Dan76 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, TriPol said: I'm SO confused. I've never heard of any winter where two 10"+ snowstorms impacted the NYC Metro area a week apart. 94 ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, TriPol said: I'm SO confused. I've never heard of any winter where two 10"+ snowstorms impacted the NYC Metro area a week apart. 2011? There might be another one on Vday weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 21 minutes ago, TriPol said: I'm SO confused. I've never heard of any winter where two 10"+ snowstorms impacted the NYC Metro area a week apart. It happened in 1926: February 3-4: 10.4” February 9-10: 12.0” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 27 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: still adjusting left - just remember that 979 low on the coast south of us from the Sunday run of the EURO Hopefully it pulls back a bit. This is pretty much as west as I'd want it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Icon more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 We're less than 3 days away with this so I imagine models converge pretty quickly by tonight or tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 ICON same track as NAM (slightly less precip). All snow for the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 RGEM is well west of 12Z but still SE for most... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 23 minutes ago, mikem81 said: RGEM is well west of 12Z but still SE for most... The trend is our friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Looking pretty strongly like this will be a hit in some way for most of us. Coast is favored this time but models like the Nam spread the fun well inland too. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Upton is starting to talk about accumulating snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 It's actually a really simple forecast. If the Southern piece can get ahead of the digging trough, it will phase and come up the coast. If it misses the phase altogether it will go OTS and if the phase is late then we will get scraped and Eastern New England will get it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, TriPol said: I'm SO confused. I've never heard of any winter where two 10"+ snowstorms impacted the NYC Metro area a week apart. I posted yesterday to Don,,,,,,didn't this happen in 78 with the blizzard and then another storm with actually mored snow but less wind a week later ? I remember that mountain of Snow on my avenue in Brooklyn for what seemed like the entire winter under my window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 GFS looks like it will go west as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 18z GFS is going to come West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 18z GFS is going to come West. Was a small shift in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: a nice 6-12” possibly lollis to 13-15” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, mikem81 said: Was a small shift in the right direction. It was much better at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 This is a fast moving storm which will limit accumulations. Probably in and out in about 8-12 hours. Still someone could end up with close to a foot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 compared to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It was much better at H5. Agreed. And its where I would want the GFS to be ight about now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, mikem81 said: compared to That's only half the storm and the wrong model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, NJwx85 said: That's only half the storm and the wrong model run. Its comparing 12Z to 18Z and its basically the entire storm....Here is next frame of 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Remember there is some qpf from Friday’s front too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Remember there is some qpf from Friday’s front too yep you have to deduct .10 to .25 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Looks like a nice 2 to 4 for parts if the forum on GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Gfs wasn't far from delivering. Big runs tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 If I had to make an early guess I'd almost certainly bet 4-8/6-10 across the region with the 10 most common on the coasts and just inland. For @snywx @sferic and I 4-7" seems most plausible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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