Windspeed Posted October 28, 2020 Big burst of lightning on latest imagery. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DCTeacherman Posted October 28, 2020 New Orleans has a chance of the eye passing right over it it seems. When’s the last time a major American city got directly into an eye? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tiger_deF Posted October 28, 2020 I think this may take lots of folks in New Orleans by suprise unfortunately 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hoosier Posted October 28, 2020 Anyone remember what the max gust was in New Orleans during Katrina? I know they were on the western end whereas Zeta is more of a bullseye. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dan11295 Posted October 28, 2020 I am hopeful New Orleans avoids the strongest winds mostly since they may avoid the SE quad 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kayman Posted October 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Anyone remember what the max gust was in New Orleans during Katrina? I know they were on the western end whereas Zeta is more of a bullseye. I have family in NOLA. Katrina was a minimal Cat 3 with winds around 115-120 mph (sustained) when it hit NOLA in 2005. However, it still had the storm surge of its previous Cat 5 intensity upon its landfall Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
eyewall Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, kayman said: I have family in NOLA. Katrina was a minimal Cat 3 with winds around 115-120 mph (sustained) when it hit NOLA in 2005. However, it still had the storm surge of its previous Cat 5 intensity upon its landfall The eye of Katrina passed east of NOLA. They initially looked ok until the levee breaks. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Louieloy102 Posted October 28, 2020 In Slidell, Louisiana, for the storm. Winds approaching tropical storm force but still only through gusts. Should be an interesting evening ahead. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hoosier Posted October 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, kayman said: I have family in NOLA. Katrina was a minimal Cat 3 with winds around 115-120 mph (sustained) when it hit NOLA in 2005. However, it still had the storm surge of its previous Cat 5 intensity upon its landfall Yes. Thanks. But my question was because I was wondering if Zeta has the potential to match or outgust Katrina in New Orleans. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kayman Posted October 28, 2020 Is anyone under the impression that the NWS Slidell office would be wrong to issue an Excessive Wind Warning for the lower Louisiana parishes upon the eyewall coming upon land? The radar imagery is signifying an intensifying hurricane northern eyewall with intense lightning that could be a Cat 3 when it arrives... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
the ghost of leroy Posted October 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, kayman said: I have family in NOLA. Katrina was a minimal Cat 3 with winds around 115-120 mph (sustained) when it hit NOLA in 2005. However, it still had the storm surge of its previous Cat 5 intensity upon its landfall Katrina didn’t hit NOLA. It slid East. There is no evidence the city got anywhere near 115-120 sustained. Power failures led to fewer reports than average but the consensus was cat1, maybe cat 2 winds for the city itself. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kayman Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, Hoosier said: Yes. Thanks. But my question was because I was wondering if Zeta has the potential to match or outgust Katrina in New Orleans. Gotcha! There's a 50-50 chance that it could especially if makes it to 110+ mph prior to landfall Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Morris Posted October 28, 2020 We have a dropsonde with 101kts at the surface in the eastern eyewall. Cat 3 Major Hurricane? 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
StormChaser4Life Posted October 28, 2020 Time is running out fast for it to hit cat 3. Forward motion is fast. I think maybe 110mph max landfall. Still very impressive. A lot like Sally that was quickly intensifying at landfall 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cheeznado Posted October 28, 2020 Wow, 26 ft seas just south of the mouth of the MS... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Windspeed Posted October 28, 2020 NHC could definitely go with a 115 mph advisory now. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Doc Jon Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, StormChaser4Life said: Time is running out fast for it to hit cat 3. Forward motion is fast. I think maybe 110mph max landfall. Still very impressive. A lot like Sally that was quickly intensifying at landfall yeah, but unlike Sally, this one's hauling a$$. Lighting's kicking up again. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kayman Posted October 28, 2020 First tornado warning issued: Tornado Warning Tornado Warning LAC033-037-091-281945- /O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0093.201028T1921Z-201028T1945Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service New Orleans LA 221 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020 The National Weather Service in New Orleans has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern St. Helena Parish in southeastern Louisiana... Eastern East Feliciana Parish in southeastern Louisiana... Northeastern East Baton Rouge Parish in southeastern Louisiana... * Until 245 PM CDT. * At 221 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 8 miles west of Montpelier, or 13 miles southwest of Greensburg, moving northwest at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Clinton around 245 PM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3100 9091 3065 9072 3065 9084 3082 9115 TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 140DEG 28KT 3068 9081 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...<.75IN $$ MEFFER Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Windspeed Posted October 28, 2020 132 kts at the 942 mb level! I'd absolutely go with 115 mph now. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HKY_WX Posted October 28, 2020 14 minutes ago, eyewall said: The eye of Katrina passed east of NOLA. They initially looked ok until the levee breaks. When the Levee breaks, Moma you got to move.... LZ 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
the ghost of leroy Posted October 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, Windspeed said: 132 kts at the 942 mb level! I'd absolutely go with 115 mph now. I’d go 95 kts. Need a stronger dropsonde since surface is barely 100 and that’s not even measuring sustained winds. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
beanskip Posted October 28, 2020 Still strengthening, per latest recon pass -- yikes. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Windspeed Posted October 28, 2020 969.9 EXTRAP on that last pass. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wxeyeNH Posted October 28, 2020 As far as the media and the general population goes this one is really going under the radar so to speak. So many hurricane watches for NO this season and so much coverage of Gulf Storms. Like Covid, people kind of just let their guard down. Many people are just saying (as of last night) it's just a Cat 1. However... A strengthening storm always seems to over achieve. Katrina was weakening and slid east of NO. NO metro 1.2 million people! This storm is hauling ass unlike many earlier season tropical systems. It's not going to lose much punch The eyewall could go right over NO. Highest destructive wind is just in the eyewall. I think this storm will be by far the most destructive of this season. Not often do you see a strong Cat 2 going over a major metro area of this size. When was the last one?? Lots of population just east of NO too like Gulfport which will be on the strong east side What are some good webcams to watch? 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
KPITSnow Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: As far as the media and the general population goes this one is really going under the radar so to speak. So many hurricane watches for NO this season and so much coverage of Gulf Storms. Like Covid, people kind of just let their guard down. Many people are just saying (as of last night) it's just a Cat 1. However... A strengthening storm always seems to over achieve. Katrina was weakening and slid east of NO. NO metro 1.2 million people! This storm is hauling ass unlike many earlier season tropical systems. It's not going to lose much punch The eyewall could go right over NO. Highest destructive wind is just in the eyewall. I think this storm will be by far the most destructive of this season. Not often do you see a strong Cat 2 going over a major metro area of this size. When was the last one?? Lots of population just east of NO too like Gulfport which will be on the strong east side What are some good webcams to watch? Hate to say it but I agree. Also very concerned to see how the levees hold up in NO. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Brian5671 Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: Hate to say it but I agree. Also very concerned to see how the levees hold up in NO. Fast mover so the rains will be limited to a couple of inches. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
