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Jan 31st - 33rd Storm Obs and Disco like it's 1979


Bob Chill
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Just now, jayyy said:

That’s how it goes. Stronger primary that hangs onto its energy longer = worse for coastal and floods our layers with warm air. Medium sized primary dying a nice death as it hits e KY/ OH to a strong coastal is the key - then #tuckbabytuck

So we either get Humpty Thumpty or Justin Tucker....if we can only have one I think I'll go with Tucker :lol:

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1 minute ago, jayyy said:

Think it’s interesting that all offices are going with a uniform 6-12” from central MD through NYC. Seems like a smart call given the dynamics and uncertainty. Someone’s getting 2 feet. And somebody 50 miles away is getting 10”. It’s game time ladies. 

False, mt holly has a big chunk of their area in the 12-18" range. 

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Just now, LeesburgWx said:

Mother of God. Is this solution even plausible? The LP doesn’t even really move 

That's an hourly simulation, but yes, the hope is it just stalls out and meanders for awhile. Just need it to do it in the right spot. Canadian models love us for some reason. Let's just pray they are right.

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6 minutes ago, Amped said:

The GFS has a  NW-SE orientation of the heaviest precip which means it's an inverted troff and not a deform band.  

Euro has an actual SW-NE deform band

CMC has both a deform band and inverted troff in  the huge blob it spits out.

 

 

Euro has that inverted trough feature also it’s just not the main focus like the gfs. 

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1 minute ago, osfan24 said:

That's an hourly simulation, but yes, the hope is it just stalls out and meanders for awhile. Just need it to do it in the right spot. Canadian models love us for some reason. Let's just pray they are right.

We need the low to get captured early and in the right spot for this to pan out. 

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6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Wonder what the Canadian suite is keying in on that the others aren't.   Deep down, we all know it's not going to go down like this.  Would be an interesting case study tho

Maybe they injected the vaccine into it leading to a healthy scenario. 

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