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Baroclinic Zone

March 24, 2020 - Coastal Threat

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1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Don’t you actually upslope on ESE flow 

I.E added lift and cooling

unless W RI mucks that up a bit but your higher 

I’m hoping you pound this afternoon man

I’m leaning conservative and staying 2-4” , but maybe hi res is onto something with big VV cooling

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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m leaning conservative and staying 2-4” , but maybe hi res is onto something with big VV cooling

Doable with your elevation.

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1 minute ago, Whineminster said:

things look like their sliding east, so the jack is moving east towards Mr. 40/70, typical

Man you're a bitch.

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12 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Euro at 6z was nuts

tuff to get a handle on this 

It’s up to 0.66” QPF up here now. 

I have no idea what to expect but it’s got about a 6-hr period of 0.1”/hr water. 

That would thump for a bit. 

ABAEFE0C-5C3F-4A7E-9725-A5729CB15582.thumb.png.7fde24134b2ca578096841ae1a0eb573.png

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Two tosses, RGEM and the GFS, Probably get more distance with Reggie because of a smaller file size.

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Well that escalated quickly. Went to bed with GYX giving me 3". Wake up under a Winter Storm Warning and a forecast of 8". With the Euro and RGEM giving 12".  (Now where did I leave my shovel back in December?)

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26 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

It’s up to 0.66” QPF up here now. 

I have no idea what to expect but it’s got about a 6-hr period of 0.1”/hr water. 

That would thump for a bit. 

ABAEFE0C-5C3F-4A7E-9725-A5729CB15582.thumb.png.7fde24134b2ca578096841ae1a0eb573.png

What’s 24 hour QPF

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8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

What’s 24 hour QPF

Not much more than that image... 0.66”.  It’s a 6-hr thump but so much model spread.  1.5” or 6”.

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This could be mostly done in 6 hrs. After the thump, probably light mix of RASN. Has that look. It might last longer to the north with erly flow lasts longer.

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