Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 I knew it! ...we're gonna have got thru this again around the solstice - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Uncle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Last minute shoppers stymied on gfs? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 I'll sell the CMC getting 20" into DC and Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 BTW, the GFS shows you how it's done with the -NAO when the PAC starts going to crap....keeps the threats coming one after the other. That's hopefully how it goes instead of the Grinch showing up on time. Hopefully we can beat his ass back into his cave with the NAO block. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 You can see the difference between the CMC and GFS at 500 mb ... and how each drives their respective surface evolution - The CMC vestiges a negative orientation to the trough's axis slope... --> 985 mb low with polarward frontogenic banding ... quick hitting relative impact scenario clear to SE VT. Contrasting...the GFS slopes the whole thing positive with shearing gobbling up mechanics as the compression/speed of the flow absorbs the S/W wind max... flatter wave with virga to HFD... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Throw up 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Uncle That's a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: BTW, the GFS shows you how it's done with the -NAO when the PAC starts going to crap....keeps the threats coming one after the other. That's hopefully how it goes instead of the Grinch showing up on time. Hopefully we can beat his ass back into his cave with the NAO block. Lol...you ain’t kidding! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, 78Blizzard said: I'll sell the CMC getting 20" into DC and Philly. Yeah but a foot maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Last minute shoppers stymied on gfs? Trudging through Downtown Crossing going into Jordan Marsh and Filene's looking for gifts, climbing over drifts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: That's a whiff. Yeah it has the high really pressing down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 So as not to set myself up for disappointment I certainly would not discount the crazy uncle solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: So as not to set myself up for disappointment I certainly would not discount the crazy uncle solution. Yes..that’s certainly a possibility. That’s a very strong high to the north. But it’s still a long ways out as we know... ‘96 was supposed to whiff...then she came up the last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Ukie is decent Pike south, but it's doing a weird thing with having a low in the Gulf at the same time. It phucks up the long wave pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Merry Christmas on the GFS op. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Merry Christmas on the GFS op. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Ukie is decent Pike south, but it's doing a weird thing with having a low in the Gulf at the same time. It phucks up the long wave pattern. Yeah the trough looks putrid at 120h. Looks worse than all the other guidance....hopefully it's just uncle being uncle with it's usual crazy swings....last night it was raining out to 495....now its giving James a jackpot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2020 Author Share Posted December 11, 2020 21 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The Canadian is still a nice storm... 8-12” region wide... but it does croak the mid Atlantic and peters out before it gets up here Sell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Hey if I was to offer up next week's snow and take on rain for the region, and have the Christmas Day miracle snow, then I would gladly take that! If it meant a 976mb low was 75 miles southeast of CHH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sell. I don't think this occludes or snows out before our region. Ray is right, sell it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I don't think this occludes or snows out before our region. Ray is right, sell it! Because? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2020 Author Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Because? I think that is far more likely with a favorable Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 At D6, I’m keeping all options on the table except an inland runner. Hugger, whiff, early or late occlusion. It’s all there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Grinch storm just went to Santa Bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 I just want some snow. Could care less who jacks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 11 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: So as not to set myself up for disappointment I certainly would not discount the crazy uncle solution. I'm not onboard with this one, To many negatives for up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2020 Author Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, leo2000 said: Grinch storm just went to Santa Bomb. I think is a plausible correction given the higher latitudes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I just want some snow. Could care less who jacks. Who cares if the bread is moldy at this point lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I just want some snow. Could care less who jacks. I’ll take 6 you take 12. Just make it a festive powder day. This brand new sled bought in Dec of last year has mold and cob webs on it by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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