Do you let the afternoon sun bake your upstairs? Damn didn't break 73 all day inside here. Was 66 when I woke up in the house this morning 

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43 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Man do you live in a tent? Do you let the afternoon sun bake your upstairs? Damn didn't break 73 all day inside here. Was 66 when I woke up in the house this morning 

guess he should just move air around? Apparently that will turn the Sonoran into the Arctic. 

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