Typhoon Tip

February 18th ?19th?

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15 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Look at the 200/300mb winds.  They are ripping right along.

I've noticed you've been using winds a lot in your forecasting lately.

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

If you’re looking at qpf sure. We know how these go however 

When will they ever learn? We tried to tell them.

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38 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Good run. Almost time to whip this out on the season. 
image.jpeg

Not enough rust on that yet.

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4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Are you looking at QPF and Dynamics? You know how these work.... rely on trends, and then if isn't there, imagine it.

Both. I mean just sort of weak and strung out. 

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22 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

HRRR is a dumpster fire. Time to move on to Morch. 

12z GFS says 1st week of March will have the coldest temps of the season (and there's a 0.01% chance of that verifying.)

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25 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

HRRR is a dumpster fire. Time to move on to Morch. 

18z ? Odd it prints out .5 qpf and dynamics seem better.  I may be wrong but seems Scooter shit streak is lifting out sooner. The story isn't told yet. 

Screenshot_20210217-150147_Chrome.jpg

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35 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I've noticed you've been using winds a lot in your forecasting lately.

Gotta start from the top down.  Some start from the ground up.

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1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

18z ? Odd it prints out .5 qpf and dynamics seem better.  I may be wrong but seems Scooter shit streak is lifting out sooner. The story isn't told yet. 

Screenshot_20210217-150147_Chrome.jpg

Folks are just wasted today . Down is up , up is down , Beer is wine, whine is beer 

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NAM coming back down to earth and is starting to align with other globals for the front end but HR45-48 looks worlds different than 12Z, really trying to get part 2 goin...but its not enough for CT

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

18z NAM trying to get part 2 going, but a bit too late. Rather big change from 12z at least. 

It got Mutombo'd

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Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

NAM coming back down to earth and is starting to align with other globals for the front end but HR45-48 looks worlds different than 12Z, really trying to get part 2 goin...but its not enough for CT

Not just CT either. 

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