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40/70 Benchmark

January 2021

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Premature post

Anyway that’s a plausible explanation for that as far as the 29th is concerned I still don’t see why that can’t be corrected North. 
 
… Which is to say I’m not willing to remove that as a possibility yet. Is it likely probably not. I tell you though the GEFs  locks the ridge axes over the Dakotas and then pushes the trough out to sea .. that doesn’t make any sense it extends the wave length without having any systemic mechanical device to do so in the larger synoptic evolution of the pattern

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44 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said:

Pretty much giving up on the season for down here...I’ll be happy with whatever we can squeak out from here on out. Maybe March holds some surprises. Sierras are about to get smoked....

 

7245B97D-A83A-4357-B51D-9F063B492968.jpeg

@STILL N OF PIKE, let's book a trip to Carson Pass. lol

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not 100% on this.. but I believe this will be least snowiest Jan at BOS, BDL, PVD and ORH

Nah. ORH is at 3.6” and here are the top 10 least snowiest

Trace 1955

 0.8” 1980

0.9” 1911

1.1” 1913

1.8” 1969

2.0” 1962

2.5” 1967

2.7” 1992

2.8” 1989

3.8” 1934

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21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Nah. ORH is at 3.6” and here are the top 10 least snowiest

Trace 1955

 0.8” 1980

0.9” 1911

1.1” 1913

1.8” 1969

2.0” 1962

2.5” 1967

2.7” 1992

2.8” 1989

3.8” 1934

Damn that's pretty meager considering the overall favorable geographic placement, elevation of ORH. 

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29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Nah. ORH is at 3.6” and here are the top 10 least snowiest

Trace 1955

 0.8” 1980

0.9” 1911

1.1” 1913

1.8” 1969

2.0” 1962

2.5” 1967

2.7” 1992

2.8” 1989

3.8” 1934

It took 32 days for ORH to record a below normal daily temperature departure during this stretch.  That is obscene.

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31 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

@STILL N OF PIKE, let's book a trip to Carson Pass. lol

Wait I’m not invited!? Two plankers only haha? :) Conditions up north are actually awesome right now. Wish I had the time to get up to Jay Peak this week. 

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6 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

Damn that's pretty meager considering the overall favorable geographic placement, elevation of ORH. 

Yeah there’s been some historic turds in January. I remember a couple of those (1992 and 1989) during a horrific 4 year stretch. 

We've been lucky not to have anything that bad recently though 2007 comes close.  

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1 hour ago, KoalaBeer said:

Pretty much giving up on the season for down here...I’ll be happy with whatever we can squeak out from here on out. Maybe March holds some surprises. Sierras are about to get smoked....

 

7245B97D-A83A-4357-B51D-9F063B492968.jpeg

I'm so jealous........remember some real great biggies up there.......have experienced those massive dumps there several times and they are so amazing.......I-80 over Donner Pass is a definite challenge in your little 2 door coupe with chains on in a blizzard.......especially after you crest the pass and start your descent into Reno - its steep........did 360's once at 2am in the middle of a whiteout.......luckily the time of day helped with nobody around me lol..........

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2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We need more...confluence looked more pressed so end result is worse.

I think the ship has sailed on most of the region getting anything. I’d still lookout for a couple if I were you.

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1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I think the ship has sailed on most of the region getting anything. I’d still lookout for a couple if I were you.

I like you area better for some nw weenie band. Still 5 days out though so a couple ticks should be expected. 

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3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Premature post

Anyway that’s a plausible explanation for that as far as the 29th is concerned I still don’t see why that can’t be corrected North. 
 
… Which is to say I’m not willing to remove that as a possibility yet. Is it likely probably not. I tell you though the GEFs  locks the ridge axes over the Dakotas and then pushes the trough out to sea .. that doesn’t make any sense it extends the wave length without having any systemic mechanical device to do so in the larger synoptic evolution of the pattern

I feel like the trough position is ideally a little further west....so I can certainly see it going out to sea...TBH, at this point, I would be shocked it provided significant impact to the region.

Disagree.

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1 hour ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

The other problem is that the storm stacks vertically early and big.  It would need to come very close to hit SNE...maybe north of Cape May.

Yea, even if it hit, its going to be a "load blown SW" event....another theme of this god foresaken winter.

We probably don't even need to worry about it, though.

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5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No, it doesn't, but the past def. helps to inform the future...the whole analog thing and such.

Cept we are talking seasonal not back decades

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Woah mesos are stout for CT lots of 2 to 4s showing up. Interesting.  That Euro run LR was certainly clownish. Looks like lots of action for my Feb thread

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3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Woah mesos are stout for CT lots of 2 to 4s showing up. Interesting.  That Euro run LR was certainly clownish. Looks like lots of action for my Feb thread

2 to 4 what?

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