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Hoosier

November 30-December 2 *Potential* Winter Storm

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3 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

18Z GFS and ensembles just a smidge west

Yeah it stopped the bleeding of the 12z run at the very least.

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31 minutes ago, chuckster2012 said:

...from around 17" a few days ago. ..

Yeah I'm not sure why anyone gets excited about models that far out. Looking like a bust for Indy.. the one year I don't have to go to work and could actually enjoy it! 

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Just now, Street said:

Yeah I'm not sure why anyone gets excited about models that far out. Looking like a bust for Indy.. the one year I don't have to go to work and could actually enjoy it! 

We’ll just hope we actually get a winter this year and next, compared to last year at this time. 

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31 minutes ago, Jim Martin said:

Seems like the NAM has been more east than the other forecast models. Possibly the NAM is an outlier?

While on the matters of the NAM, here is the 0z:
sn10_acc.us_ov.png

sn10_acc.us_ov.png

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10 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

Meanwhile the GEM is stronger and roughly the same path as 12Z

RGEM was stronger too.

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1 hour ago, Jim Martin said:

0z GFS looks to be more progressive to the east.

I'm still rooting for the 00z Canadian for NW Ohio. It came back on board with 6-13" across western Ohio, depending on whether you not you show Kuchera ratios or 10:1.

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The Canuk has been much more consistent with it's own H5 forecast for midnight Monday than than the GFS and even the Euro.  Very little deviation since Wed.  Not saying it's right just seems more consistent against itself.

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On 11/26/2020 at 5:33 PM, IWXwx said:

If that fetch plays out, you'll get in on the good stuff. It's been a few years since I've seen streamers all the way to CVG. I remember some LES from Lake Michigan hitting DAY a couple of years ago.

Now that's a streamer off the lake lol...

sfcrh.us_mw.png

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2 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Seems like it might be setting up the ol foreign vs American model camps, especially if the 00z Euro looks anything like the 18z run.

Think you're correct.  As of now looks like the Euro/Canuk camp vs the GFS/NAM camp with the rebellious UKIE not buying any of it lol.

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2 hours ago, Jackstraw said:

Now that's a streamer off the lake lol...

sfcrh.us_mw.png

Huh, you can make out the urban centers with that map. Lighter shades in Detroit, Chicago, St. Louis, Cincinnati, Minneapolis, etc. 

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