MN Transplant Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 5 hours ago, snowfan said: NAM twins now without much precip 95 and east for the next 2 days. 06z HRRR is effectively sprinkles. Meanwhile the 00z Euro still douses us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 It seems that high and associated dry air is going to do a number on attempts for significant moisture to advance too far north and east. Euro is on its own att, although some of the CAMs have at least a little rain. GFS is now mostly dry north and east of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Weird. Rain now just hits a wall at the Potomac. Euro still has rain, but it is drying up a bit as it approaches us so it's not like it isn't picking up on the drying effect the other models seem to show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 This looks like a Blue Ridge special, with up slope enhancement due to the position of that high and the shortwave focusing the lift there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 ^Glad I was out there the past 2 days. FW there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilentTalkie Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 GFS was extremely pessimistic in Western Albemarle next to the BR with under 0.5 inches past two runs. Already up to 0.9 inches this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 3 hours ago, losetoa6 said: 6z Euro continues to trim back 12z GFS gives your yard a respectable amount of rain. Pretty big shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Just prepped and seeded a large section of my back yard. Really hope the next few days are cloudy and wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Steady light rain here at 65 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 1.4 here western side of Afton.... 9.1 for the month.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Just prepped and seeded a large section of my back yard. Really hope the next few days are cloudy and wet. Just seeded my fall salads greens. Cloudy, cooler and rainy would be ok with me. Radar looking much healthier the past hour for the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Rain so far has been focused on the southern part of the county but light rain just started. HRRR advertising about 0.5" after all is said and done. NAM was showing 2"+ yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Certainly a wait and see situation but a heavy rain/ flooding threat certainly looms in the LR....even if there is no organized TC that gets involved. That is one deep moisture feed and over a long duration. D8-15 on the 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coolio Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 ^^^Very cool animation. Also, has anyone noticed that we've gotten precip from all angles this past summer? We've had SE rain. Left right rain, Upper midwest rain, stationary blob rain, I'm pretty sure we got some rain that came down from New England (hadn't seen that one ever, i think). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Para-GEFS and euro both much more progressive with that front that the GFS is stalling next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 So far the high temp has been 70 at Martinsburg. If that stands, it breaks the low max record for the date of 71 set in 2003. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Only about 0.1 so far, but hoping those better returns just west can get here and stay a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 radar really doesnt look awful...I guess if it were winter lol. Those greens just arent producing much in the way of steady rain...must be kinda dry out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 56 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Para-GEFS and euro both much more progressive with that front that the GFS is stalling next week. Good...Im rooting against heavy rains...the top of my jeep is damaged (my fault) but im afraid if it rains hard itll leak inside some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 1 hour ago, Baltimorewx said: radar really doesnt look awful...I guess if it were winter lol. Those greens just arent producing much in the way of steady rain...must be kinda dry out It’s been deceptive. Mostly glorified sprinkles despite some greens and yellows on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 0.09" so far here - underperformer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Tornado Warning for Lunenburg and Mecklenburg VA Edit: Apparently this started over half an hour ago, and I didn’t notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 0.39” and still steady. Definitely a blend of the models. Didn’t dry up like the mesos thought, but the Euro was way too aggressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 35 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: It’s been deceptive. Mostly glorified sprinkles despite some greens and yellows on radar. Of course as soon as I posted this it started raining for real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 A few hundredths here. Driveway is almost completely damp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 0.80” and still raining. Northern edge has been kind today. Hoping for a repeat in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Rates aren't heavy enough for stickage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Fall tomorrow y'all. yesssssssssssss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Fall tomorrow y'all. yesssssssssssss Riding boots, floppy hats, PSL, pumpkins for days, flannel season.... …...meanwhile it's still 80 on Oct 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Riding boots, floppy hats, PSL, pumpkins for days, flannel season.... …...meanwhile it's still 80 on Oct 1. Yeah. I didn't say it was gonna feel like Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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